Kapil Dev: Stats analysis

India's first fast-bowling match-winner

Kapil Dev overcame huge odds to become one of the leading fast bowlers of his era. Most impressively, he was at his best against the best team of his time

S Rajesh

March 15, 2010

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Kapil Dev in action, England v India, 1st ODI, Leeds, July 18, 1990
Kapil Dev was at his best against West Indies, taking 89 Test wickets at less than 23 each © Bob Thomas/Getty Images
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For a nation starved of fast bowlers, the advent of Kapil Dev was a godsend. His batting was pretty handy as well, but there's little doubt that his major contribution was as a pace bowler, offering India an attacking option with the new ball that they had sorely lacked till then.

If the task of bowling fast on flat pitches wore Kapil down, he did remarkably well to camouflage that wear and tear over an international career that stretched 16 years.

He announced himself in no uncertain terms in his first series, exhibiting pace and aggression hitherto unseen among Indian bowlers, but in statistical terms the returns from that series were meagre - seven wickets at an average of more than 60. In his first 10 Tests, he conceded more than 39 runs per wicket, and his batting was a stronger suit than his bowling. Sixteen wickets in four Tests against England started the golden run with the ball, and he followed that with 28 wickets in the home series against Australia and 32 in six Tests against Pakistan at an average of less than 18.

Those performances signalled a peak in Kapil's bowling career, when the pace was sharp, the outswinger working to perfection, and the wickets coming his way at a quick rate. In the 13 series he played between July 1979 and December 1983, Kapil's bowling average went beyond 32 in only three series, while seven times he averaged less than 26. That was also the period when he averaged more than four wickets per Test, and took a five-for 17 times in 52 Tests.

He still turned in lion-hearted performances with the ball after that, but not with the same consistency: in 69 Tests from the beginning of 1984, Kapil's wicket tally dropped to 2.7 per Test, and he also went an entire series - three Tests against Australia at home in 1986 - without a wicket. His batting, though, went up a notch, thus ensuring that his batting average was higher than his bowling average in each of those three periods of his Test career. Of his eight Test centuries, five came during this phase.

Kapil Dev's Test career in three parts
Period Runs Average 100s Wickets Average 5WI
First ten Tests 510 42.50 1 29 39.06 1
Next 52 Tests 1973 27.40 2 218 26.19 17
Next 69 Tests 2765 32.52 5 187 32.20 5
Career 5248 31.05 8 434 29.64 23

Kapil's best phase as an ODI bowler coincided with two famous victories in world events for India. During the period between May 1983 and March 1986, when India won the World Cup and the World Championship of Cricket, he averaged 31.25 with the bat and 20.39 with the ball, taking 69 wickets in 47 games. His performances remained impressive till the early 1990s, but in the last couple of years of his career his numbers fell away alarmingly: in 36 matches he averaged 13.50 with the bat and more than 37 with the ball. The only aspect that wasn't affected was his economy rate, which remained well below four runs per over.

Towards the beginning of the 1990s, the positive difference between his batting and bowling averages also began to close. Through most of the 1980s his batting average was more than the corresponding one for bowling, but the last time this happened was on December 15, 1991,when, after his 176th ODI, his batting average was 0.13 higher. As he neared the end of his career, his batting and bowling prowess both decreased, and he ended with a batting average almost four runs lower than the bowling one. (Click here for his cumulative ODI averages.)

Kapil's ODI career
Period ODIs Runs Average Strike rate Wickets Average Econ rate
Till April 1983 32 608 20.96 107.80 34 31.20 3.78
May 1983 to Feb 1986 47 1000 31.25 98.91 69 20.39 3.51
March 1986 to March 1992 110 1878 24.71 93.75 123 28.17 3.81
Since April 1992 36 297 13.50 74.06 27 37.48 3.62
Career 225 3783 23.79 95.07 253 27.45 3.71

Kapil's overall numbers are impressive enough, but what stands out are his bowling stats against the best team of his generation. In 25 Tests against West Indies, Kapil took 89 wickets, which is his second-highest against a single team (he took 99 against Pakistan). The average of 24.89 is his best against any team, marginally better than the 25.35 he averaged in 20 Tests against Australia.

In the 1980s, Kapil was among the best bowlers against a line-up that included Viv Richards, Clive Lloyd, Gordon Greenidge, Desmond Haynes and Richie Richardson. He dismissed Greenidge eight times in Tests, and Haynes, Richards and Dujon seven times each. (Click here for more details.) In 19 Tests, Kapil's bowling average against West Indies was less than 23; among those who bowled at least 1200 deliveries against them during this period, only Imran Khan and Richard Hadlee, the two other great allrounders of the era, had better bowling averages. Ian Botham's numbers were a huge contrast to those of the three other allrounders, though: in 19 Tests he took only 58 wickets at an average of almost 36.

