Chennai Super Kings May 14, 2012

Tough road ahead for Super Kings

Sunday’s results, with wins for Rajasthan Royals and Kings XI Punjab, has put the pressure right back on Royal Challengers Bangalore and Chennai Super Kings
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Sunday’s results, with wins for Rajasthan Royals and Kings XI Punjab, has put the pressure right back on Royal Challengers Bangalore and Chennai Super Kings. For Super Kings especially, there’s little breathing room since they’ve played a match more than Royal Challengers.

The best-case scenario for Super Kings is two wins and 19 points, and if they get there they’ll almost certainly find a place in the last four. There’s still a possibility, though, of three teams – Delhi Daredevils, Royal Challengers and Mumbai Indians – finishing with more than 19 points, and Kolkata Knight Riders and Super Kings being tied on 19, in which case net run rates will come into play.

However, if Super Kings lose to the Knight Riders, the best they can finish with is 17 points, in which case they’ll need several results to go their way to make the cut. Their best-case scenario will then be that Mumbai Indians lose all their matches so they stay on 16, and Royals and Kings XI win no more than one match, so that they don’t move beyond 16. Alternatively, if Mumbai Indians beat Royal Challengers, the Super Kings will want Royal Challengers to win no more than one game, so that they stay on 17, which will bring net run rates into play.

If Super Kings finish on 17 and other results don’t go their way, then as many as six teams could go past them. Super Kings are also the first team to finish their league games – they play their last match on Thursday – which means they’ll have plenty of time to sit back and consider the impact of each result on their fortunes.

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. Follow him on Twitter

Comments have now been closed for this article

  • sham on May 16, 2012, 5:00 GMT

    all raise your hands for chennai super kings. They are the IPL V winners.

  • venky on May 15, 2012, 12:36 GMT

    To those downplaying CSK saying they are not consistent... winning matches continously IS consistency, no matter if they are the 1st four matches or last four... amazing how ppl dont get this simple logic...

  • nixon on May 15, 2012, 7:36 GMT

    All the best chennai superkings, Dhoni is the best IPL Captain so for.......... Maheeeeeeeeee plz do lift the trophy.........

  • nixon on May 15, 2012, 7:36 GMT

    All the best chennai superkings, Dhoni is the best IPL Captain so for.......... Maheeeeeeeeee plz do lift the trophy.........

  • Alwin Samuel on May 15, 2012, 7:26 GMT

    CSK will surely qualify for the play offs. Even if they dont this will be the first time and it surely will not hurt. People who are saying CSK has not played as a team, please take back your words because the only team that has played as a team is CSK, No leading run scores, no leading wicket takers but still they are in fourts position, which means they do not depend on a single individual like the other teams especially RCB who depend upon gayle and AB, Delhi who depend upon Shewag and Morkel.

  • jaggu on May 14, 2012, 17:24 GMT

    pressure and negative commands motivates CSK , its unable to predict ipl , my best wishes to CSK ...

  • vasanth on May 14, 2012, 16:15 GMT

    if dhoni backs to form...then there will be a serious consequences for other teams....he is one of the best finishers in world cricket.

  • RSJ on May 14, 2012, 14:53 GMT

    My four teams for SF are DD,KKR,KXIP and RR/RCB.No one thought that KXIP would come this far but they have and they can go all the way.

  • jasir on May 14, 2012, 14:40 GMT

    even if kkr loses against csk today they can still reach 21 as against only 19 pointed out by the editor,so its an error on editor's part.

  • CK on May 14, 2012, 14:38 GMT

    Chennai has won 2 IPL's. I don't want them to win the 3rd one,, so why want them to qualify for the play-offs, let other teams make their chances. Hope Chennai loose both of their games.

  • sham on May 16, 2012, 5:00 GMT

    all raise your hands for chennai super kings. They are the IPL V winners.

  • venky on May 15, 2012, 12:36 GMT

    To those downplaying CSK saying they are not consistent... winning matches continously IS consistency, no matter if they are the 1st four matches or last four... amazing how ppl dont get this simple logic...

  • nixon on May 15, 2012, 7:36 GMT

    All the best chennai superkings, Dhoni is the best IPL Captain so for.......... Maheeeeeeeeee plz do lift the trophy.........

  • nixon on May 15, 2012, 7:36 GMT

    All the best chennai superkings, Dhoni is the best IPL Captain so for.......... Maheeeeeeeeee plz do lift the trophy.........

  • Alwin Samuel on May 15, 2012, 7:26 GMT

    CSK will surely qualify for the play offs. Even if they dont this will be the first time and it surely will not hurt. People who are saying CSK has not played as a team, please take back your words because the only team that has played as a team is CSK, No leading run scores, no leading wicket takers but still they are in fourts position, which means they do not depend on a single individual like the other teams especially RCB who depend upon gayle and AB, Delhi who depend upon Shewag and Morkel.

  • jaggu on May 14, 2012, 17:24 GMT

    pressure and negative commands motivates CSK , its unable to predict ipl , my best wishes to CSK ...

