Winless Pakistan have uphill task of facing near-invincible Australia

Pakistan have never beaten Australia in any format of women's international cricket. And if that trend continues on Wednesday, their path forward in the ODI World Cup will become very complicated given they have already lost their opening two matches to Bangladesh and India.

What might be even more concerning for Pakistan is that in 16 ODIs against Australia, they've not even come close to victory, with the narrowest margins of defeat being 37 runs and four wickets, both way back in 2014.

Pakistan's most recent contest against Australia, a three-match rubber in 2023, had these results: eight-wicket defeat, 10-wicket defeat, 101-run defeat. And while they are also yet to beat India (12 tries) or England (15 tries) in women's ODIs, their 16 defeats to Australia make them, statistically, the toughest opponent.

All this is to say that Pakistan have a considerable mountain ahead of them. As for Australia, their opening game against New Zealand was an ultimately comfortable win, and their second against Sri Lanka was washed out. They are also a team in near-invincible form. In 32 matches since the last World Cup, they've won 27 and lost just four. Pakistan in that same period have played 34 ODIs, won 13 and lost 18.

So what exactly are the straws Pakistan might look to clutch here? One, Australia haven't played since October 1 as a result of their washout against Sri Lanka. They are also yet to play at the R Premadasa stadium, where conditions don't necessarily seem conducive to free-flowing batting. With Pakistan already having experienced these conditions in their defeat to India, there could be an advantage to be exploited.

Finally, Pakistan will be hoping the law of averages catches up and gives them the crucial win and points that they need.

Australia WWLWW (last five ODIs most recent first)
Pakistan LLWLL

Since the 2022 World Cup, no Pakistani bowler has picked up more wickets than spinner Nashra Sandhu - her 42 strikes in this period coming from 28 matches. But more interestingly her 248.1 overs are the sixth-most bowled by any bowler in the last three and a half years. This serves to highlight just how much Pakistan lean on Sandhu. This year has also been her most impactful one - she's picked up 17 wickets in 10 games, including a six-wicket haul against South Africa. The only thing is, in her past five matches, she's gone wicketless three times. Pakistan will need her at her best if they are to upset Australia.

You'd be hard pressed to find a team Beth Mooney doesn't like batting against, but even so, her ODI record against Pakistan is better than most. Across eight innings she's struck 279 runs at an average of 69.75, an average that has been boosted by the fact that she's only been dismissed four times. Mooney's recent form too has been ominous, with a century and two fifties across her last five innings.

With a week's break since their last game, Australia will be itching to get out on the field. Their biggest dilemma is down to healthy competition, as it remains to be seen if Darcie Brown continues to keep Megan Schutt out of the XI.

Australia (probable): 1 Alyssa Healy (capt & wk), 2 Phoebe Litchfield, 3 Ellyse Perry, 4 Beth Mooney, 5 Annabel Sutherland, 6 Ashleigh Gardner, 7 Tahlia McGrath, 8 Sophie Molineux, 9 Alana King, 10 Kim Garth, 11 Darcie Brown

Omaima Sohail was replaced at the top of the order by Sadaf Shamas last time out, but with both openers struggling Sohail might find herself back in the side.

Pakistan (probable): 1 Muneeba Ali, 2 Sadaf Shamas, 3 Sidra Amin, 4 Aliya Riaz, 5 Natalia Pervaiz, 6 Fatima Sana (capt), 7 Rameen Shamim, 8 Diana Baig, 9 Sidra Nawaz (wk), 10 Nashra Sandhu, 11 Sadia Iqbal

Rain has been pestering Colombo and its surrounding suburbs over the past week, but Wednesday should arrive with clear, if cloudy, tidings. The pitch at the Khettarama has stayed true to form in the first two games its hosted at this World Cup, making life tricky for batters - expect that to stay the same.

"We do have an edge but it all depends on what the team does with this advantage. We were unlucky to have our warmup game against Sri Lanka washed out but we've also played two games here and know the conditions very well."
Sidra Amin hopes Pakistan's added experience playing in Colombo will hold them in good stead