Sri Lanka v West Indies, World T20, semi-final April 2, 2014

Windies firepower gives them the edge

30

Sri Lanka and West Indies won three matches and lost one each in the group stages of the World Twenty20, and their overall batting and bowling stats are fairly similar. West Indies have the marginally better batting numbers, with a slightly higher scoring rate and average, while Sri Lanka have a marginally better bowling average. Both teams have taken exactly 31 wickets, which shows there's little to separate the two teams.

Both teams have had one match in which they leaked more than 170 runs - West Indies conceded 178 against Australia (but still managed to win) while Sri Lanka went for 190 against England. Both have also had a couple of excellent bowling performances: Sri Lanka shot out Netherlands for 39 and New Zealand for 60, while West Indies bowled out Bangladesh for 98 and Pakistan for 82.

In terms of scoring patterns, though, there is some difference. West Indies have relied heavily on boundaries: they've struck almost twice as many sixes as Sri Lanka, and have scored almost 66% of their runs in fours and sixes. Sri Lanka, on the other hand, have played about 15% fewer dot balls than West Indies.

Overall stats for SL and WI in the World T20 2014
  Batting Bowling
  Runs scored Average Run rate Wkts taken Average Econ rate
Sri Lanka 513 23.31 7.97 31 14.48 6.87
West Indies 645 26.87 8.09 31 15.74 6.36
How SL and WI have scored their runs
Team 1s/ 2s/ 3s Dot-ball % 4s/ 6s Boundary %
Sri Lanka 134/ 36/ 0 40.26 49/ 14 57.61
West Indies 136/ 32/ 1 47.29 57/ 27 65.77

The bowling comparison

Spin has played a prominent role in the campaigns of both teams so far. West Indies have had Samuel Badree at the start of the innings, and Sunil Narine through the middle and end overs, while Sachitra Senanayake and Ajantha Mendis were Sri Lanka's spin options through much of the tournament, before Rangana Herath made his tournament debut against New Zealand and completely blew them away with figures of 5 for 3.

Overall, West Indies have been more reliant on their spinners: they've bowled more overs than the seamers, and have accounted for 19 of their 31 wickets. Badree is the third-highest wicket-taker of the tournament, while Narine's economy rate of 4.50 is second only Bhuvneshwar Kumar's, among bowlers who have bowled at least 10 overs in the tournament. And then there has been Krishmar Santokie, the unsung hero for West Indies: no one's talked much about him, but he has taken six wickets at an average of 13.83 and an economy rate of 5.59. (Click here for West Indies' batting and bowling averages in the tournament.)

For Sri Lanka, Nuwan Kulasekara has been superb, taking six wickets at 11.67 and an economy rate of 5.83, but Lasith Malinga has had a relatively quiet tournament, taking three wickets in 12 overs. (Click here for Sri Lanka's batting and bowling averages in the tournament.)

Pace and spin stats for SL and WI
  Spin Pace
  Overs Wkts Average Econ rate Overs Wkts Average Econ rate
Sri Lanka 25.0 13 12.76 6.64 40.2 13 21.07 6.79
West Indies 41.4 19 12.31 5.61 35.0 12 20.91 7.17

In terms of their bowling performances in different stages of an innings, both Sri Lanka and West Indies have been superb during the Powerplay overs, taking plenty of wickets and restricting the runs. Both teams have taken 11 wickets in the first six overs - the most by any team in the tournament - though Sri Lanka have a slightly better economy rate. There's little to choose between their stats in the middle overs too, but in the last five, West Indies have a better economy rate. Sri Lanka have conceded 9.55 per over in the last five, thanks to their games against England and South Africa, when they went for 48 off 26 balls and 45 off 30 in the last five overs.

WI and SL with the ball so far in the tournament
  First 6 overs 6.1 to 15 overs Last 5 overs
  Average Econ rate Average Econ rate Average Econ rate
Sri Lanka 10.45 4.79 21.81 7.61 10.44 9.55
West Indies 11.90 5.45 25.60 7.11 10.10 6.06

West Indies' last five overs blitz

As mentioned earlier, West Indies have been strong boundary hitters in the tournament, and they've been especially destructive in the last five overs of their innings. Their run rate in the last five is 12.55, a period during which they've scored 247 runs in 118 balls. Darren Sammy alone has caused immeasurable damage to the opposition bowling figures during this period, scoring 99 off 39 balls during this period, at a staggering run rate of 15.23 per over. Dwayne Bravo hasn't done badly either, scoring 54 from 24. Sri Lanka's run rate of 9.83 in the last five isn't too bad (141 runs from 86 balls), but this is clearly a period that has belonged to West Indies.

