Hosts sweat on other results

How West Indies can make it to the semis

S Rajesh

April 10, 2007

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It's been a terrible tournament for West Indies, but they aren't quite out of it © Getty Images
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It might seem like the end of the road for West Indies, but it isn't. Not yet, anyway. West Indies only have two points from five games, but if they win their last two - against Bangladesh and England in Barbados - and if other results go their way, they might still sneak into the last four.

The best chance of that happening is for New Zealand, Australia and Sri Lanka, the three top sides in the tournament, to stay ahead of the pack, and force the other teams to battle it out for the final spot. Since South Africa already have six points, all West Indian supporters will now be hoping they lose to New Zealand and England in their last two matches.

England have three more games to go, and two wins - against Bangladesh and South Africa - and a defeat against West Indies will push them to six points as well. On the other hand, if Bangladesh beat England and Ireland before losing to West Indies, there will be a three-way tie between South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh. Either way, the net run-rate will come into play and while West Indies' mark is currently languishing at -1.21, wins by handsome margins in their next two matches will lift it considerably.

For all these calculations to come into play, though, West Indies will have to win their last two matches. And for a side which has been in abysmal form with both bat and ball, it will hardly help that they will play their last two games at the Kensington Oval in Barbados, a venue where they have lost their past seven one-day internationals. Despite the hope, it isn't looking very good for Brian Lara and his team.

S Rajesh is stats editor of Cricinfo

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S Rajesh Stats editor Every week the Numbers Game takes a look at the story behind the stats, with an original slant on facts and figures. The column is edited by S Rajesh, ESPNcricinfo's stats editor in Bangalore. He did an MBA in marketing, and then worked for a year in advertising, before deciding to chuck it in favour of a job which would combine the pleasures of watching cricket and writing about it. The intense office cricket matches were an added bonus.
Related Links
Match home : Match home
Series/Tournaments: ICC World Cup
Teams: West Indies
Tournament Results
Australia v Sri Lanka at Bridgetown - Apr 28, 2007
Australia won by 53 runs (D/L method)
Australia v South Africa at Gros Islet - Apr 25, 2007
Australia won by 7 wickets (with 111 balls remaining)
New Zealand v Sri Lanka at Kingston - Apr 24, 2007
Sri Lanka won by 81 runs
West Indies v England at Bridgetown - Apr 21, 2007
England won by 1 wicket (with 1 ball remaining)
Australia v New Zealand at St George's - Apr 20, 2007
Australia won by 215 runs
More results »
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News | Features Last 3 days