Australia v Bangladesh, Group A, World Twenty20, Bridgetown May 4, 2010

Australia on the verge of second round

40

Match Facts

Wednesday, May 5, Kensington Oval
Start time 1300 (1700 GMT)

The Big Picture

Australia have almost ensured there will be no repeat of their first-round exit in this event last year following their convincing performance against Pakistan on Sunday. The 34-run success means they will have to be embarrassed by Bangladesh to be knocked out during a game they hope will be played on a surface offering much more bounce that the pitches in St Lucia.

The group moves to Barbados for the final match of the opening phase and Bangladesh are praying for a strong victory in order to qualify. They were beaten by Pakistan by 21 runs on Saturday, leaving their net run-rate at -1.05, and are chasing a minor miracle given they have lost 11 Twenty20s in a row.

Australia are now feeling like they would in a 50-over World Cup. A strong start has given them confidence and most of their major operators are in good touch. Shane Watson and David Hussey posted half-centuries against Pakistan while Shaun Tait, Dirk Nannes and Mitchell Johnson combined for eight wickets. Johnson is in doubt for this match due to an elbow infection but if the attack clicks again a spot in the second round will be a formality.

Form guide (most recent first)

Australia WTWWW
Bangladesh LLLLL

Watch out for...

Dirk Nannes continues to grow as a fast bowler and will enjoy running in at the Bangladeshis, who often struggle with shorter balls. Nannes provides potential for more discomfort by being a left-armer who operates around 150kph and can cramp the batsmen for room. He has played only six T20s for Australia since swapping from the Netherlands last year, and has taken at least a wicket in every innings, including 3 for 41 on Sunday.

The best chance Bangladesh have is if Tamim Iqbal takes off. Tamim is capable of gorging on attacks and seems perfectly suited to Twenty20, but has struggled to go on and has a top score of 32 in 14 matches. A strike-rate of 93.68 is also well below par for a batsman of such aggressive quality and his country will be willing him to stand tall against Australia.

Team news

Johnson is an uncertain starter after he left training on Tuesday to have medical treatment on an infection in his right elbow. "He could probably play if it was the World Cup final tomorrow, but there's a lot of the tournament to go," the team physio Alex Kountouris told AAP. That means Ryan Harris should be included for his first match after making a last-minute dash to the Caribbean to replace the injured Brett Lee. Nathan Hauritz, the offspinner, was left out of the opening match and should stay on the sidelines, especially if the pitch looks like helping the fast bowlers. Even if Johnson proves fit, Harris is an outside chance to come in, probably at the expense of Steven Smith. "With our squad we have the potential to change the team for conditions," the captain Michael Clarke said. "If conditions suit another fast bowler in Barbados, I don't see why not."

Australia (probable) 1 Shane Watson, 2 David Warner, 3 Michael Clarke (capt), 4 David Hussey, 5 Cameron White, 6 Brad Haddin (wk), 7 Michael Hussey, 8 Steven Smith, 9 Ryan Harris, 10 Dirk Nannes, 11 Shaun Tait.

It can't be a great job selecting the Bangladesh XI. There are so many players capable of competitive bursts, yet so few positive results. The batting looks stronger than the bowling at the moment, so Syed Rasel may come into calculations.

Bangladesh (possible) 1 Tamim Iqbal, 2 Imrul Kayes, 3 Mohammad Ashraful, 4 Shakib Al Hasan (capt), 5 Mahmudullah, 6 Naeem Islam, 7 Mushfiqur Rahim (wk), 8 Mashrafe Mortaza, 9 Suhrawadi Shuvo, 10 Shafiul Islam, 11 Abdur Razzak.

Pitch and conditions

Before the tournament began the Australians were thinking of using four fast men in Barbados, which they remembered as the quickest surface in the Caribbean. It's unlikely they will employ that sort of attack now Lee has gone home, and talk of slower wickets at Kensington Oval will also reduce the chances of a pace quartet. The forecast is for scattered showers and a top of 30C.

