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July 6, 2010
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Players/Officials:
Shaun Tait
| Shane Warne
Series/Tournaments:
England tour of Australia
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Shane Warne believes that this winter's Ashes will be one of the most competitive of recent times, but nevertheless feels that England could be weighed down by history as they seek to become only the second team in two decades to win a Test series in Australia.
All the talk during the recent five-match ODI series was of the battle for "bragging rights", and while England made an early bid for the upper hand by surging to a 3-0 series win, Australia halted their momentum in impressive fashion with two emphatic victories in the final two games.
"I think 3-2 is a pretty true reflection of both sides," Warne told Cricinfo. "I don't think that either team, England or Australia, is dominant right now. In years gone by, you used to think Australia would win, but that England might have a chance if they played really well. Now you think that England can win, but both sides are really even. And that's the case in world cricket. The top three or four sides are all very even."
When England last toured Australia, in 2006-07, the gulf between the sides turned out to be yawning, as Warne and Glenn McGrath signed off from Test cricket by sealing a 5-0 whitewash in their final match at Sydney. Justin Langer also bowed out in that game, and with Adam Gilchrist and Matthew Hayden following suit prior to last summer's rematch, Australia's golden generation have all departed the scene, with the notable exception of the current captain, Ricky Ponting.
Warne, however, believes that the men who have replaced them are now growing into their roles. "Australia have not been quite as dominating since then, but they are through that transitional period now," he said. "The majority of the players have played 15 or 20 Tests, and though England are playing exceptional cricket, it's a tough ask to go to Australia and win. They've probably got the advantage right at the moment, but in my time, we lost one home series in 17 seasons, and two in 20 now. I think it's going to be a hell of a series.
"Whenever England play Australia it's always competitive," he added. "Our countries have a love-hate relationship because, deep down, I think we actually love each other. I think that's true. We've got India these days with all the money and the eyeballs that watch them play, but in pure cricket terms, the Ashes is the biggest series out of any in the world. Right now, the two teams are really close together, and I think we'll see a high standard of cricket. Both sides are hungry and finding some form, and it's pretty even."
Whatever happens this winter, however, Warne does not believe that his Rajasthan Royals colleague, Shaun Tait, will agree to make a comeback in Test cricket, despite the hype that surrounded his 100mph spell at Lord's on Sunday, and his integral role in Australia's two face-saving victories in the final two ODIs.
"I've got a lot of time for Shaun Tait, but he's been through some tough times, so I think he'll stick to his decision," said Warne. "He got messed around a bit by Cricket Australia, and it lead to him making his decision [to retire from Tests], but he's an exciting bowler. He's got pure pace, and I was lucky enough to captain him for Rajasthan Royals in India this year. He had some fantastic games for us, even though some of the conditions didn't suit his swinging style."
Despite featuring in the World Twenty20, Tait had not played in an ODI since early 2009 when he was drafted into the Australia squad midway through the recent series. Mindful of his susceptibility to injury, Ricky Ponting used him in five two-over bursts in the third match at Old Trafford, before increasing the length of his spells as the series progressed.
"He's not a workhorse, he's a strike and impact bowler, and some of the captains he's had don't appreciate this," said Warne. "He's the fastest bowler in the world, but I think he understands his body now. He's realised he can do what he does now and his body will last, but if he pushes it any more something might give. If he was asked to bowl 14 or 15 overs in a Test, you might get him to change his mind. But to bowl 15 to 20 with his action is too many."
One man whom Warne does believe is on the verge of a Test appearance is the young legspinner, Steven Smith, who impressed with his temperament and talent during the one-dayers, and is now likely to feature in the neutral series against Pakistan, given that Nathan Hauritz has been ruled out of the remainder of the tour through injury. While reluctant to curse him with his direct blessing, Warne admitted he was impressed with what he had seen so far from Smith.
"He's a work in progress," said Warne. "He's nowhere near the finished article, but he's hungry and he's got all the tricks and all the toys, and he wants to learn. He's good in the field and a good batsman as well, and he gives Australia a lot of variety in their attack. I wouldn't be surprised if Australia play two spinners in every Test in Australia this year, especially given the way that Mitchell Johnson, Smith and Hauritz can all bat."
For the time being, however, Warne's focus will be on an entirely different field of play. He is currently in Las Vegas, getting ready to captain the 888poker team in the World Series of Poker, the most prestigious event in the game. "My hobby has now become my real passion, and this is as big as it gets," he said. "This is like the Ashes of poker, or the World Cup. It's the pinnacle where the best players play.
"There's nearly 7000 entrants each year, and last year I played exceptionally well to get to 24th place on day three, with 185,000 chips. But then I copped an absolute horror beat, which was a shame because it ended up knocking me out. But I'm loving the atmosphere this year. I played in one lead-up tournament and came 11th out of 94, which meant just missing out on the final table. If I play well and get a bit of luck, hopefully I can go a long way into the World Series main event."
Follow Shane and the rest of the 888poker.com team at the World Series of Poker on Twitter via @warne888
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Andrew Miller was saved from a life of drudgery in the City when his car caught fire on the way to an interview. He took this as a sign and fled to Pakistan where he witnessed England's historic victory in the twilight at Karachi (or thought he did, at any rate - it was too dark to tell). He then joined Wisden Online in 2001, and soon graduated from put-upon photocopier to a writer with a penchant for comment and cricket on the subcontinent. In addition to Pakistan, he has covered England tours in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, South Africa, Australia and New Zealand, as well as the World Cup in the Caribbean in 2007
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As I said in the aftermath of 2005. England will keep winning in England and Australia will keep winning in Australia. Unless one team is ravaged by injury I can't see different results over the next decade.
