Cummins 'running out of time' as Perth D-day looms but Ashes hopes alive

A decision on Pat Cummins' availability for the first Ashes Test is set to be made next Friday with Australia coach Andrew McDonald admitting his captain is running out of time to be fit for Perth but there remains confidence that Cummins will play some part in the series.

Cummins had a scan earlier this week on the lumbar bone stress in his lower back and McDonald confirmed on Friday that the injury had improved.

But Cummins is still yet to bowl with just six weeks to go before the first Test begins in Perth on November 21 which has led to doubts over his availability.

McDonald said the latest scan had allowed Cummins and the medical staff to add some different elements to his training that has been restricted to lower leg strength work only over the past month. He added that a decision would be made late next week as to whether he can progress to bowling with an eye to playing in the first Test but admitted the timeline was getting very tight.

"We still aren't further advanced on whether he'll play the first Test," McDonald told reporters on Friday. "We are definitely running out of time around that. He's added some variables into his training. I think by this time next week, we'll be in a position where we're better informed to make a judgment around what that first Test match looks like.

"He's had a positive week, and so we'll just wait for that information to come in. Anyone that knows the nature of those injuries, you do add the variables in and it's about how you recover from adding the variables into your training. It's not as quick as everyone thinks it is. We look forward to a positive outcome next Friday and then making some decisions around what it looks like for the first Test match."

Even if Cummins was ruled out of the first Test, McDonald was reasonably confident he could play a part in the Ashes series.

"I haven't really delved into what it looks like without him for five Test matches because the information and the week that he's had would suggest he's going to play some part as it sits right now," McDonald said.

"Can that change with new information when we start to add some more variables into his training? Could that go backwards? There is a possibility of that. And for those who have had lumbar bone stress, they would understand that it's a journey to add those variables in, how you pull up, recover, and that can ebb and flow a little bit across the rehab. So we'll just see how it plays out. At this stage there's no thinking that he will be ruled out for the whole series."

McDonald believes it is possible for Cummins to be ready for the first Test in Perth off a preparation of less than six weeks of bowling. But he said Cummins, the selectors and the medical staff would have to weigh up the risk and reward of rushing him back.

"The biggest variable that we need to add in is bowling and if you looked at a reasonable time frame for Patty to get ready, we feel as though he can do a shortened preparation, unlike other bowlers that probably need a longer prep," McDonald said.

"But even if we were to shrink that prep down, we'd start to take on some risk around soft tissue [injuries], some skill readiness as well, making sure he's prepared to do the job there and then is it advantageous for us to get him up and running in a series even if he's a little bit underdone and grow throughout the series as well."

If Cummins were to be ruled out, McDonald was confident the team could cover his absence across all aspects of the game. Cummins' bowling will be sorely missed but Scott Boland was already pushing for a first choice spot in the XI and has an incredible Test record in Australia where he averages 12.63.

If another injury were to happen to one of Australia's quicks then the likes of Brendan Doggett, Michael Neser and Sean Abbott will come into consideration.

Doggett is set to be ruled out of a second straight Sheffield Shield game for South Australia with a minor hamstring issue but it is understood to be a conservative decision and that he will be fully fit for the third round that starts on October 28. Neser bowled well in Queensland's first Shield match against Tasmania while Abbott is set to play his first four-day game of the season for New South Wales against Victoria next week after being left out of the ODI squad to face India. He has been named in the T20I squad which will rule him out of the third Shield round at least.

Cummins' calm leadership in what looms as a frenzied Ashes would also be missed if he were to be ruled out at any stage but McDonald believes Steven Smith, who is an outstanding tactician, would step in seamlessly if needed.

"It's highly likely that Steve would be that the person that we turn to," McDonald said. "George Bailey would have to tick that one off. Steve's incredibly experienced. He's done a good job as recently as Sri Lanka, when Pat wasn't on that tour. So that's the person that we've turned to. I don't see that changing."

Cummins batting contributions in recent years at No.8 have also been vital, particularly in pressure moments having won Australia two Test matches at Edgbaston and Christchurch in nail-biting run chases.

McDonald was confident Mitchell Starc could step back up to No. 8 after a impressive performance in the World Test Championship final in June while he cited Boland and Nathan Lyon's crucial tenth-wicket partnership against India at the MCG last summer as a sign of their ability. Josh Hazlewood has also had large 10th wicket stands in Test matches with Cameron Green and Starc over the last the last two years.