Sri Lanka's strength has been more in the middle overs, when they've scored at a brisk pace without losing too many wickets. Mahela Jayawardene has been at the forefront in this aspect, scoring 74 off 50 balls during this period (run rate 8.88) and getting out just once.

WI and SL scoring patterns in the tournament so far
  First 6 overs 6.1 to 15 overs Last 5 overs
Team Average Run rate Average Run rate Average Run rate
Sri Lanka 24.00 7.30 40.80 7.55 14.10 9.83
West Indies 53.33 6.66 21.63 6.61 24.70 12.55

The Mirpur factor

West Indies also have the advantage of having played all their matches in Mirpur - which is the venue for the semi-final - while Sri Lanka have played in Chittagong. However, conditions in Mirpur have favoured spin more than in Chittagong, which should suit Sri Lanka as well: spinners have bowled twice as many overs in Mirpur compared to Chittagong in the main stage of the tournament, and achieved better economy rates. (Click here for the stats of spinners at the two venues, and here for the pace bowlers' numbers.)

The head-to-head history

Sri Lanka and West Indies have played five Twenty20 internationals so far, all of them in the World Twenty20. While Sri Lanka won the first four, West Indies beat them in the big game, the final of the 2012 edition, by 36 runs. Four of the five matches between them have been won by the team batting first.

In matches between these two teams, Jayawardene has been the top batsman, scoring 202 runs at a strike rate of 133.77; Tillakaratne Dilshan isn't far behind in terms of aggregate, scoring 187 at a strike rate touching 160. West Indies' batsmen have been relatively quiet, with Chris Gayle scoring only 73 in four innings.

Among the bowlers, Mendis has stunning stats: in 20 overs he has figures of 13 for 82, an average of 6.30 and an economy rate of 4.10. Malinga, though, has leaked almost 9.50 runs per over against West Indies. Narine has played only two games against Sri Lanka, but has been his usual self, taking 3 for 32 from 7.4 overs.

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. Follow him on Twitter

Comments have now been closed for this article

  • on April 3, 2014, 12:16 GMT

    WI are leaving a lot to the Skip. CG must shine today. Move Russell to #4, even if he bombs, you have to give him a chance to make some fast runs. Cannot leave it all to Sammy.

  • on April 3, 2014, 12:13 GMT

    just wait and see the how the lions roar.

  • vinjoy on April 3, 2014, 11:59 GMT

    Giving SL a small benefit of doubt, I would say WI has 99% chances of winning. Gayle and Samuels will whack around SL attack. Packup SL and plan more tours with BD and Pak to boost your stats and 100s.

  • bouncer709 on April 3, 2014, 11:51 GMT

    Time for Sangkara to come up with some score here.

  • Darksack on April 3, 2014, 11:44 GMT

    Let's just hope SL don't get defensive as they have a history of doing so. I wouldn't think they could defend any sub par score. They might be better chasing.

  • vkumar_086 on April 3, 2014, 11:25 GMT

    im expecting the similar kind of innings of Samuels in last T20 WC by any other WI batsman..may be its by Sammy or Simmons this time...60:40 chance for WI today

  • on April 3, 2014, 11:13 GMT

    no doubt...Sl will win!! they r the greatest all around team in the tournament.batting, bowling, fielding stats are just awesome..good luck Sri Lanka

  • true-cric-lover on April 3, 2014, 10:48 GMT

    SL is the most consistent team in globule tournaments because winning shorter format games mostly depend on how teams play on that particulate day and still being runners-up also a big achievement. lost final match not mean that they are loses because no one give free card to sit the final. records shows that WI lost 4 games in T20WCs to SL. SL lost only one and it was 2012 final. see what happen in this time and it's so call cricket.

