Six for Federer or first win for Nadal?

Wimbledon begins on Monday and the big question in the men's event is this: Can Roger Federer rebound from his French Open final beating to win his sixth straight title at the All England Club, will Rafael Nadal be the first man since Bjorn Borg to win back-to-back in Paris and London, or will Novak Djokovic upset the top two and take the title?

The likes of Andy Murray and Andy Roddick may argue that they have a chance but in reality it is likely to come down to the big three. Which of them will come out on top, however, is a very tough call to make.

If Federer does end up winning the title for the sixth straight time - a record - then we will regret not taking the 6/5 on offer with bet365, the first time since 2004 that he has been odds-against for the Championships.

His price is down to two things. Firstly, he has not quite been at his imperious best this year - losing to Djokovic in the semi-finals of the Australian Open and then suffering some unusual upsets elsewhere, before being destroyed by Nadal in the final in Paris.

Second, Nadal, the runner-up to Federer in each of the past two years, is playing out of his skin and Djokovic is right there too.

It will be a massive test of Federer's mental strength to see how he responds from his Paris humiliation - where his 6-1, 6-3, 6-0 defeat was a real humbling. Now, ok, grass suits him much more than clay - you don't win five straight times if you don't enjoy the surface, but he is up against it more this year than ever before.

His draw, too, is tough, with Djokovic likely to be waiting in the semi-finals and Nadal drawn to face him in the final. Beating both back-to-back is an awfully tough task.

Djokovic, a 5/1 chance, has come on leaps and bounds in the past 12 months and fully deserved to win his first grand-slam title in Australia in January. Since then he has done absolutely nothing wrong, and though he perhaps does not move perfectly on grass yet, his confidence is second to none and he truly believes he can win.

Nadal, meanwhile, is 7/4 and is playing the tennis of his life. His incredible movement is a massive asset on grass, and he seems almost never to miss a single passing shot. His whole game is in great shape and it's hard to overestimate just how much his brilliant fourth straight French Open win will have done for his confidence. He will take some beating.

I just think that we are witnessing the beginning of the end for Federer. That is a very dangerous thing to say, of course, but I think Nadal, providing he gets to the final, will win the title.