Stats and trivia

  • The teams have played once in Twenty20s, with Australia winning by nine wickets at the 2007 tournament in South Africa. Australia have three men in the Caribbean who took part in that game, while Bangladesh have six
  • Bangladesh haven't won a T20 international since they beat West Indies in September 2007
  • Australia have not been defeated since their exit in last year's tournament. Since then they have had a no result, an abandoned match, five wins and a one-over eliminator loss that is officially recorded as a tie. It's their most successful streak in the format

    Quotes

    "There's probably extra motivation from within the squad. We want to perform better than we have in Twenty20 cricket in general, not just in this tournament."
    Michael Clarke's side doesn't want to be among the also-rans

    "It's going to be near impossible for us to get through. It's not going to be of any use winning and not have the right margin. We're going to need a reasonable run rate, that's for sure."
    Jamie Siddons, the Bangladesh coach

    Peter English is the Australasia editor of Cricinfo

Comments have now been closed for this article

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 20:01 GMT

    So my original prediction came right. BD will not last 20 overs I said and they did not last. However, i still consider BD to have won (sort of). they lasted 15 overs which is quite a feet given their lack of ability

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 19:40 GMT

    All right. As far as I am concerned BD won. They survived 15 overs, and to me it is like winning. Well done BD. You survived 15 overs. Your team deserves to be declared the worthy winners. Impressive stuff

  • on May 5, 2010, 19:11 GMT

    lolzzzzzzzzzzz hahahahhaha look at BD now.. Aussies are kicking them like street boys now.. Lolz.. PaKistan is gonnna play England tommorow lets face it all those pakistani haterz .Aussies have given Pakistan a yet another title consectively InshAllah .....

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 19:11 GMT

    As some of us very correctly predicted, BD is making mockery of themselves. I posted elsewhere few days back if BD lasts all 20 overs it would be a miracle. I am revising my target. If BD lasts 15 overs I would consider that as a win.

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 18:27 GMT

    @Faisal khan. BD fans are not rubbing anybody anything mate. You guys are getting a severa beating from the Aussie tail enders. can you believe it. Stephen Smith is beating your bowlers. Bye bye for BD. Looks like folks have very correctly estimated BD.

  • tabishjaved on May 5, 2010, 18:09 GMT

    lanat hay pakistani team pay very shameful for afridi and his team

  • on May 5, 2010, 17:47 GMT

    BD is rubbing in all the Aussie fans right now as the game is moving towards a big BD win!!! Dont under-estimate your opponents ever, and dont be cocky, I think AUssies r going down in this one!!! IN the process Pak may be eliminated which although I am a Pakistani, would not mind because thats what they deserve, nothing more nothing less!!!

  • on May 5, 2010, 16:44 GMT

    in BD there r only few good hitterz....others i dunno :S Let us see what happens.. Hope BD wins :)

  • VijayEleven on May 5, 2010, 16:42 GMT

    Helloo Mr. sunoo..... Really worried after reaing u'r msg. BD is capable of beating any team.They have beaten all the test playing nations. They have very good players like Tamim,Ashraful,Shakib Al Hasan,Mortaza..who can take the team to victory... don't underestimate any team. don't forget that this is the team, that send India out of World cup in 2007 and Ireland push out Pakistan too... any thing can happen in cricket.So stop underestimating any teams...

  • chochotain on May 5, 2010, 15:22 GMT

    Well, all good teams are already qualified except Pakistan. It would not make tournamnent ruthless if Pakistani team is not qualified. T20 is different and BD has the skills for an upset in this format. Math is also not that bad. If Aus palys first and score 120-200 BD has to make it in 19 overs. If BD plays first they have to beat AUS with only 9 runs and majority of Pakistani in this message board will disappear for couple of months

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 20:01 GMT

    So my original prediction came right. BD will not last 20 overs I said and they did not last. However, i still consider BD to have won (sort of). they lasted 15 overs which is quite a feet given their lack of ability

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 19:40 GMT

    All right. As far as I am concerned BD won. They survived 15 overs, and to me it is like winning. Well done BD. You survived 15 overs. Your team deserves to be declared the worthy winners. Impressive stuff

  • on May 5, 2010, 19:11 GMT

    lolzzzzzzzzzzz hahahahhaha look at BD now.. Aussies are kicking them like street boys now.. Lolz.. PaKistan is gonnna play England tommorow lets face it all those pakistani haterz .Aussies have given Pakistan a yet another title consectively InshAllah .....

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 19:11 GMT

    As some of us very correctly predicted, BD is making mockery of themselves. I posted elsewhere few days back if BD lasts all 20 overs it would be a miracle. I am revising my target. If BD lasts 15 overs I would consider that as a win.

  • Sam_k14 on May 5, 2010, 18:27 GMT

    @Faisal khan. BD fans are not rubbing anybody anything mate. You guys are getting a severa beating from the Aussie tail enders. can you believe it. Stephen Smith is beating your bowlers. Bye bye for BD. Looks like folks have very correctly estimated BD.

  • tabishjaved on May 5, 2010, 18:09 GMT

    lanat hay pakistani team pay very shameful for afridi and his team

  • on May 5, 2010, 17:47 GMT

    BD is rubbing in all the Aussie fans right now as the game is moving towards a big BD win!!! Dont under-estimate your opponents ever, and dont be cocky, I think AUssies r going down in this one!!! IN the process Pak may be eliminated which although I am a Pakistani, would not mind because thats what they deserve, nothing more nothing less!!!

  • on May 5, 2010, 16:44 GMT

    in BD there r only few good hitterz....others i dunno :S Let us see what happens.. Hope BD wins :)

  • VijayEleven on May 5, 2010, 16:42 GMT

    Helloo Mr. sunoo..... Really worried after reaing u'r msg. BD is capable of beating any team.They have beaten all the test playing nations. They have very good players like Tamim,Ashraful,Shakib Al Hasan,Mortaza..who can take the team to victory... don't underestimate any team. don't forget that this is the team, that send India out of World cup in 2007 and Ireland push out Pakistan too... any thing can happen in cricket.So stop underestimating any teams...

  • chochotain on May 5, 2010, 15:22 GMT

    Well, all good teams are already qualified except Pakistan. It would not make tournamnent ruthless if Pakistani team is not qualified. T20 is different and BD has the skills for an upset in this format. Math is also not that bad. If Aus palys first and score 120-200 BD has to make it in 19 overs. If BD plays first they have to beat AUS with only 9 runs and majority of Pakistani in this message board will disappear for couple of months

  • sunoo on May 5, 2010, 13:25 GMT

    After reading people's comments I can't stop laughing. They are doing calculation like Australia going to have a match against south africa or any other top team. This is Bangladesh who rarely wins a match. Thier record is worse than any team. If I was President of Bangal cricket I would have stopped them taking apart and making record worse. A team which lost so many matches in a row and are champions in losing matches. People are comparing Australia with BD, guys come on BD wins one match in a year which they have already done. I know they have beaten Aussies once upon a time but this sort of miracles happened rarely not everytime. So please stop comparing and watch ahead as I see Pakistanis in super8. Even if BD qualify then that would be shame as tournament will be ruthless without good teams and this WC would be a mess like 2007.

  • A_Fan on May 5, 2010, 13:13 GMT

    Bangladesh needs to win by 9 runs to qualify. How come it is being potrayed asa big deal? Pakistan won by 21 and lost by 34 ie -13 runs over 40 overs. Bangladesh lost by 21 runs. So if they win by 9 runs, they will be -12 runs over 40 overs and qualify.

  • on May 5, 2010, 13:01 GMT

    I did the calculations. The equations for BD is simple.. they have to beat AUS by 7 runs. or achieve the target in 19.1 overs if they bat second. But the worrying thing is that they are against AUS and AUS looked relly good against Pak. I think AUS is big time favorites for winning the Cup.

  • on May 5, 2010, 11:30 GMT

    May 5, 2010 (13:00 local, 17:00 GMT) this one is correct

  • on May 5, 2010, 11:14 GMT

    I Love My Aussies team , Australia any Sports mein achi team hai, Love u Clarke.............

  • Dip29 on May 5, 2010, 11:14 GMT

    Net run rate is total (runs scored/overs - runs given/overs) so if anyteam suppose has 400/40 (scored and given) in 2 matches then their net r/r going to be zero.Hope it helps.

  • on May 5, 2010, 11:00 GMT

    Hey at what time exactly will the match start?? I am fully confused!! some say at 17:00 gmt and some say at 13:30 gmt??

  • jonesy2 on May 5, 2010, 10:50 GMT

    JS82. mate it starts 13.00 local time.

  • on May 5, 2010, 10:49 GMT

    Net Run Rate Calculation is just not so simple as u people thought. Cricinfo is 101% right that BD needs a big margin win to qualify. see the formula below.

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/math/c/f/6/cf62df20cb39e4d78e79699768f220e7.png

  • on May 5, 2010, 10:44 GMT

    what the hell is going on man............why icc dont considers weather problems... rain forcasted for toadays match,...........

  • sniffa-dawg on May 5, 2010, 10:06 GMT

    it sounds really absurd that bangladesh will beat aussies.... fluke doesnt happen every match and mind it, aussies are on a roll this time..... this trophy is going to be taken by the ruthless aussies and they will prove the fact that they r champs in every format..... being honestly,the only chance the bangalis have to sneak into the super8s is to depend on the DlL method...... im supporting my pakistani team but like bangladesh, im also hopeless......

