Australia firm favourites for final berth
Australia's superb form and South Africa's chokers tag make Australia firm favourites to advance to their fourth straight World Cup final
Australia's superb form and South Africa's erratic run make Australia the firm favourites to advance to their fourth straight World Cup final. The Australians comfortably won their group match against South Africa by 83 runs, and haven't looked close to losing a game in this tournament. South Africa, meanwhile, had to sweat to reach the semi-finals. In the four games they've played against each other in World Cups, Australia have won two, South Africa one and the other was the epic tie in the Edgbaston semi-final in 1999.
The batting stats of both teams during the Super Eights show that Australia are way ahead of South Africa. Their run-rate has been consistently high, but even more impressive has been their ability to keep wickets in hand. They average more than 50 in each of the three stages in their innings.
Team | First 20 - Runs/wkt | RPO | 21-40 - Runs/wkt | RPO | 41-50 - Runs/wkt | RPO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Australia | 83.42 | 5.40 | 75.83 | 5.62 | 59.75 | 7.83 |
South Africa | 42.76 | 4.6 | 50.00 | 4.36 | 22.72 | 6.78 |
The bowlers from the two teams are more closely matched. South Africa have been marginally better at keeping the runs in check, but Australia's attack has been the better in terms of taking wickets. Even in the middle overs they have conceded only 22 runs per wicket.
Team | First 20 - Runs/wkt | RPO | 21-40 - Runs/wkt | RPO | 41-50 - Runs/wkt | RPO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Australia | 17.30 | 3.72 | 22.25 | 4.55 | 9.92 | 5.12 |
South Africa | 26.35 | 3.70 | 26.66 | 4.14 | 22.54 | 5.41 |
The Australians have been brutal against all the teams throughout the match, but especially so during the last ten overs. They've also kept wickets in hand, which has given them the freedom to slog during the end. Shane Watson has been outstanding, while Andrew Symonds and Matthew Hayden have done their bit as well.
Batsmen | Runs | Balls faced | Dismissals | Average | Strike rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shane Watson | 98 | 58 | 0 | - | 168.97 |
Matthew Hayden | 53 | 27 | 1 | 53 | 196.30 |
Andrew Symonds | 35 | 38 | 1 | 35 | 92.11 |
Michael Hussey | 25 | 31 | 1 | 25.00 | 80.65 |
South Africa also have some clean hitters in their ranks who have fired during the late stages. Herschelle Gibbs leads the way, while Mark Boucher hasn't done badly either.
Batsmen | Runs | Balls faced | Dismissals | Average | Strike rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Herschelle Gibbs | 71 | 46 | 0 | - | 154.35 |
Shaun Pollock | 33 | 43 | 1 | 33 | 76.74 |
Mark Boucher | 60 | 30 | 2 | 30.00 | 200.00 |
Andrew Hall | 17 | 18 | 2 | 8.50 | 94.44 |
All the Australian bowlers have been exceptional during the Super Eights but none more than Glenn McGrath. His accuracy and line and length have been immaculate and at the same time has given Australia breakthroughs at regular intervals. He's been at his best during the first 20 overs, when he has taken his wickets at a mere ten runs apiece.
Overs | Runs | Balls bowled | Wickets | Average | Economy rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-20 | 111 | 175 | 11 | 10.09 | 3.8 |
21-40 | 42 | 48 | 2 | 21.00 | 5.25 |
41-50 | 42 | 36 | 3 | 14.00 | 7.00 |
McGrath has done pretty well against Gibbs and Jacques Kallis - both batsmen average only 26 against him. Ricky Ponting has already made a pointed statement about how he would like Kallis to come in early, and the numbers show why - Kallis averages less than 32 with the bat and almost 47 with the ball against them. It's almost exactly the reverse of his batting and bowling stats over his entire career. In his last seven matches against them, the numbers look even worse - he averages 15.71 with the bat, and 68.75 with the ball.
Batsmen | Innings | Runs | Dismissals | Average | Balls | Strike rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Graeme Smith | 7 | 44 | 1 | 44.00 | 88 | 50.00 |
Herschelle Gibbs | 10 | 80 | 3 | 26.67 | 113 | 70.80 |
Jacques Kallis | 9 | 53 | 2 | 26.50 | 68 | 77.94 |
South Africa's metronome, Shaun Pollock, struggled against Australia in the Super Eights game, going for 83 from his ten. Ponting has already stated that Australia will try to attack him early, and if they do, Matthew Hayden will probably take him on. His partner at the top of the order, Adam Gilchrist, has struggled against Pollock, falling to him 12 times in ODIs, and seven times since 2002.
Batsmen | Innings | Runs | Dismissals | Average | Balls | Strike rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Hayden | 9 | 111 | 1 | 111.00 | 148 | 75.00 |
Ricky Ponting | 16 | 133 | 2 | 66.50 | 190 | 70.00 |
Michael Hussey | 7 | 39 | 1 | 39.00 | 44 | 88.64 |
Michael Clarke | 4 | 28 | 1 | 28.00 | 45 | 62.22 |
Adam Gilchrist | 20 | 162 | 7 | 23.14 | 241 | 67.22 |
Shane Watson | 5 | 23 | 2 | 11.50 | 32 | 71.88 |
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