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Numbers Game

No place for top-order batsmen

In the last eight years, South Africa has easily been the toughest country for overseas top-order batsmen (Nos. 1-3). They have scored only seven centuries in 210 innings

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
12-Jan-2018
ESPNcricinfo Ltd

ESPNcricinfo Ltd

The Cape Town Test was a baptism by fire for the batsmen. Of the ten innings played by India's specialist batsmen (Nos. 1-5), there were only two 20-plus scores - 28 by Virat Kohli in the second innings and 26 by Cheteshwar Pujara in the first. Over those ten innings, India's top five aggregated 130 runs, an average of 13 runs per innings. The top scores in each innings came from batsmen playing further down the order: Hardik Pandya scored 93 at No. 7 in the first innings, while R Ashwin's 37 at No. 8 was the top score in the second; overall, India's Nos. 6-11 scored 199 runs at an average of 19.9 in the match.
Admittedly conditions were unusually tough at Newlands this time around, with the home-team batsmen struggling as well. However, this was only a spicier version of what has been a pretty potent mix for overseas batsmen - particularly the top three - in South Africa for a number of years now.
Since the start of 2010, the overseas openers and No. 3 batsmen have collectively averaged 25.29, with only seven hundreds scored in 210 innings. Those are poor numbers for top-order batsmen, and clearly demonstrate how difficult it is to play the new ball in South Africa. The next-lowest average is almost nine runs higher, in the West Indies, while in terms of scoring hundreds, South Africa is almost twice as difficult as the next-toughest country.
Overseas top order batsmen (Nos. 1-3) in each country since Jan 2010
Host Country Mat Inns Ave 100s Inns/100
 South Africa  36  210  25.29  7  30.0
 West Indies  32  180  34.08  11  16.4
 England  54  314  34.09  22  14.3
 India  42  245  34.20  18  13.6
 New Zealand  32  184  36.12  14  13.1
 Australia  45  252  36.92  20  12.6
 Sri Lanka  39  215  38.50  24  9.0
 Zimbabwe  14  78  40.34  7  11.1
 UAE*  26  150  43.22  15  10.0
 Bangladesh  26  132  52.65  21  6.3

*UAE considered as home venue for Pakistan, and away for all other teams
During this period, the South African top-order batsmen have managed these conditions pretty well, averaging 44.33, which is higher than all teams at home except Australia - who are only marginally ahead at 44.83 and India (49.02). South Africa's top three have scored 25 hundreds in 175 innings during this period - an average of one every seven innings - while the overseas ones have managed seven in 210 innings. These stats have been boosted by Hashim Amla, who averages 56.39 at home when batting in the top three during this period, and Dean Elgar (52.96). Graeme Smith (38.03) and Alviro Petersen (34.29) didn't do quite as well in home conditions.
Obviously the weaker teams touring South Africa have helped the home batsmen bolster their numbers - Elgar averages almost 78 at home against Bangladesh, West Indies and Sri Lanka, and less than 38 against the other top teams - but Amla has fine numbers against the better bowling attacks too, averaging nearly 60 against Australia, 65 against England, and 58 against New Zealand at home during this period (in innings in which he has batted in the top three). The difference in average between South Africa's top three and the overseas ones in the last eight years is 19, which is easily the highest among all countries.
Home/away top-order (Nos.1-3) stats in each country since Jan 2010
Host Home ave Inns/100 Away ave Inns/100 Ave diff
 South Africa  44.33  7.0  25.29  30.0  19.04
 India  49.02  7.8  34.20  13.6  14.82
 Australia  44.83  8.1  36.92  12.6  7.91
 England  39.15  13.0  34.09  14.3  5.06
 New Zealand  38.71  14.5  36.12  13.1  2.59
 UAE*  45.47  9.7  43.22  10.0  2.25
 Sri Lanka  38.33  9.7  38.50  9.0  -0.17
 West Indies  25.69  25.9  34.08  16.4  -8.39
 Zimbabwe  27.69  21.0  40.34  11.1  -12.65
 Bangladesh  34.66  13.5  52.65  6.3  -17.99
*UAE considered as home venue for Pakistan, and away for all other teams
Also, South Africa is the one place, among the major countries, where overseas middle-order batsmen (Nos. 4-6) average significantly more than the top order - the difference in averages is nearly eight runs. The difference is also high in Zimbabwe (9.82) and the West Indies (5.58), but those are weaker home teams where the overseas middle-order averages are also propped by a higher number of not-outs due to declarations or the fourth-innings target being reached. In India, Australia and England, the top three do better than the middle order.
The other comparison where South Africa is peculiar is the innings-per-century figure for the top and middle orders. While the top order scores one every 30 innings, the middle order gets there far more frequently - once every 13.7 innings - which again indicates that batting does get significantly easier (though that is only a relative term) when the ball gets slightly older. The difference between the stats for No. 3 and No. 4 are especially stark in South Africa: the overseas No. 3 batsman has averaged 26.97 since the start of 2010, with two centuries in 70 innings; the overseas No. 4 batsman has averaged 36.69, with eight hundreds in 70 innings.
In the middle order, 12 different overseas batsmen have contributed hundreds in the last eight years, with three of them getting two each - Sachin Tendulkar, Thilan Samaraweera and Michael Clarke. Among the 12 is Ben Stokes, who scored a stunning 258 in Cape Town in 2016, the highest score by an overseas batsman in South Africa during this period.
Overseas middle-order batsmen with a 100 in SA since Jan 2010
Player Mat Runs Ave 100
 SR Tendulkar  3  326  81.50  2
 SPD Smith  3  220  73.33  1
 TT Samaraweera  3  339  67.80  2
 BA Stokes  4  411  58.71  1
 JE Root  4  386  55.14  1
 MN Samuels  3  268  53.60  1
 V Kohli  3  305  50.83  1
 MJ Clarke  5  387  48.37  2
 SE Marsh  2  192  48.00  1
 DG Brownlie  2  172  43.00  1
 Younis Khan  3  173  34.60  1
 Asad Shafiq  3  199  33.16  1
There are only five centurions among overseas top-order batsmen, though, and even among those, three batsmen average less than 40. The glorious exception is David Warner, who struck three hundreds in 2014, passed 50 five times in six innings, and averaged a stunning 90.50. Cheteshwar Pujara made plenty of runs too in 2013, and averages more than 50 in South Africa, but for most of the other touring top-order batsmen, South Africa has been a tough place in which to score runs. Rahul Dravid, Kane Williamson, Kumar Sangakkara, Azhar Ali and Alastair Cook are among those who have struggled against South Africa's skilled new-ball attack in seamer-friendly conditions. India's top three will be hoping they can buck this trend over the next couple of Tests.

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats.