Three teams are battling for two spots in Group B of the T20 World Cup, while Papua New Guinea need a couple of miracles. Here is how the teams stack up going into their final group matches.
Played: 2, Points: 4, NRR: 0.575, Remaining match: vs Oman
A win will see Scotland top the table. If they lose and Bangladesh win, three teams will be on four points. Then, net run rates will come into play. Given how close Scotland, Oman and Bangladesh are on NRR, there isn't much leeway on that count: even if Scotland lose by just one run and Bangladesh win by a margin of three runs or more (with the team batting first scoring 150 in both games), then Oman and Bangladesh will go through.
Played: 2, Points: 2, NRR: 0.613, Remaining match: vs Scotland
A win by any margin will be enough for Oman to go through. If they lose, though, they can get through only courtesy a Bangladesh defeat at the hands of Papua New Guinea. If Oman lose by 10 runs, Bangladesh need to lose by at least eight for Oman to stay ahead on NRR.
Played: 2, Points: 2, NRR: 0.500, Remaining match: vs Papua New Guinea
Bangladesh's last match is against winless Papua New Guinea. If they win by three runs or more, they will qualify for sure, regardless of the result of the other game: if Scotland win then Oman will be knocked out, while if Oman win even by a run, then Scotland's NRR will be third in the group.
If Oman win by 10 runs, Bangladesh will need to win by 15 or more to top the group.
If Bangladesh lose to Papua New Guinea, they will have to hope that Oman lose to Scotland, and slip below Bangladesh on NRR. If Bangladesh lose by 10 runs, for example, then Oman will have to lose by at least 13, for Bangladesh to move ahead on NRR.
Papua New Guinea
Played: 2, Points: 0, NRR: -1.867, Remaining match: vs Bangladesh
PNG have lost both matches, and their NRR languishes at -1.867. To have any chance, they need to beat Bangladesh by around 45 runs and hope that Oman lose to Scotland by a similar margin.
S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats