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The Preview by Karthik Krishnaswamy
May 26, 2014
Guha: Knight Riders slight favourites
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
Start time 1600 local (1030 GMT)
No team this season have scored their runs as quickly as Kings XI Punjab. Their tournament run-rate, so far, is 9.03, which means they have scored nearly half a run more in every over than the second-best team on that list, Chennai Super Kings (8.35).
No team this season has been as frugal with the ball as Kolkata Knight Riders. Their tournament economy rate, so far, is 7.63, which is a healthy distance ahead of Mumbai Indians' 7.93.
The first Qualifier - postponed by a day due to rain in Kolkata* - will then pit the top two teams in the tournament against each other, the best batting unit against the best bowling attack. Most of the time, it's overly simplistic to consider just half of the contest. It would be particularly simplistic in this case, considering Robin Uthappa, a Knight Riders batsman, is the tournament's highest run-getter, and Kings XI have taken the most wickets of any team this season.
Even so, it's hard to look beyond Kings XI's batting line-up as the most decisive element of the game. Six times this season, they've scored 190 or more, and three of those scores came in successful chases. They are yet to lose a game batting second. Batting first, they have failed to cross 150 only twice.
Both those sub-150 scores, however, came against Knight Riders. Two matches is too small a sample size from which to draw conclusive evidence that Knight Riders know the formula to keep Glenn Maxwell and his mates quiet, but given the bowling attack at their disposal and the fact that they are playing at home, you could see it happening again. Consider, also, that Knight Riders finished second on the points table on the back of seven straight wins, and that most of their players have hit form coming into the knockouts.
Kings XI, on the other hand, have tailed off somewhat despite their results remaining solid enough. They rotated their squad after sealing a top-two place, and some of their early-season form players - Maxwell and Sandeep Sharma, in particular - haven't had a great time of late. Given the low-intensity nature of their last few league games, though, Kings XI will welcome the spike in energy and intensity that comes with a knockout game.
The conditions will also come into play after the game was deferred on Tuesday due to heavy rain over the last few days. If conditions do not improve on Wednesday to allow a full game or even a five-over contest, the teams will hope to squeeze in a Super Over. In case no play is possible, Kings XI will enter the final, having finished at the top of the table in the league stages, while Knight Riders will play the second qualifier against the winner of the eliminator between Mumbai Indians and Chennai Super Kings.
Kings XI Punjab: WWLWW (completed games, most recent first)
Kolkata Knight Riders: WWWWW
Before the first meeting between these two sides, Kings XI's batting had looked unstoppable, having scored 206, 193 (both of these in successful chases) and 193 in their first three matches. And then, sent in to bat in Abu Dhabi, they struggled to 132 for nine, with Sunil Narine and Piyush Chawla taking three wickets each. Knight Riders, however, were yet to sort out their batting, and they collapsed to 109 all out.
By the time the sides faced each other again, Knight Riders' top order was beginning to find some form. Set a target of 150, after a Kings XI innings in which no one apart from Virender Sehwag made any serious contribution, Knight Riders won by nine wickets, after Robin Uthappa and Gautam Gambhir put on a third straight 50-plus opening partnership.
Watch out for...
Since the IPL moved back to India, Glenn Maxwell's form has tailed off. Seventeen batsmen have outscored him in the India leg, and even though his numbers here - 233 runs at an average of 29.12 and a strike rate of 180.62 - look ordinary only in comparison to the mindblowing stats he racked up in the UAE - 300 runs at 60.00 and a strike rate of over 200 - they are propped up to a large extent by one innings, a 38-ball 90 against Chennai Super Kings in Ranchi.
Against Knight Riders, meanwhile, his scores so far are 15 and 14. Of the 26 balls he faced across those two innings, 24 were bowled by Sunil Narine, Morne Morkel and Jacques Kallis, so Knight Riders have clearly gone in with some sort of plan against him. Morkel's bounce is a particularly obvious weapon Knight Riders will look to use against Maxwell, particularly after his last innings against Delhi Daredevils, in which he looked uncomfortable against the rising ball.
Since moving up to open the batting, Robin Uthappa has made nine successive 40-plus scores and climbed to the top of the tournament's run charts. He has done this largely by means of easy-on-the-eye drives, with a remodelled technique built around a big front-foot stride and a batswing that comes down from almost behind his body. It's a technique built for playing in the V, but - if he weren't seeing the ball so well - it could, theoretically, put him in unsound positions against the short ball as well as cause him to play around his front pad while on-driving and flicking off his pads, bringing lbw into play. Mitchell Johnson is one bowler who could potentially exploit both these (admittedly hypothetical) technical issues.
Stats and trivia
"It is never easy. I wasn't even sure whether I was out of form because I had played just 14 deliveries in my four outings."
Knight Riders captain Gautam Gambhir on his dramatic turnaround in form after starting the season with scores of 0, 0, 0 and 1
"The one thing that is of paramount importance to us is the team composition. We have been very fortunate that the players who missed out have been very supportive and helped in creating a good dressing room atmosphere."
Kings XI head coach Sanjay Bangar on having had to leave out big names such as Shaun Marsh to meet the overseas-player restriction
May 27, 2014 1303 GMT. This preview has been updated to reflect news of the match being postponed
Karthik Krishnaswamy is a senior sub-editor at ESPNcricinfoFeeds: Karthik Krishnaswamy
© ESPN Sports Media Ltd.
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