ICC Media Information Zim v Pak Scenarios

Following today's Australia v England result, the scenarios for the Pakistan v Zimbabwe game are as follows:

Australia have finished 1st in the Pool on 24 points.
India have finished 2nd in the Pool on 20 points.

If Zimbabwe win the match then they will finish 3rd on 16 points.
If there is a Tie or a No Result then Zimbabwe will finish 3rd on 14 points.

If Pakistan beat Zimbabwe there will be a 3-way tie between themselves, Zimbabwe and England on 12 points each. As Pakistan will have beaten Zimbabwe, Zimbabwe beaten England and England beaten Pakistan each team will have one win in matches played between them. The finishing positions will then be decided by net run-rate. As Zimbabwe will have lost in this scenario it is impossible for their net run-rate to surpass England's, and they will thus not qualify for the Super Six. For Pakistan to qualify for the Super Six they will need to ensure that their net run-rate is above England's. For them to achieve this the following example targets will apply:

If Zimbabwe bat first and score 100, Pakistan will need to get the runs in
10.5 overs.
If Zimbabwe bat first and score 150, Pakistan will need to get the runs in
12.1 overs.
If Zimbabwe bat first and score 200, Pakistan will need to get the runs in
13.2 overs.
If Zimbabwe bat first and score 250, Pakistan will need to get the runs in
14.2 overs.
If Pakistan bat first and score 200 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for
13 or less.
If Pakistan bat first and score 250 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for
62 or less.
If Pakistan bat first and score 300 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for
112 or less.
If Pakistan bat first and score 350 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for
161 or less.

Note that these targets are approximate in the event of Zimbabwe batting first, as they assume that Pakistan pass the target by 1 run. It is possible that they could get the winning runs with a six and thus pass the target by 6 runs. Thus it is possible that they may have an extra ball or two available if they do this.

Statistics by Andrew Samson