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Numbers Game

Australia's pace kings rise to the challenge

In Brett Lee and Stuart Clark, Australia have just the right men to spearhead their attack

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
20-Jun-2008

Stuart Clark and Brett Lee have done a superb job of leading the Australian pace attack over the last 18 months © Getty Images
 
Australia may not have crushed West Indies in the three-Test series that concluded earlier this week, but their performance was still strong enough to indicate that their bowling will be a major force despite the retirements of Glenn McGrath and Shane Warne. A replacement for Warne's wizardry is obviously not too readily available, but with Brett Lee and Stuart Clark stepping up to the challenge, Australia's fast-bowling department remains formidable.
Of the 54 wickets taken by Australia's bowlers in the three Tests, 31 went to Lee and Clark - that's more than 57%. Clark's nagging accuracy, discipline, and swing and seam were a perfect foil for Lee's extreme pace and swing. Not many would have anticipated a replacement for McGrath so soon after his retirement, but Clark has slotted in perfectly with his in-the-corridor, back-of-a-length stuff. In the three Tests, he went at just 2.28 runs per over - easily the most economical of the fast bowlers - ensuring that Australia had control over proceedings even if Lee and Mitchell Johnson went for a few at the other end.
Comparisons with McGrath have been the norm for Clark over the last year, and stats show the comparisons are justified. Already 32, Clark will obviously not play as many matches as McGrath did, but in his 18-Test career so far, he has already achieved McGrath-esque numbers - the only difference in the averages is the positions of the two digits after the decimal, while the economy-rate and strike-rate are remarkably similar as well.
McGrath v Clark
Bowler Tests Wickets Average Econ rate Strike rate 5WI/ 10WM
McGrath after 18 Tests 18 71 27.71 2.78 59.8 4/ 0
McGrath's career 124 563 21.64 2.49 51.9 29/ 3
Clark's career 18 81 21.46 2.57 50.0 2/ 0
Lee's ascendancy as Australia's leading strike bowler has been equally remarkable over the last 18 months. The match that turned it around for him was the Boxing Day Test of 2006, which was also McGrath's penultimate game. In 31.5 overs, Lee returned figures of 6 for 83 and hasn't looked back since. In his last 11 Tests including that game, Lee has taken an astonishing 70 wickets at an average of less than 21 and a strike-rate of a wicket every 41 deliveries - both of which are significant improvements over the corresponding numbers earlier in his career.
The rise of Brett Lee
Period Tests Wickets Average Econ rate Strike rate 5WI/ 10WM
Before Boxing Day 2006 57 219 32.43 3.58 54.2 7/ 0
Since Boxing Day 2006 11 70 20.67 3.00 41.3 2/ 0
Career 68 289 29.58 3.47 51.0 9/ 0
That Australia's fast bowling remains in good hands is obvious from the table below: both Lee and Clark are among the top six in terms of strike-rates in Tests since 2006. Dale Steyn is way ahead of the pack with a wicket every 33 balls, but Lee and Clark aren't too far behind the rest.
Bowlers' strike-rates in Tests since 2006 (at least 50 wickets)
Bowler Tests Wickets Average Economy rate Strike rate
Dale Steyn 20 112 19.42 3.52 33.0
Mohammad Asif 10 51 21.41 2.94 43.6
Makhaya Ntini 26 114 25.10 3.42 43.9
Muttiah Muralitharan 21 151 19.92 2.63 45.4
Brett Lee 20 101 25.36 3.14 48.3
Stuart Clark 18 81 21.46 2.57 50.0
Has Australian fast bowling slipped since McGrath's retirement? These are admittedly early days, and the new attack has to prove itself in different conditions, but on current evidence there is little to suggest the team will struggle as long as Clark and Lee perform their double act. In the seven years from 2000 to early 2007, when McGrath retired, Australia's fast bowlers were better than those from any other country, taking their wickets at just over 27, with South Africa the only other team to average less than 30 per wicket.
Team-wise fast-bowling stats from Jan 2000 to Jan 7, 2007
Team Tests Wickets Average Strike rate 5WI/ 10WM
Australia 85 939 27.36 56.0 29/ 2
South Africa 79 1063 29.23 59.2 34/ 6
England 93 1121 30.84 56.6 37/ 3
Pakistan 66 629 31.82 57.7 25/ 4
New Zealand 56 600 32.49 62.0 22/ 2
Sri Lanka 71 504 33.51 63.8 14/ 1
West Indies 82 926 34.29 66.9 26/ 2
India 73 524 37.29 68.6 18/ 2
Zimbabwe 44 343 41.99 79.6 10/ 0
Bangladesh 44 206 57.42 93.2 2/ 0
Since McGrath's retirement South Africa have taken over as the best fast-bowling unit - thanks to Steyn's incredible form and Makhaya Ntini's excellent support act - but the Australians have hardly slipped, averaging less than 27 per wicket.
Team-wise fast-bowling stats from Jan 7, 2007 to Jun 17, 2008
Team Tests Wickets Average Strike rate 5WI/ 10WM
South Africa 15 220 24.00 44.6 10/ 2
Australia 9 126 26.79 53.8 3/ 0
New Zealand 10 114 28.08 57.8 3/ 0
England 16 199 30.98 58.8 8/ 1
Sri Lanka 10 83 36.03 63.7 1/ 0
India 15 118 36.27 64.4 4/ 0
Pakistan 8 59 38.40 67.7 3/ 0
West Indies 12 145 40.11 66.9 3/ 0
Bangladesh 9 50 45.14 70.2 1/ 0
McGrath's most effective partner through his 14-year career was Jason Gillespie, who was more than a handful when he was not plagued with injuries. Gillespie finished with 259 wickets from 71 Tests, 58 of which involved McGrath as well. In those games the Australian pace attack took 656 wickets at an average of a shade less than 26. In the 18 Tests that have involved Lee and Clark (five of which also involved McGrath), the fast bowlers have done as well, with a marginally better average and strike-rate.
Australian pace attack ...
Tests Wickets Average Strike rate
In Tests involving McGrath and Gillespie 58 656 25.75 53.7
In Tests involving Lee and Clark 18 244 25.41 52.5
What hasn't been proved yet, though, is if the pace attack minus McGrath can conquer the subcontinent as well. Based on the stats so far, the queries are justified - in five Tests in the subcontinent so far, Lee has managed just seven wickets at an average of 60, while Clark returned figures of 1 for 77 against Bangladesh at Fatullah in his only Test in the subcontinent. Compare that with McGrath's numbers in Asia - 72 wickets in 19 Tests at an average of 23 - and it's clear that Australia's current crop of fast bowlers still have some questions to answer.

S Rajesh is stats editor of Cricinfo