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Numbers Game

The year of unprecedented home domination in ODIs

Also: A look at Bangladesh bowlers' many recent debut successes in one-dayers

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
26-Jun-2015
Mustafizur Rahman is one of five Bangladesh bowlers to take four or more wickets on ODI debut in the last seven years  •  Associated Press

Mustafizur Rahman is one of five Bangladesh bowlers to take four or more wickets on ODI debut in the last seven years  •  Associated Press

The last eight months have been particularly memorable for teams in one-day internationals. Since the World Cup, Bangladesh and England have both made good use of home conditions to overcome opponents far more fancied than themselves: after an impressive World Cup campaign, Bangladesh thrashed Pakistan 3-0 and India 2-1, while England overcame New Zealand 3-2. Two out of four World Cup semi-finalists played away series, and lost against opponents they were expected to beat.
Home advantage has always counted for a bit in cricket, but never as much as it has in one-day internationals in the last eight months. The numbers are quite incredible: in 75 matches, home teams have won 61 and lost only ten, a win-loss ratio of 6.1.
This period began with India's 5-0 whitewash of Sri Lanka in November last year, and then continued with Australia's 4-1 defeat of South Africa, and Bangladesh's 5-0 drubbing of Zimbabwe. In the lead-up to the World Cup, Australia won four games without losing any in the tri-series against India and England, while South Africa beat West Indies 4-1. In the World Cup itself, the two dominant teams were the ones which hosted the tournament: New Zealand won eight out of eight at home, while Australia, the eventual champions, won seven out of seven. (One match, against Bangladesh, was washed out, while their only defeat was in New Zealand.) Since the World Cup, Bangladesh and England have kept the flag flying for the home teams, while Pakistan have chipped in too, with a 2-0 win in a historic home series against Zimbabwe. During these eight months, Australia have a 15-1 win-loss record at home, Bangladesh 10-1, and New Zealand 14-2. (Click here for the team-wise stats in home ODIs in the last eight months.)
All those results add up to complete home dominance over the last eight months. The table below looks at year-wise ODI home results over the last decade, and never has the skew been as prominent as it is now. In fact, between January and October 2014, home teams won fewer ODIs than they lost. In all the other years since 2005, the win-loss ratio for home teams has never exceeded 1.68 (69-41) in 2010.
In 2015 so far, the ODI win-loss ratio for home teams is 6.5 (39 wins, six losses), which is by far the best in any calendar year. The next-best, with a 20-match cut-off, is 1989 ratio of 2.75 (32-22). When grouping the numbers by decade, though, the 2010s is only marginally ahead of the 1990s, suggesting this is just a one-off occurrence. For the moment, the home teams are surely not complaining.
Year-wise ODI stats for home teams since Jan 2006
Year Mat Won Lost W/L Bat ave Run rate Bowl ave Econ rate
 Nov 2014 onwards  75  61  10  6.10  44.42  6.21  27.15  5.31
 Jan-Oct 2014  67  28  36  0.78  29.16  5.26  32.08  5.27
 year 2013  107  51  46  1.11  32.16  5.19  30.40  5.19
 year 2012  72  41  26  1.58  33.32  5.17  27.52  4.87
 year 2011  113  61  46  1.33  32.06  5.16  29.47  5.01
 year 2010  112  69  41  1.68  33.83  5.20  27.42  4.84
 year 2009  119  50  63  0.79  30.89  5.22  31.70  5.21
 year 2008  105  60  36  1.67  31.29  5.02  25.74  4.66
 year 2007  118  65  47  1.38  32.17  5.13  29.04  4.89
 year 2006  118  67  47  1.43  31.30  5.03  28.72  4.73
Bangladesh's dynamic debutants
More than any other team, Bangladesh seem to be the side whose ODI bowlers are churning out outstanding performances in their debut game. Mustafizur Rahman's 5 for 50 was even more special as it helped win a crucial game against India - and for good measure he followed that with 6 for 43 in his next game - but in the recent past there have been other strong debut displays as well. Almost exactly a year before Mustafizur's debut, Taskin Ahmed started his ODI career with a haul of 5 for 28 against India; in December last year, Taijul Islam, the left-arm spinner, took 4 for 11 on debut against Zimbabwe; in 2012, Sohag Gazi, the offspinner, began his ODI career with a debut haul of 4 for 29; Rubel Hossain's debut ODI brought him similarly rich rewards - 4 for 33 against Sri Lanka.
Since the beginning of 2004, Bangladesh's debutant bowlers have taken 42 wickets at an average of 21.04, and an economy rate of 4.49; with a 25-wicket cut-off, only South Africa's debutant bowlers have a better average (19.70), while the economy rate for Bangladesh is better than that of any other team. Also, five Bangladesh bowlers have taken four or more wickets on debut during this period, which is more than all other sides.
South Africa's best during this period have been Vernon Philander, Imran Tahir, Marchant de Lange and Lonwabo Tsotsobe, who've all started their ODI careers with four-wicket hauls in overseas games. West Indies bowlers have started off well too, with four bowlers taking three or more wickets on debut.
The team with the poorest debut bowling average during this period, though, is India - they're the only team to concede more than 40 runs per wicket. Four of their bowlers conceded 50 or more runs without taking a wicket on debut during this period: Praveen Kumar, Irfan Pathan, Abhimanyu Mithun and Karn Sharma. On the other hand, only three - Varun Aaron, Piyush Chawla and Rahul Sharma - took three on debut. (Click here for the full list of Indian bowlers' debut performances.)
There doesn't seem to be any meaningful correlation between debut performances and long-term results. Bangladesh will be hoping that changes with their current set.
Team-wise stats for debutant bowlers in ODIs since 2004
Team Mat Wkts Average Econ 4+ wkts
 South Africa  30  37  19.70  4.67  4
 Bangladesh  36  42  21.04  4.49  5
 West Indies  42  33  25.36  4.51  1
 England  45  43  26.27  4.72  1
 Pakistan  40  37  30.35  4.79  0
 Sri Lanka  40  30  30.90  5.11  0
 Zimbabwe  38  40  31.65  5.42  1
 Australia  47  47  33.17  5.05  1
 New Zealand  43  33  34.78  5.57  2
 Canada  30  29  39.06  5.40  1
 India  42  31  42.12  5.10  0

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. Follow him on Twitter