Posted by stuartk319 on (July 09 2010, 10:58 AM GMT)If England bowl fast, hard and at Australia I can't wait for the Ashes. If they try to spin or worse still swing Australia out they'll get whipped. They MUST play Finn, Onions and Broad. Strauss and Collingwood can provide their share of runs, but KP will need to really stand up also. I think Anderson and Bell are very ordinary in Aussie conditions. Australia, by the same token, need Bollinger, Siddle and Hilfenhaus to all be fit. My prediction is 2-1 Australia as I don't think the England bowling selections will be bold enough to try the change that will be necessary to win Down Under.
Posted byif we all remember in the 2006/2007, eng didnt play THAT badly considering the injuries they produced....they didnt have vaughan as leader or simon jones who was a great bowler, harmison who was way out of form and trescothick who is a class player but didnt go because of his mental side and strauss was out of form aswell....i think the series will fully depend on which bowlers eng will take and how they ball, whether they go all out and steam in or whether they rely on swing, and how clarke, hussey, katich and hilfenhouse will perform. i think if eng knock some sense into andersen and tell him to ball the inswing to the left handers and the outswing to the right, and if steven finn is given a chance, then england have a good chance of retaining the ashes aslong as strauss is imaginary with the field...the other way around if those four of aussies i mentioned are in fantasitc form
Posted by Rooboy on (July 08 2010, 03:20 AM GMT)@stationmaster ... please try to keep up. Given that england lost the last Ashes series in Aus 5-0, why would you need the statement 'the English will get crunched again' explained to you? Pretty self explanatory. stationmaster, it's your comments that need explanation, not Gabbagod's. Your 'the Aussies got SERIOUSLY got crunched by the english' statement makes no sense. You don't call 5-0 a crunching but 3-2 (if you're talking ODIs) or 2-1 (if you're talking tests) is a crunching by your definition! Alrighty ... Got to agree with Something_Witty, it's laughable to talk about Tait playing tests at this stage. I think he could do it if he got his mind right (which I think is more of an issue than his body) but it's too big of a risk going a bowler down. And as noted by Something_Witty, last tour the english press and fans were out in force telling us how england are favourites and will retain the urn. Hahaha! Maybe the poms can keep the series alive until Christmas this time ...
Posted by 68704 on (July 08 2010, 00:58 AM GMT)Yes I think the local advantage in Australia is bigger than any other part of the world- India should give them a run for its money in local advantage,The Australian team is truly in transition , particularly with Ponting not being the dominant force he has been over the years. I think it will be really close and there is a great opportunity for youngsters like Watson and Smith to make their presence felt. Clarke will make runs and if Hussey scores as we know he can, then Australia should win comfortably. The Australian pace attack is okay but Swann could be crucial. Australia should win - whether just or they will romp home will depend on how England handles the pressure as many of the Englishmen could be psyched by the crowds and the media, particularly the first time travellers. Australia will win and Ponting should hopefully redeem himself provided the team is fit and available,Ramanujam Sridhar
Posted by Gabbagod on (July 08 2010, 00:49 AM GMT)@stationmaster. My definition of "crunched" is not 2-1 in a very even series like yours obviously. Not even close to "seriously crunched". My definition of "crunched" is 5-0, 4-1,3-1,3-1 or 3-0 as the last 5 away Ashes series have been for England. And yes Ponting's job is resting on it because he will be 36yo when the series concludes. Hardly an age to rebuild from eh ? Even if he wins he may have 1 home summer as captain left in him. If you "crunch" those numbers into your "number cruncher" your definition may change.
Posted by sajid.dar on (July 07 2010, 23:25 PM GMT)PAK vs IND...biggest series!!!! n not ASHES...
Posted by maximum6 on (July 07 2010, 20:39 PM GMT)If it is drawn series England will have done okay. Both sides are interesting but fallible and it is down to whoever minimises unnecessary errors. England are probably overreliant on swing without enough searing pace, which is really what is needed downunder. It should be far more entertaining than the recent onesided series there.
Posted by Aussasinator on (July 07 2010, 17:59 PM GMT)Australia will win 3-0. I hate the result but this is what my gut feeling says.
Posted by Simon_1 on (July 07 2010, 14:27 PM GMT)(Note I'm an England fan) My prediction is 1-1 or 2-1 to Australia. 1-1 because neither bowling attack is strong enough in my opinion to take 20 wickets on some flat Australian wickets and England will rely on 4 bowlers and aren't "adventurous" enough to play 5 bowlers. Or 2-1 because of home advantage and England travel terribly and rely on swing too much. If England are gonna win they need Swann to have an amazing series and Finn/Broad (A Tall fast bowler) needs to do well. Dont see this happening as think Swann will have a good/alright series and Broad will do alright but they wont have amazing series. Also think it'll be a "typical" batting performance by England. E.g Get 400 when then should have got 600 (E.g At Cardiff last year in the Ashes). Eng batsmen dont have the hunger to get big or tough runs still. E.g. Cook and Bell. Just gotta hope I'm proved wrong in the winter!