  • TheKeeper on April 3, 2014, 8:41 GMT

    I don't think WI have any edge against SL. SL are a far better all round team and should be able to come up with easy plans to counter WI. Also, WI have one or two star (match winner) players, but most of the team is made up of just mediocre players. Bravo, Samuels and Sammy are the only good all round cricketers and there too Sammy is a bit hit or miss. Gayle has lost his bat-speed and seems to be struggling to pick the ball and shot selection, but that could just be a 'form' issue. Sri Lanka seem the better side and I back SL for the win.

  • Remoz on April 3, 2014, 7:44 GMT

    @Cricinbest Runouts also wickets taken by the team with good fielding effort.

  • on April 3, 2014, 12:16 GMT

    WI are leaving a lot to the Skip. CG must shine today. Move Russell to #4, even if he bombs, you have to give him a chance to make some fast runs. Cannot leave it all to Sammy.

  • on April 3, 2014, 12:13 GMT

    just wait and see the how the lions roar.

  • vinjoy on April 3, 2014, 11:59 GMT

    Giving SL a small benefit of doubt, I would say WI has 99% chances of winning. Gayle and Samuels will whack around SL attack. Packup SL and plan more tours with BD and Pak to boost your stats and 100s.

  • bouncer709 on April 3, 2014, 11:51 GMT

    Time for Sangkara to come up with some score here.

  • Darksack on April 3, 2014, 11:44 GMT

    Let's just hope SL don't get defensive as they have a history of doing so. I wouldn't think they could defend any sub par score. They might be better chasing.

  • vkumar_086 on April 3, 2014, 11:25 GMT

    im expecting the similar kind of innings of Samuels in last T20 WC by any other WI batsman..may be its by Sammy or Simmons this time...60:40 chance for WI today

  • on April 3, 2014, 11:13 GMT

    no doubt...Sl will win!! they r the greatest all around team in the tournament.batting, bowling, fielding stats are just awesome..good luck Sri Lanka

  • true-cric-lover on April 3, 2014, 10:48 GMT

    SL is the most consistent team in globule tournaments because winning shorter format games mostly depend on how teams play on that particulate day and still being runners-up also a big achievement. lost final match not mean that they are loses because no one give free card to sit the final. records shows that WI lost 4 games in T20WCs to SL. SL lost only one and it was 2012 final. see what happen in this time and it's so call cricket.

  • TheKeeper on April 3, 2014, 8:41 GMT

    I don't think WI have any edge against SL. SL are a far better all round team and should be able to come up with easy plans to counter WI. Also, WI have one or two star (match winner) players, but most of the team is made up of just mediocre players. Bravo, Samuels and Sammy are the only good all round cricketers and there too Sammy is a bit hit or miss. Gayle has lost his bat-speed and seems to be struggling to pick the ball and shot selection, but that could just be a 'form' issue. Sri Lanka seem the better side and I back SL for the win.

  • Remoz on April 3, 2014, 7:44 GMT

    @Cricinbest Runouts also wickets taken by the team with good fielding effort.

  • Cricinbest on April 3, 2014, 7:15 GMT

    @ultimatewarrior: In the article the writer is speaking of the wickets taken by the teams, so it is 31 for both. Sri Lankan bowlers have taken 26 wickets and the others are run-outs.

  • on April 3, 2014, 7:09 GMT

    windies winning chances is far ahead thn srilanka......as they have more batting power,bowling attck i.e narine n badri(ranked 1 &2)...srilanka batting seems to be slightly weak thn wd...btw it will a tough contest.....

  • on April 3, 2014, 6:35 GMT

    west indies are the favourites to win today.i hope SL win today so that we can make their world cup final losses to 5-0.

  • on April 3, 2014, 5:59 GMT

    Play Mendis with Herath and Sachithra. Only guys to stay out is Thirimanna or Thisara...

  • Udendra on April 3, 2014, 5:56 GMT

    Batting or Fielding, it's the last 5 overs that SL needs to focus really hard.

  • The-love on April 3, 2014, 5:36 GMT

    We know whther WI chase or bat first,they will be around 50-2/3 after 10.Their main game start after that.If SL can stop them in last 10 or give reasonable runs,they will surely win which they could not do in last final.All the best from India.

