South Africa v Australia, 3rd Test, Cape Town

Watson, Petersen likely for tantalising decider

The Preview by Brydon Coverdale

February 28, 2014

Comments: 85 | Text size: A | A

Match facts

March 1-5, Cape Town
Start time 1030 local (0830GMT)


Shane Watson goes through a training drill, Cape Town, February 27, 2014
Shane Watson is likely to return to Australia's XI for the deciding Test © Getty Images
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Big Picture

For all the close battles that Australia and South Africa have had over the past few years, only once since the mid-1990s have they entered the last Test of a series with the score even. That was in the last series in Australia in 2012-13, when the hosts felt they had the better of the first two draws only for South Africa to romp over the top of them in the decider in Perth. For the second successive series between these teams, it comes down to the third and final Test.

There could hardly be a more tantalising location for the decider. Not only does Newlands boast arguably the finest backdrop in world cricket, it was the scene of the most remarkable of all the recent Tests between these two sides. At this ground in November 2011, Shane Watson and Ryan Harris skittled South Africa for 96, which seemed a pretty darn good effort. Until Australia collapsed for 47. They were lucky even to get there, having been 21 for 9. For just the third time in Test history, part of all four innings of a Test occurred on one day. Not that the pitch was a minefield - Michael Clarke, Graeme Smith and Hashim Amla all scored hundreds in the same Test.

A dry surface is expected this time around and as in the first two Tests the team batting last may have a difficult task on their hands. South Africa's batsmen handled Mitchell Johnson with greater ease on the slower Port Elizabeth pitch than in Centurion and South Africa's ability to find reverse swing was also critical. If the hosts can carry their momentum into the Cape Town Test they could secure their first series win at home against Australia since their readmission.

Form guide

(last five completed games most recent first)
South Africa WLWDW
Australia LWWWW

In the spotlight

There are few sights more worrying to an Australian cricketer than an in-form Hashim Amla. At his best, as he was in the Perth win in 2012-13, he can manoeuvre almost any ball to any part of the field. And since the start of the 2011-12 series in South Africa, Amla has scored five Test centuries against Australia while averaging 61.15. A return to form for an unbeaten 127 in Port Elizabeth was the last thing Australia needed, and a significant boost to South Africa's hopes of winning the series.

Michael Clarke has played 11 innings since his last Test half-century. That is the longest such drought of his Test career and is all the more surprising given his dominance as a batsman since he took over the captaincy. Clarke has at times been too keen to get bat on ball during this series and he will hope that a good, long chat with Shane Warne has helped him reach the mental space required for this decider. At least he can think back to his century when Australia last played a Test here, even if it was overshadowed by their 47 all out in the second innings.

Team news

Alviro Petersen is expected to return after missing the Port Elizabeth Test due to a virus, which would mean Dean Elgar would likely shift down the order and Quinton de Kock would make way. A change to the attack is also required due to Wayne Parnell's groin strain and Rory Kleinveldt might be favoured over Kyle Abbott and Ryan McLaren. There is a good chance the spin duties will again be shared by the part-timers Elgar and JP Duminy.

South Africa (possible) 1 Graeme Smith (capt), 2 Alviro Petersen, 3 Hashim Amla, 4 Faf du Plessis, 5 AB de Villiers (wk), 6 Dean Elgar, 7 JP Duminy, 8 Vernon Philander, 9 Dale Steyn, 10 Rory Kleinveldt, 11 Morne Morkel.

After missing the first two Tests with a calf injury, Shane Watson is expected to return to Australia's line-up for the series decider, adding a valuable extra bowling option and slotting in at No. 6. Shaun Marsh will miss out with Alex Doolan staying in team - Inverarity confirmed as much at training on Friday*. There is a question mark over the attack after the fast men endured a heavy workload in Port Elizabeth. Ryan Harris in particular has struggled for impact and James Pattinson may be considered to add some freshness to the bowling group.

Australia (possible) 1 Chris Rogers, 2 David Warner, 3 Alex Doolan, 4 Michael Clarke (capt), 5 Steven Smith, 6 Shane Watson, 7 Brad Haddin (wk), 8 Mitchell Johnson, 9 Ryan Harris/James Pattinson, 10 Peter Siddle, 11 Nathan Lyon.

Pitch and conditions

A dry pitch is expected in Cape Town, where the weather has been very hot and windy in the lead-up to the Test. Groundsman Evan Flint has the challenge of ensuring there is enough moisture in the surface to prevent it from breaking up too early, but whatever the case, batting last will not be easy. There are some showers expected during the match, with the third day shaping as the most likely to be affected.

