ICC Cricket World Cup 2011 / Features

Sri Lanka v New Zealand, 1st semi-final, World Cup 2011, Colombo

Trial by spin awaits New Zealand

New Zealand have done superbly to get this far in the World Cup, but can they conquer Sri Lanka's spinners in Colombo?

S Rajesh

March 28, 2011

Text size: A | A

Ross Taylor flicks on to the leg side, New Zealand v Pakistan, Group A, World Cup, Pallekele, March 8, 2011
Ross Taylor has a scoring rate of 7.20 runs per over against the seamers, but against spin it drops to 3.97 © Getty Images

Almost any way you look at it, Sri Lanka start off as huge favourites in their semi-final clash against New Zealand. They've been one of the form teams of this tournament, having lost only to Pakistan so far; they thrashed New Zealand by 112 runs in the group game only ten days ago; and they're playing at home, in conditions which should be ideal for spin bowling.

In contrast, New Zealand have little going in their favour. They've reached their sixth World Cup semi-final, but they've also lost each of their previous five, including one to Sri Lanka by 81 runs in 2007. The only aspect that perhaps works in their favour is the fact that Sri Lanka's batting has relied heavily on Kumar Sangakkara and Mahela Jayawardene, and in the last two World Cup matches between the two teams, they've both scored a hundred each - Jayawardene in Kingston and Sangakkara in Mumbai. New Zealand may feel they're due a game when neither gets a big score, and then they might get a chance to exert pressure on the others - in the Mumbai game, Angelo Mathews was the only other batsman to make a double-digit score.

The overall numbers, though, are strongly in Sri Lanka's favour, especially recently: since 2000, they've lost only one of eight home games against New Zealand. New Zealand have won three out of eight in World Cups, but they've lost each of the last four, since the 2003 edition. And unlike New Zealand's dismal semi-final record, Sri Lanka have won two out of three - the only one they lost was in 2003 to Australia.

Sri Lanka v New Zealand in ODIs
  Matches SL won NZ won
Overall 73 33 35
In SL 19 12 5
Since 2000 33 20 11
Since 2000 in SL 8 6 1
in World Cups 8 5 3

The overall stats for the two teams against the other top sides in this tournament shows the gulf, especially in the batting line-ups: Sri Lanka average more than 43 runs per wicket compared to New Zealand's 25.20. Sri Lanka's top three are among the five highest run-getters in this tournament, and all of them have scored more than 350 runs at a 60-plus average.

New Zealand's highest run-getter is Ross Taylor with 288, but he is the only one to score more than 250 for them. The only aspect where New Zealand are well clear of Sri Lanka is in clearing the boundary - they've hit 34 sixes to Sri Lanka's 12. In fact, Taylor alone has struck 14, which is more than what the entire Sri Lankan team has managed.

Sri Lanka and New Zealand v the top 8 teams in the tournament so far
Team Runs Bat ave Run-rate Wickets Bowl ave Econ rate
Sri Lanka 908 43.23 5.26 23 28.65 4.88
New Zealand 882 25.20 4.89 32 26.12 4.94

A key for both teams could be their opening batting. Sri Lanka and New Zealand have among the most successful opening combinations of the tournament. New Zealand's big stands have come against the weaker teams, but Dilshan and Tharanga put together 231 against England, which was their second double-century stand of this World Cup, after the 282 they added against Zimbabwe. They're the first opening pair to put together two double-century stands in the same World Cup, and with Sangakkara and Jayawardene to follow, Sri Lanka's batting will again depend heavily on their top four. Apart from those four, none of the other Sri Lanka batsmen have managed 100 runs in the tournament so far.

The spin test
One of the keys to the game will obviously be the way the two teams tackle spin. Sri Lanka are quite used to batting against spin and bowling a lot of it, but for New Zealand's batsmen, especially, it could be a huge trial. In the tournament so far, they've averaged less than 4.50 runs per over against spin, which is much lower than the rate for Sri Lanka. Taylor has been exceptional against pace, averaging more than seven runs per over, but he has fallen to spinners three times, and his scoring rate against them is less than four runs per over. Only two out of his 14 sixes in the tournament have been scored off spinners.

Sri Lanka and New Zealand batsmen v spin in World Cup 2011
Team Runs Dismissals Average Run rate
Sri Lanka 667 12 55.58 5.57
New Zealand 619 17 36.41 4.37

Ross Taylor against pace and spin in the World Cup so far
Against Runs Balls Dismissals Average Run-rate 4s/ 6s
Pace 174 145 1 174.00 7.20 14/ 12
Spin 114 172 3 38.00 3.97 5/ 2

Sri Lanka's spinners too have been more incisive, with 26 wickets in the tournament compared to New Zealand's 11. Muttiah Muralitharan is Sri Lanka's leading wicket-taker with 13 at an average of 16.15 and an economy rate of 3.96, but New Zealand's best spinner, Daniel Vettori, has struggled for wickets. In four innings he has only managed two, and while his economy rate is excellent - he has conceded 3.60 runs per over - he averages 59.50 runs per wicket. Nathan McCullum has done a fair job of bowling with the new ball and maintaining tight control - he has taken eight wickets at 26, and an economy rate of 4.72.

Sri Lanka and New Zealand spinners in World Cup 2011
Team Wickets Average Econ rate
Sri Lanka 26 18.50 3.63
New Zealand 11 33.54 4.22

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo

RSS Feeds: S Rajesh


. Your ESPN name '' will be used to display your comments. Please click here to edit this.
Email Feedback Print
S RajeshClose
S Rajesh Stats editor Every week the Numbers Game takes a look at the story behind the stats, with an original slant on facts and figures. The column is edited by S Rajesh, ESPNcricinfo's stats editor in Bangalore. He did an MBA in marketing, and then worked for a year in advertising, before deciding to chuck it in favour of a job which would combine the pleasures of watching cricket and writing about it. The intense office cricket matches were an added bonus.

    Why your opening bowler in the BBL needs to be a spinner

Jarrod Kimber: There are lessons to be learnt from the success of Tom Cooper, Michael Beer, Samuel Badree (and Dipak Patel) at the top

Small wonder

In our series on cricket in fiction, we look at RK Narayan's Swami and Friends
The Cricket Monthly January issue

    Australia's squad throws up plenty of choices

Ian Chappell: On the tour of India, the selectors will need to get the batting order right, and strike a balance between pace and spin

How do I explain cricket to my first-born?

Living in the US, far away from the beating heart of the game, a father wonders how he can get the next generation to fall in love with it

News | Features Last 3 days

Vote - Which is the most outrageous cricket shot?

In the past week, we have seen two shots that left us awestruck: Virat Kohli's jab that sailed over midwicket and Najibullah Zadran's six over the extra-cover boundary despite slipping in the process. Will either of the two top this compilation?

'Why don't you admit you're an alien?'

Some of the reactions on Twitter to Virat Kohli's record-equalling hundred during India's chase in Pune

Yuvraj and Dhoni produce a sequel for the ages

Some of India's finest wins have come with Yuvraj Singh and MS Dhoni in harness at the crease. At Cuttack they rolled back the years to extraordinary effect

'Yuvraj is making us believe in fairytales'

The Twitter world rose up to applaud Yuvraj Singh's hundred, in his second game since being recalled to India's ODI squad

The agony and ecstasy of Kedar Jadhav

Kedar Jadhav battled physical exertion and pain as he played the innings of his life, but there could not have been a better balm to soothe those pains than watching his team go the distance

News | Features Last 3 days

World Cup Videos