  • ultimatewarrior on April 3, 2014, 5:29 GMT

    one small mistake in...Overall stats for SL and WI in the World T20 2014...SL Bowlers has taken 26 Wkt @ 16.92

  • on April 3, 2014, 4:52 GMT

    Both teams are looking good on paper. I would say its 50-50. Who ever handles the pressure till last over will win. All the best to both WI and SL.

  • on April 3, 2014, 4:42 GMT

    SL is one of the strongest team in the spinning conditions but ofcourse WI on their day can thrash any team.Its going to b an exciting game.All the best to both teams from India.Cant choose the favorite between two awesome teams.

  • on April 3, 2014, 4:42 GMT

    west indies vs south africa FINAL

  • CricketFirst on April 3, 2014, 4:27 GMT

    Yes WI do have firepower but on a spinning wicket it won't be easy to hit SL spinners consistently. I'm sure that SL will come up with a plan to get through WI batting lineup.

  • tashan329 on April 3, 2014, 4:25 GMT

    Gayle will fire. Herath will become Ajmal of that other day. WI to win by a huge margin.

  • VinothSam on April 3, 2014, 3:20 GMT

    Forget about the stats. Those are history. Lets make a mystery. Who thought SL was gonna get bowled out NZ within 60 runs other than SL fans. No more predictions from here on. Lets be finger crossed.

  • on April 3, 2014, 3:08 GMT

    Spinners will play crucial role ... badree and narine in form while herath is back with BANG ... if Im captain i will bat first and try to get minimum 155 runs ..... and batting 2nd is very hard on those slow wickets .... so I think who ever win the toss will win the match 50% After winning the toss alone .

  • on April 3, 2014, 2:20 GMT

    Good luck WI. India vs WI final :)

  • on April 3, 2014, 2:05 GMT

    What ever said & done, finally SL will win this game!!! Yes! Go Sri Lanka!

  • on April 3, 2014, 0:46 GMT

    no way lanka wil win as their depth in bowling n batting will give them edge

  • on April 2, 2014, 23:53 GMT

    These points are a good analysis. But we shouldn't forget that this is a subcontinent pitch. On their day, SL is next to none. I expect this to be their game, but also hope for some fireworks that can do justice to the semi final. Good luck to both team- Fan from India

  • on April 2, 2014, 21:56 GMT

    evenly matched teams but edge on Lanka bcoz of legend malinga and mahela

  • on April 2, 2014, 18:59 GMT

    wi all the way..

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  • on April 2, 2014, 18:59 GMT

    wi all the way..

  • on April 2, 2014, 21:56 GMT

    evenly matched teams but edge on Lanka bcoz of legend malinga and mahela

  • on April 2, 2014, 23:53 GMT

    These points are a good analysis. But we shouldn't forget that this is a subcontinent pitch. On their day, SL is next to none. I expect this to be their game, but also hope for some fireworks that can do justice to the semi final. Good luck to both team- Fan from India

  • on April 3, 2014, 0:46 GMT

    no way lanka wil win as their depth in bowling n batting will give them edge

  • on April 3, 2014, 2:05 GMT

    What ever said & done, finally SL will win this game!!! Yes! Go Sri Lanka!

  • on April 3, 2014, 2:20 GMT

    Good luck WI. India vs WI final :)

  • on April 3, 2014, 3:08 GMT

    Spinners will play crucial role ... badree and narine in form while herath is back with BANG ... if Im captain i will bat first and try to get minimum 155 runs ..... and batting 2nd is very hard on those slow wickets .... so I think who ever win the toss will win the match 50% After winning the toss alone .

  • VinothSam on April 3, 2014, 3:20 GMT

    Forget about the stats. Those are history. Lets make a mystery. Who thought SL was gonna get bowled out NZ within 60 runs other than SL fans. No more predictions from here on. Lets be finger crossed.

  • tashan329 on April 3, 2014, 4:25 GMT

    Gayle will fire. Herath will become Ajmal of that other day. WI to win by a huge margin.

  • CricketFirst on April 3, 2014, 4:27 GMT

    Yes WI do have firepower but on a spinning wicket it won't be easy to hit SL spinners consistently. I'm sure that SL will come up with a plan to get through WI batting lineup.