Stats and trivia

'

  • If South Africa win in Cape Town it will be their first series win at home against Australia since 1970 - they have lost four and drawn two since their readmission

  • Australia will finish the series second on the ICC's Test rankings if they win or draw in Cape Town, but third if they lose - South Africa cannot be budged from first

  • Australia have lost their past two Cape Town Tests but prior to that had an excellent record there, having won nine of the previous ten Tests they had played there

Quotes

"This would be an amazing achievement by this team to win this Test match, and as an individual player who has played a lot of cricket around the world if this doesn't excite you, you are in the wrong sport."
Michael Clarke

*1530GMT February 28: The preview was updated with the news of Shaun Marsh's exclusion

Brydon Coverdale is an assistant editor at ESPNcricinfo. He tweets here

RSS Feeds: Brydon Coverdale

© ESPN Sports Media Ltd.

Posted by pat_one_back on (March 1, 2014, 8:21 GMT)

Huge toss to win and now Aust need to make the most of it. Both tests so far have gone to the team batting first and with the Aussie openers in some nick Aust have a huge opportunity to bat themselves beyond defeat if they can see off the first few assaults. SA will no doubt fancy themselves at rolling Aust, it's 50/50 which sums up this series perfectly to date...

Posted by Unomaas on (March 1, 2014, 8:13 GMT)

Very chuffed with myself that I actually got the prediction for the SAF team correct. Must be the first time in my life! Very inspired selection and batting order from SAF. Wonder how it will affect Amla? Can't remember the last time Hash didn't walk into the middle in the first 5 overs. In fact, Amla could be considered a de facto opener.

Glad that Smith lost the toss! Was worried that if SAF batted first, it would be a one sided contest in favour of SAF. Now, its a toss up between the 2 with cricket the winner.

Saffa

Posted by rambler960 on (March 1, 2014, 7:18 GMT)

watson never makes any runs coming in cold after an injury ( which he has had way too many ).hope this match is different but i doubt it. reading previous comments hope the coin toss doesn't decide the match. time warner shut his mouth and just play cricket. aussies can't stand sore losers and warner is appearing as one

Posted by milepost on (March 1, 2014, 7:16 GMT)

Australia will take this game and the series. The toss doesn't matter.

Posted by disco_bob on (March 1, 2014, 7:14 GMT)

Wow, 17 in the SA squad, Australia got mocked mercilessly when we had a home squad of 17.

Posted by disco_bob on (March 1, 2014, 7:05 GMT)

@TheBigBoodha, it's unseemly to focus on the pitch all the time. The whole point of playing away is to Test oneself in the most difficult conditions. It makes the win all the sweeter too. India prepared dustbowls for England but it back fired.

Posted by PrasPunter on (March 1, 2014, 6:35 GMT)

@Int.Curator, I can say for sure, Clarke will never go for a draw. So there will definitely be a result.

Posted by wapuser on (March 1, 2014, 6:26 GMT)

Quality of bowling in ODI match b/w SL & IND was so average when u compare it with aus vs sa

Posted by 1ofakind_testcricket on (March 1, 2014, 6:04 GMT)

Any danger of 4 or 5 test series between these two nations in the near future?? Every battle is even and of epic proportions. Conditions in both countries are similar enough that both sides thrive and play the most fantastic cricket. For Australia and India four test series are unnecessary as both sides struggle and cannot perform to as high a standard in the others domain. The exception could perhaps be if they happen to be #1 and #2 in the world at the time, then play a 4 test series.

Posted by SamWintson92 on (March 1, 2014, 5:49 GMT)

Continued c) 26 years Kyle Abbott has 9 wickets in 1 test at only 7. It's such a shame that after taking a 5 for & performing so well in his only test appearance, Abbott has been continuously overlooked for the past more than a year ! That's incredible ! d) I don't understand why SOU keeps selecting guys like A Peterson, R Peterson, Kleinvledt, Tsolekile who aren't international standard. SOU just should move on from them & concentrate on younger players who has decent stats i.e. Abbott, B Hendricks, Van Zyl, Harmer, De Kock, Vilas etc. e) De Villiers should move up to 4, putting Du Plessis at 5. FOR AUS: a) I want Shane Watson at 3. No argues here because I'm a Watson fan big time. He has got settled at 3 & scored well in the Ashes at 3 & I want him there. b) Doolan should bat at 6, S Smith at 5 & don't know when Clarke starts to bat at 4. c) Ryan Harris shouldn't be dropped unless there's any injury/workload concerns. If he's dropped then Pattinson is the candidate.

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Brydon CoverdaleClose
Brydon Coverdale Assistant Editor Possibly the only person to win a headline-writing award for a title with the word "heifers" in it, Brydon decided agricultural journalism wasn't for him when he took up his position with ESPNcricinfo in Melbourne. His cricketing career peaked with an unbeaten 85 in the seconds for a small team in rural Victoria on a day when they could not scrounge up 11 players and Brydon, tragically, ran out of partners to help him reach his century. He is also a compulsive TV game-show contestant and has appeared on half a dozen shows in Australia.
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