Best Test bowlers versus West Indies in the 1980s (Qual: 1200 balls bowled)
Bowler Tests Wickets Average Strike rate 5WI/10WM
Imran Khan 10 52 16.68 38.3 5/ 1
Richard Hadlee 10 51 22.03 49.1 4/ 1
Kapil Dev 19 72 22.98 51.4 4/ 1
Abdul Qadir 8 40 28.07 55.2 1/ 0
Graham Dilley 11 36 28.77 56.6 1/ 0
Ewen Chatfield 7 23 31.43 69.5 1/ 1
Geoff Lawson 12 39 35.58 65.0 2/ 1
Ian Botham 19 58 35.84 59.4 3/ 0
John Emburey 14 30 39.26 87.9 2/ 0
Rodney Hogg 8 20 42.15 77.1 1/ 0

India won only 24 of the 131 Tests that Kapil played, which indicates the team's overall lack of strength. For almost his entire career, he didn't have consistent fast-bowling support at the other end, which was the main reason why he was involved in only four Test wins overseas, two of which came in the same series, against England in 1986.

Overall, Kapil averaged 18.30 in Test wins, which is next only to Erapalli Prasanna and Bishan Bedi among Indian bowlers who took at least 50 wickets in wins. However, Kapil only took 90 wickets in these 24 matches - fewer than four per Test - which suggests other bowlers, especially spinners when playing at home, had a large role to play in India's wins.

Best averages for Indian bowlers in wins (Qual: 50 wickets in wins)
Bowler Tests Wickets Average Strike rate 5WI/ 10WM
Erapalli Prasanna 15 81 17.61 50.4 5/ 1
Bishan Bedi 17 97 17.65 54.0 6/ 0
Kapil Dev 24 90 18.30 45.2 3/ 1
Anil Kumble 43 288 18.75 44.4 20/ 5
BS Chandrasekhar 14 98 19.27 45.4 8/ 1
Javagal Srinath 17 68 20.30 48.7 2/ 0

Apart from his obvious skills as a bowler, Kapil was a more-than-handy batsman down the order. He batted at No.7 through most of his career, averaging a touch over 31, but his stats at No. 8, where he batted 58 times, are among the best for batsmen who've batted at that slot. With a cut-off of 40 innings at that position, only two - Daniel Vettori and Mark Boucher - have a better batting average at that number.

Best batsmen at the No. 8 slot (Qual: 40 innings)
Batsman Innings Runs Average 100s/ 50s
Daniel Vettori 60 2072 42.28 3/ 13
Mark Boucher 41 1148 35.87 2/ 7
Kapil Dev 58 1777 33.52 2/ 11
Shaun Pollock 79 1796 30.96 0/ 6
Syed Kirmani 43 1030 28.61 1/ 4
Richard Hadlee 53 1235 27.44 1/ 6

The aspect of his ODI bowling that stands out best is his economy rate. Admittedly, Kapil played in an era when ODI scores hadn't reached the astronomical heights they have today, but even among his contemporaries, his economy rate was among the best.

Of the 212 games in which he bowled at least five overs, 63 times he conceded fewer than three runs per over, which is 30% of those matches. Similarly, in another 32% his economy rate was between three and four. Only 34 times did he go at five or more per over.

His best performance, in terms of economy rate, was against West Indies in Port-of-Spain in 1989, when he conceded only four runs in seven overs. West Indies won that match comfortably, though. Against Australia in Perth in 1991, he had figures of 1 for 5 in six overs. Those are the only two instances of his conceding less than one run per over. At the other end of the spectrum was his performance against Pakistan in Lahore in 1982, when he conceded 73 in seven in a shortened game.

Break-up of Kapil's ODI matches by economy rate (Qual: at least 30 balls in an innings)
  Econ rate < 3 Econ rate>=3 and <4 Econ rate >=4 and <5 Econ rate >=5 and <6 Econ rate >=6
Number of matches 63 68 47 24 10

Among bowlers who bowled at least 5000 deliveries during the period in which Kapil played ODIs, only six have a better economy rate. Among his three rival allrounders, Richard Hadlee has a lower economy rate, while the rates for Imran and Botham are slightly higher.

Best economy rates in ODIs between Oct 1978 and Oct 1994 (Cut-off: 5000 balls)
Bowler ODIs Wkts Average Econ rate
Joel Garner 96 140 19.25 3.09
Richard Hadlee 102 147 20.22 3.26
Michael Holding 99 140 20.97 3.31
Curtly Ambrose 104 151 21.50 3.49
Malcolm Marshall 136 157 26.96 3.53
Ewen Chatfield 114 140 25.84 3.57
Kapil Dev 225 253 27.45 3.71
Wasim Akram 181 262 22.48 3.78
Courtney Walsh 129 140 30.97 3.80
Imran Khan 169 173 26.91 3.90
Ian Botham 107 134 28.81 3.96

S Rajesh is stats editor of Cricinfo

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S Rajesh Stats editor Every week the Numbers Game takes a look at the story behind the stats, with an original slant on facts and figures. The column is edited by S Rajesh, ESPNcricinfo's stats editor in Bangalore. He did an MBA in marketing, and then worked for a year in advertising, before deciding to chuck it in favour of a job which would combine the pleasures of watching cricket and writing about it. The intense office cricket matches were an added bonus.

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