  • on May 5, 2010, 8:42 GMT

    No chance to win this match for Bangladesh............Australia on top as usual.........so don't think Bangal tigers u will defenitely lose.

  • Protik_from_Dhaka on May 5, 2010, 7:53 GMT

    I didn't went for big calculations......but what my guess says is that....if BD beats Aus by a short margin.......it would be Pakistan going back to home.....and if BD beats Aus by a bigger margin....it would be Australia's turn to pack their bags. So, naturally, Australia is in a more advantageous position than others.

  • on May 5, 2010, 7:30 GMT

    The Super Eights Math

    Pakistan's NRR has dropped from +1.050 to -0.325 as a result of Aus loss. Bangladesh remains on their NRR of -1.050 and Australia now tops the group with NRR of +1.700. The progression to the next stage is simple for Group A if Australia beats Bangladesh outright as that'll leave Bangladesh with zero points and Pakistan already has 2 (or even if the game gets washed or tied).

    - If Australia loses by 8 runs or less, then Pakistan and Australia will qualify for Super Eights. - If Australia loses with more than 48 runs, then Pakistan and Bangladesh will qualify. - And if Australia's loss is within the margin of anywhere between 7 and 47 runs, then Bangladesh and Australia will qualify.

    Full Article is at: http://pak.criccamp.com/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&layout=item&id=120&Itemid=181

  • on May 5, 2010, 7:17 GMT

    all i can say is best of luck Bangladesh :-)

  • Junior on May 5, 2010, 7:13 GMT

    no, put it this way, pak won by 21 runs and lost by 34 runs..they are 21-34=-13..bd lost by 21 runs..so now -21..a win of 9 will make it -12 for them and will be enough..simple mathmatics..(assuming its a full 20 over match)..while chasing,it depends on what amount is to chase..but if its a score around 160-170, 19 or 19.1 over win will do it...but all is a bit theoretical i suppose..bd wont beat aus..i m just correcting cricinfo-s fault of stating they need a massive win..which is not true..

  • ZsZs on May 5, 2010, 5:27 GMT

    Yes, I get the same calculation: If Bangladesh wins, they will get 2 points. Eqaul to Pakistan and Australia. Bangladesh is 0.725 run-rate behind Pakistan as of now. If they can get 0.726 runs per over more for them in the next game, then Bangladesh will be second in the group. That means 20X0.725=14.5 runs differential. BD needs to defeat Aus by 15 runs to make it to round 2. Good Luck to Bangladesh.

  • on May 5, 2010, 5:27 GMT

    my openion is if bangladesh is need to win then must change their players .. it means opening will need to change for imrul and must in Aftab....

  • baasir on May 5, 2010, 4:41 GMT

    aaaaaaaaw.youn people are talking about bangladesh's victory over aus.lol.Bangladesh simply cant beat aus.Aus will conflict a heavy defeat upon bangalis thats for sure.

  • nafee on May 5, 2010, 3:28 GMT

    how can a win of 9 runs or within 19th over be a massive win......please tell me some1...........

  • JS82 on May 5, 2010, 2:52 GMT

    I am confused over the start time of this game. According to my schedule it is supposed to start at 13:30 GMT but it seems like it is starting at 1700 GMT instead. Which one is the correct time?

  • on May 5, 2010, 2:40 GMT

    tamim iqbal not playing 2mrw..........

  • on May 5, 2010, 2:26 GMT

    what is about pakistan...>? are they through ?

  • DevZaveri on May 5, 2010, 2:10 GMT

    I beg to differ. Cricinfo has made a mistake i think.Rajesh where art thou? According to my calculation if Bangladesh bat first all they have to ensure that they beat Aus by 9 runs or more and they will go through which is quite possible(not really healthy margin as claimed by cricinfo elsewhere). And if bangladesh bat second and Aus scores 200 Bangladesh will have to get those runs in 18 overs and 4 balls so i do not agree with the statement that if Australia get close to 200 Bangladesh have no chance.

  • JS82 on May 5, 2010, 0:57 GMT

    They should drop Imrul Kayes who has never really lived up to the expecations, and try out Jahurul Islam as an opener. I think Bangladesh selectors made a big blunder by not selecting Kapali and Nazimuddin for the world cup.