  • vasanth on May 14, 2012, 16:15 GMT

    if dhoni backs to form...then there will be a serious consequences for other teams....he is one of the best finishers in world cricket.

  • RSJ on May 14, 2012, 14:53 GMT

    My four teams for SF are DD,KKR,KXIP and RR/RCB.No one thought that KXIP would come this far but they have and they can go all the way.

  • jasir on May 14, 2012, 14:40 GMT

    even if kkr loses against csk today they can still reach 21 as against only 19 pointed out by the editor,so its an error on editor's part.

  • CK on May 14, 2012, 14:38 GMT

    Chennai has won 2 IPL's. I don't want them to win the 3rd one,, so why want them to qualify for the play-offs, let other teams make their chances. Hope Chennai loose both of their games.

  • bala on May 14, 2012, 14:37 GMT

    Mumbai at edge, 16 out of 28. Csk 15 out of 28, both have 2 matches, suppose mumbai lose a one match chance for csk with 2wins,

  • Ajay Naidu on May 14, 2012, 14:29 GMT

    I think, CSK's and Dhoni's luck has finally run out! Even if Chennai win their two games, they have to depend on other teams results to make the playoff's!! Looking by the form of the teams, Chennai will lose the final playoff spot to RCB!!!

  • Kaushik on May 14, 2012, 14:20 GMT

    Badrinath should open the innings with hussey or du plesis.he was playing well

  • vino on May 14, 2012, 12:01 GMT

    When pressure piles up, CSK is very very dangerous... If CSK wins their remaining two, they have a chance even to end up being 2nd in the league table...

    The reason why CSK failed posting big scores is their defensive approach in batting. Morkel has played only 59 balls in this tournament. At no 8, Badri has hardly come out to bat. It means, they have not lost wickets in most of their outings. It also means that they were not aggressive at all. The batsmen should be confident in playing strokes.If the CSK batsmen display a fear free attitude, no team can stop them...

  • SURESH on May 14, 2012, 11:28 GMT

    CSK is always doing like that only and They will come hard during later part of the series. Hope, This year too.. They will reach Final and Win the tournament. They are the best team in the history of IPL, can beat any team. Look at the way they thrashing DD (Best Team in this IPL) given more confidence to them. Surely they will finish 19 points and beat Delhi in Final too... Dear all, Wait and watch the drama..

  • Sheik Ahamed on May 14, 2012, 11:03 GMT

    Except few heroics from Albie Morkel the CSK as a team a big failure in the current IPL. Dhoni and co ( Dhoni, Raina and Jadeja)almost played all games but no where close to players like N Ohja, Rahane, S Dhawan , Irfan Pathan or even Rahul Dravid. Punjab and Bangalore teams are really derserved for the play offs along with Delhi and Kolkatta.Since Cricket is a funny game let's wait and see who are all moving upward!!!!

  • ramesh on May 14, 2012, 11:03 GMT

    all the best for super kings...

  • Himanshu on May 14, 2012, 10:51 GMT

    Hope Chennai wins them all.. They are the most consistent team in IPL in all seasons.. Wish them luck..

  • Ram Iyer on May 14, 2012, 10:51 GMT

    If RCB win next three matches CSK is out of playoffs even if they are at 19 points. I am sure KKR and DD will get past 19 points .

  • Neel on May 14, 2012, 10:49 GMT

    The schedule has been against CSK this time. They play 3 matches in 5 days - that too in different places like Jaipur, Chennai and Kolkata. This can take a lot out of your team as they have to frequently pack their bags

  • Rajesh on May 14, 2012, 10:41 GMT

    No team is assured of its place yet. Following is the range of possible points for each team:

    - Delhi Daredevils: 18-24 - Kolkata Knight Riders: 17-23 - Mumbai Indians: 16-22 - Royal Challengers Bangalore: 15-21 - Chennai Super Kings:15-19 - Kings XI Punjab: 14-20 - Rajasthan Royals: 14-18

    Pune and Deccan are alredy out and will end between 8-10 and 5-9 respectively.

    Likely to make it:

    - Delhi and Kolkatta should probaly be top two teams.

    - Mumbai will probably be 3rd.

    - Bangalore, Chennai, Punjab and Rajasthan to fight for the fourth position. It will be keen contest between Bangalore and Chennai and probably Bangalore will make it.

  • Pescan on May 14, 2012, 10:34 GMT

    The Shutters are down for CSK

    Let Dhoni pack his luggage and take rest at his Jharkand home.

    CSK will not think of IPL again. Their days are over.

    Condolences to CSK Fans in advance

  • Kuladeep on May 14, 2012, 10:34 GMT

    What happens today's match wash out RCB vs MI ??

  • Satish on May 14, 2012, 10:20 GMT

    Its really GOing tough IPL 5 !! there are as many as 6 teams in contention for 2places !!..Which is very good to see !! At the moment Delhi and Kolkata look good for the Play-off's !! :)

  • Deva on May 14, 2012, 10:12 GMT

    This would not have happened, had CSK won their last match against MI. Ayways, CSK's dont perform until have fire on their back. Go CSK... Go...

