May 14, 2012

Chennai Super Kings

Tough road ahead for Super Kings

S Rajesh

Sunday’s results, with wins for Rajasthan Royals and Kings XI Punjab, has put the pressure right back on Royal Challengers Bangalore and Chennai Super Kings. For Super Kings especially, there’s little breathing room since they’ve played a match more than Royal Challengers.

The best-case scenario for Super Kings is two wins and 19 points, and if they get there they’ll almost certainly find a place in the last four. There’s still a possibility, though, of three teams – Delhi Daredevils, Royal Challengers and Mumbai Indians – finishing with more than 19 points, and Kolkata Knight Riders and Super Kings being tied on 19, in which case net run rates will come into play.

However, if Super Kings lose to the Knight Riders, the best they can finish with is 17 points, in which case they’ll need several results to go their way to make the cut. Their best-case scenario will then be that Mumbai Indians lose all their matches so they stay on 16, and Royals and Kings XI win no more than one match, so that they don’t move beyond 16. Alternatively, if Mumbai Indians beat Royal Challengers, the Super Kings will want Royal Challengers to win no more than one game, so that they stay on 17, which will bring net run rates into play.

If Super Kings finish on 17 and other results don’t go their way, then as many as six teams could go past them. Super Kings are also the first team to finish their league games – they play their last match on Thursday – which means they’ll have plenty of time to sit back and consider the impact of each result on their fortunes.


S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. Follow him on Twitter

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Posted by sham on (May 16, 2012, 5:00 GMT)

all raise your hands for chennai super kings. They are the IPL V winners.

Posted by venky on (May 15, 2012, 12:36 GMT)

To those downplaying CSK saying they are not consistent... winning matches continously IS consistency, no matter if they are the 1st four matches or last four... amazing how ppl dont get this simple logic...

Posted by nixon on (May 15, 2012, 7:36 GMT)

All the best chennai superkings, Dhoni is the best IPL Captain so for.......... Maheeeeeeeeee plz do lift the trophy.........

Posted by nixon on (May 15, 2012, 7:36 GMT)

All the best chennai superkings, Dhoni is the best IPL Captain so for.......... Maheeeeeeeeee plz do lift the trophy.........

Posted by Alwin Samuel on (May 15, 2012, 7:26 GMT)

CSK will surely qualify for the play offs. Even if they dont this will be the first time and it surely will not hurt. People who are saying CSK has not played as a team, please take back your words because the only team that has played as a team is CSK, No leading run scores, no leading wicket takers but still they are in fourts position, which means they do not depend on a single individual like the other teams especially RCB who depend upon gayle and AB, Delhi who depend upon Shewag and Morkel.

Posted by jaggu on (May 14, 2012, 17:24 GMT)

pressure and negative commands motivates CSK , its unable to predict ipl , my best wishes to CSK ...

Posted by vasanth on (May 14, 2012, 16:15 GMT)

if dhoni backs to form...then there will be a serious consequences for other teams....he is one of the best finishers in world cricket.

Posted by RSJ on (May 14, 2012, 14:53 GMT)

My four teams for SF are DD,KKR,KXIP and RR/RCB.No one thought that KXIP would come this far but they have and they can go all the way.

Posted by jasir on (May 14, 2012, 14:40 GMT)

even if kkr loses against csk today they can still reach 21 as against only 19 pointed out by the editor,so its an error on editor's part.

Posted by CK on (May 14, 2012, 14:38 GMT)

Chennai has won 2 IPL's. I don't want them to win the 3rd one,, so why want them to qualify for the play-offs, let other teams make their chances. Hope Chennai loose both of their games.

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S Rajesh
Stats editor Every week the Numbers Game takes a look at the story behind the stats, with an original slant on facts and figures. The column is edited by S Rajesh, ESPNcricinfo's stats editor in Bangalore. He did an MBA in marketing, and then worked for a year in advertising, before deciding to chuck it in favour of a job which would combine the pleasures of watching cricket and writing about it. The intense office cricket matches were an added bonus.

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