  • swasti on May 5, 2010, 0:40 GMT

    "Bangladesh, who have lost 11 Twenty20s in a row, know that if Australia bat first and register a score close to 200 then their tournament is over whatever the result" are u sure about it.....my calculation say if they beat australia by a margin of more than 8 runs or chase down a score of 200 in about 19 overs, it will be pakistan who will have to pack their bags.

  • nafee on May 5, 2010, 0:00 GMT

    ohh my god............bangladesh really dont realise that it is not impossible.............it is simple beat aus by 9 runs or chase total within 18overs.........

  • on May 4, 2010, 22:38 GMT

    Aussies got the fruit right in its throat. Match against Bangladesh may prove like the boon, Aussies will also get the berth in super 8s. There it will be real competition in super 8s.

  • babubangla on May 4, 2010, 22:34 GMT

    If Bangladesh bat first, they have to win by 9 runs. If Australia bat first then, Based on the above, (a) If Australia score in the range of 100 - 120, we have to chase it in 18.5 overs (b) If Australia score in the range of 120 - 175, we have to chase it in 19.0 overs (c) If Australia score in the range of 175 - 200, we have to chase it in 19.1 overs

    So the statement that " if Australia bat first and register a score close to 200 then their tournament is over whatever the result" is written doing any calculations.

    Calculation Source: banglacricket.com

  • Junior on May 4, 2010, 22:26 GMT

    Bangladesh need not beat australia by a MASSIVE margin as stated above falsely..they only need to beat australia by 9 runs or more or finish a chase within around 19 overs to knock pakistan out..if u say 9 runs is MASSIVE victory, then different matter..but beating australia for bangaldesh is near miraculous...

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  • Junior on May 4, 2010, 22:26 GMT

    Bangladesh need not beat australia by a MASSIVE margin as stated above falsely..they only need to beat australia by 9 runs or more or finish a chase within around 19 overs to knock pakistan out..if u say 9 runs is MASSIVE victory, then different matter..but beating australia for bangaldesh is near miraculous...

  • babubangla on May 4, 2010, 22:34 GMT

    If Bangladesh bat first, they have to win by 9 runs. If Australia bat first then, Based on the above, (a) If Australia score in the range of 100 - 120, we have to chase it in 18.5 overs (b) If Australia score in the range of 120 - 175, we have to chase it in 19.0 overs (c) If Australia score in the range of 175 - 200, we have to chase it in 19.1 overs

    So the statement that " if Australia bat first and register a score close to 200 then their tournament is over whatever the result" is written doing any calculations.

    Calculation Source: banglacricket.com

  • on May 4, 2010, 22:38 GMT

    Aussies got the fruit right in its throat. Match against Bangladesh may prove like the boon, Aussies will also get the berth in super 8s. There it will be real competition in super 8s.

  • nafee on May 5, 2010, 0:00 GMT

    ohh my god............bangladesh really dont realise that it is not impossible.............it is simple beat aus by 9 runs or chase total within 18overs.........

  • swasti on May 5, 2010, 0:40 GMT

    "Bangladesh, who have lost 11 Twenty20s in a row, know that if Australia bat first and register a score close to 200 then their tournament is over whatever the result" are u sure about it.....my calculation say if they beat australia by a margin of more than 8 runs or chase down a score of 200 in about 19 overs, it will be pakistan who will have to pack their bags.

  • JS82 on May 5, 2010, 0:57 GMT

    They should drop Imrul Kayes who has never really lived up to the expecations, and try out Jahurul Islam as an opener. I think Bangladesh selectors made a big blunder by not selecting Kapali and Nazimuddin for the world cup.

  • DevZaveri on May 5, 2010, 2:10 GMT

    I beg to differ. Cricinfo has made a mistake i think.Rajesh where art thou? According to my calculation if Bangladesh bat first all they have to ensure that they beat Aus by 9 runs or more and they will go through which is quite possible(not really healthy margin as claimed by cricinfo elsewhere). And if bangladesh bat second and Aus scores 200 Bangladesh will have to get those runs in 18 overs and 4 balls so i do not agree with the statement that if Australia get close to 200 Bangladesh have no chance.

  • on May 5, 2010, 2:26 GMT

    what is about pakistan...>? are they through ?

  • on May 5, 2010, 2:40 GMT

    tamim iqbal not playing 2mrw..........

  • JS82 on May 5, 2010, 2:52 GMT

    I am confused over the start time of this game. According to my schedule it is supposed to start at 13:30 GMT but it seems like it is starting at 1700 GMT instead. Which one is the correct time?