  • Ram on May 14, 2012, 10:10 GMT

    Simple logic: If CSK loose to KKR but win against KXIP, they would be in 17 points. Then the best case for CSK is, 1. MI beat RCB & RR (Not a difficuly scenario) 2. RCB then loose against DD (Again Not a difficuly scenario) 3. DD beats KXIP atleast once. (More likely to happen) Then, DD,KKR,MI & CSK will qualify as RCB max @ 17, KXIP max @ 16, RR @ 16.

  • Raj on May 14, 2012, 10:09 GMT

    CSK does not deserve to be in the play-offs. They were not consistance and not hard as they used to be in the earlier versions. Even if they qualify for the play-offs, DD is the only team who is going to win this year.

  • Saikumar on May 14, 2012, 10:06 GMT

    I think it is gonna be DD , RR , RCB and KX1P for the playoffs!

  • Parsad Yadav on May 14, 2012, 9:56 GMT

    Sir, Why you want Chennai to go through , You are suppose to be neutral and let the best four take the spot sir jee.That is the way it is.

  • Abhijeet on May 14, 2012, 9:52 GMT

    I am afraid that when this comment is published the Super kings would already had the game in their pocket...However I think CSK will both of their games....and then they have to worry about only two teams MI and RCB......

    if CSK sneak in to playoffs they will be hard to stop.....and they will be third time winner....

  • vino on May 14, 2012, 9:43 GMT

    Punjab and Rajasthan winning all the games is highly unlikely... Kolkata, Mumbai, Bangalore and Chennai are in the race for the 2nd, 3rd and 4th spots...

  • SLS on May 14, 2012, 9:43 GMT

    The way they have played in this edition, CSK does not deserve to be in the play offs

  • PrahasPathy on May 14, 2012, 9:40 GMT

    Sure chennai will rock and lift the trophy for 3 Rd time.Come on CSK!!!!!!(Whistle Podu)

  • JaiPrakash on May 14, 2012, 9:31 GMT

    Chennai has faced this problem throughout thier IPL.Dhoni has some luck.Let's see

  • Jyothi on May 14, 2012, 9:26 GMT

    We want SUNIL JOSHI back.. Please RCB buy him for 100million $

  • Nagarajan on May 14, 2012, 9:26 GMT

    On the contrary, Superkings might be in a better position than most people think. As almost all of their competitors will play each other (MI vs RCB, MI vs RR, MI vs KKR) Not to mention, the fact that Kings XI play Delhi twice and RCB have a game against Delhi as well. That being said, 2 wins out of the final 2 games are absolutely essential for CSK.

  • ganesh on May 14, 2012, 8:39 GMT

    Not Really! If CSK wins the 2 of their Remaining Games its 70% they will reach the semis!

    -The Loser Of RCB vs MI has to Lose one more game! So that CSK can go to the Semis! Highlight is RCB has a game against DD and MI a game against KKR! So it should be DD,KKR,RCB,CSK or MI in the semis

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  • ganesh on May 14, 2012, 8:39 GMT

    Not Really! If CSK wins the 2 of their Remaining Games its 70% they will reach the semis!

    -The Loser Of RCB vs MI has to Lose one more game! So that CSK can go to the Semis! Highlight is RCB has a game against DD and MI a game against KKR! So it should be DD,KKR,RCB,CSK or MI in the semis

  • Nagarajan on May 14, 2012, 9:26 GMT

    On the contrary, Superkings might be in a better position than most people think. As almost all of their competitors will play each other (MI vs RCB, MI vs RR, MI vs KKR) Not to mention, the fact that Kings XI play Delhi twice and RCB have a game against Delhi as well. That being said, 2 wins out of the final 2 games are absolutely essential for CSK.

  • Jyothi on May 14, 2012, 9:26 GMT

    We want SUNIL JOSHI back.. Please RCB buy him for 100million $

  • JaiPrakash on May 14, 2012, 9:31 GMT

    Chennai has faced this problem throughout thier IPL.Dhoni has some luck.Let's see

  • PrahasPathy on May 14, 2012, 9:40 GMT

    Sure chennai will rock and lift the trophy for 3 Rd time.Come on CSK!!!!!!(Whistle Podu)

  • SLS on May 14, 2012, 9:43 GMT

    The way they have played in this edition, CSK does not deserve to be in the play offs

  • vino on May 14, 2012, 9:43 GMT

    Punjab and Rajasthan winning all the games is highly unlikely... Kolkata, Mumbai, Bangalore and Chennai are in the race for the 2nd, 3rd and 4th spots...

  • Abhijeet on May 14, 2012, 9:52 GMT

    I am afraid that when this comment is published the Super kings would already had the game in their pocket...However I think CSK will both of their games....and then they have to worry about only two teams MI and RCB......

    if CSK sneak in to playoffs they will be hard to stop.....and they will be third time winner....

  • Parsad Yadav on May 14, 2012, 9:56 GMT

    Sir, Why you want Chennai to go through , You are suppose to be neutral and let the best four take the spot sir jee.That is the way it is.

  • Saikumar on May 14, 2012, 10:06 GMT

    I think it is gonna be DD , RR , RCB and KX1P for the playoffs!