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Lord's is not the happiest hunting ground for England
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While the bookies keep their powder dry in terms of long-term markets for the Ashes, it's a good time to look at the five grounds set to be used when England and Australia meet in the five-Test series.
Lord's, Edgbaston, Old Trafford, Trent Bridge and the Oval make up the rotation this time around, and when looking at some of the more specific markets - like total runs, total wickets and so on - it's crucial to know what to expect from the respective wickets. In addition, the likelihood of an outcome at the various grounds varies greatly.
The table below shows the average runs scored at each ground, in each innings in all Tests played on the grounds, with an additional row to show the differences in the past 20 Tests at each venue.
Ground |
Ave runs/inns |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
Lord's |
308.1 |
314 |
315 |
298 |
293 |
Last 20
| 333.2 |
350 |
335 |
329 |
289 |
Edgbaston |
317 |
341 |
334 |
281 |
284 |
Last 20 |
330.5 |
340 |
410 |
231 |
328 |
Old Trafford |
308.8 |
348 |
284 |
299 |
279 |
Last 20 |
357.5 |
350 |
331 |
394 |
377 |
Trent Bridge |
328.6 |
349 |
324 |
307 |
331 |
Last 20 |
341 |
359 |
393 |
271 |
321 |
Oval |
316.2 |
362 |
312 |
285 |
263 |
Last 20 |
354.1 |
422 |
361 |
283 |
291 |
The statistics back up recent memory, but make interesting reading, particularly when examined closely. For example, while the Oval - seemingly the best batting wicket - has the highest average runs scored in the first innings, at 362, its final innings average is the lowest of the five, suggesting the pitch deteriorates more than others. Trent Bridge is the ground where the most runs are scored per innings, at 328, while Old Trafford has the lowest average, at 308.8.
What's even more interesting is what happens when you limit the table to just the last 20 matches on each ground, as the runs shoot up. Considering that we're talking about a period of about 25 years, it's clear that the pitches have improved for batsmen. In this case, Old Trafford, the worst overall in terms of runs scored, becomes the best, with an average of 357.5 runs per innings. Perhaps the move away from uncovered pitches in modern times has really had a big effect.
If you're looking to bet on the draw, then Old Trafford seems the most likely place. In 69 Tests there, 33 of them have ended up drawn. Trent Bridge is next best, with 22 draws from 51 Tests, and between the two sides, Trent Bridge also comes out on top, with 13 of 19 Tests drawn.
As far as England's record against Australia on the individual grounds, it makes pretty sorry reading, with losing records on two of the five, winning records on two, and honours even on one, Old Trafford.
The Oval has been the happiest hunting ground for England against the old enemy, with 15 wins from 33 matches, with just six defeats. In contrast, Lord's, venue for the first Test on July 21, has been poor for the home side, with just five wins and 13 losses from 32 games. And at Trent Bridge, they've won just three times in 19 matches, with Australia winning on nine of those occasions.
Please note that odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change.
Simon Cambers is Cricinfo's new betting correspondent