Stats Analysis

Who'll make the cut, and who'll miss out?

It's central contracts time in Australia, and Cricinfo runs the rule on the 39 players who've played in various forms of the game for the national team, and attempts to identify the 25 who will make the cut

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
04-May-2009
It's central contracts time in Australia, and Cricinfo runs the rule on the 39 players who've played in various forms of the game for the national team, and attempts to identify the fringe players who deserve to be in the 25-player list when they are announced later this month.
First of all, a look at the highest run-scorers and wicket-takers for Australia from May 1, 2008, the period from which the 2008-09 contracts started. There are five who've scored more than 1000, and apart from Simon Katich, they're all names who've played in more than one form of the game. The others in the top nine haven't quite played as many games, but Shane Watson, Mitchell Johnson, David Hussey and Andrew Symonds are all shoo-ins as well. (It's also remarkable that Johnson is seventh in the run-scoring chart, which isn't even his primary area of expertise.)
Most runs for Australia in all three forms since May 1, 2008
Batsman Matches Runs Average Strike rate 100s/ 50s
Michael Clarke 41 1945 42.28 54.22 5/ 11
Michael Hussey 42 1806 39.26 55.44 1/ 16
Ricky Ponting 37 1742 35.55 66.89 3/ 11
Brad Haddin 42 1717 35.77 65.43 2/ 8
Simon Katich 15 1389 53.42 48.65 5/ 7
Shane Watson 18 726 38.21 66.42 2/ 2
Mitchell Johnson 38 678 22.60 64.32 1/ 2
Andrew Symonds 15 674 39.64 68.35 0/ 7
David Hussey 28 664 26.56 93.52 0/ 5
(Click here for the full list.)
Johnson also heads the list for most number of wickets during this period, and the numbers illustrate just how far ahead of the pack he was - next in the wicket-takers tally is Brett Lee, with less than half the number than Johnson nabbed. Overall, though, it's difficult to argue against the inclusion of any of the top eight wicket-takers.
Most wickets for Australia in all three forms since May 1, 2008
Bowler Matches Wickets Average Econ rate 5WI
Mitchell Johnson 38 107 25.76 3.39 3
Brett Lee 17 46 36.10 3.51 2
Nathan Bracken 30 33 32.69 4.73 0
James Hopes 34 32 31.53 4.87 0
Peter Siddle 9 32 26.21 2.63 1
Stuart Clark 13 30 23.70 2.49 1
Ben Hilfenhaus 17 25 37.72 4.11 0
Nathan Hauritz 14 25 30.28 3.24 0
(Click here for the full list.)
Next, the bunch of certainties for the contract can be divided in terms of those who have proved their worth in all three forms of the game, and those who've excelled in either the Tests or in the limited-overs format.
The all-round achievers: Michael Clarke, Ricky Ponting, Michael Hussey, Brad Haddin, Mitchell Johnson, Andrew Symonds, Brett Lee, Shane Watson, Stuart Clark.
The Test specialists: Simon Katich, Phil Hughes, Peter Siddle, Marcus North
As the table below indicates, they've all done enough to justify their places in the next contracts list.
How the Test specialists fared since May 1, 2008
Player Tests Runs Average Wickets Average
Simon Katich 15 1389 53.42 6 21.16
Phil Hughes 3 415 69.16 - -
Peter Siddle 7 106 11.77 29 27.65
Marcus North 2 160 40.00 2 49.00
The limited-overs specialists: David Hussey, Shaun Marsh, Callum Ferguson, Nathan Bracken, James Hopes, Nathan Hauritz.
The stats of all these players are listed below. Most of them have been pretty consistent, and it's difficult to reject the case for any of them.
How the limited-overs specialists fared since May 1, 2008 (in ODIs and Twenty20 internationals)
Player Matches Runs Average/ strike rate Wickets Average/ econ rate
David Hussey 28 664 26.56/ 93.52 8 42.00/ 5.71
Shaun Marsh 18 635 37.35/ 77.15 - -
Callum Ferguson 16 386 38.60/ 85.20 - -
Nathan Bracken 30 36 6.00/ 70.00 33 32.69/ 4.73
James Hopes 34 499 24.95/ 88.94 32 31.53/ 4.87
Nathan Hauritz 11 83 20.75/ 87.36 16 25.50/ 4.42
That makes it 19 out of 25 names in the bag. The last few is always the tricky bit, and here are the list of performances of the 17 other players (excluding Matthew Hayden and Stuart MacGill, who've announced their retirement) who did Australian duty over the last one year.
Among the names listed below, Ben Hilfenhaus, Doug Bollinger and Shaun Tait should make the cut, the first two on the basis of performance, and the third on the basis of the promise he holds for the future. There are still question marks over Cameron White's bowling, but he has been in the thoughts of the selectors often enough to suggest he will find a place.
Those four names bring the tally up to 23, which leaves the last two places to fill up. Will the selectors take a punt on David Warner in a season which has the World T20 coming up in a month? In five Twenty20 internationals last season, Warner averaged 35.40 at an excellent strike rate of 155.40. Phil Jaques is a good bet if his back is in shape again, but if the selectors look outside this list and into domestic performances, Chris Rogers could have a chance too: he scored 1195 runs in 11 first-class games at an averaged of 74.68 last season.
Performances of other Australians during this period
Player Matches Runs Average Wickets Average
Cameron White 22 416 27.73 12 41.66
Ben Hilfenhaus 17 39 6.50 25 37.72
David Warner 11 283 25.72 - -
Luke Ronchi 7 123 30.75 - -
Shaun Tait 6 14 14.00 7 37.14
Ben Laughlin 6 1 - 5 50.20
AB McDonald 4 107 21.40 9 33.33
Doug Bollinger 4 0 - 7 33.14
Phil Jaques 3 245 40.83 - -
Brett Geeves 3 10 - 5 22.60
Shane Harwood 3 0 0.00 4 31.50
Jason Krejza 2 71 23.66 13 43.23
Brad Hodge 1 94 47.00 - -
Adam Voges 1 26 26.00 - -
Beau Casson 1 10 10.00 3 43.00
Ryan Harris 1 7 7.00 1 54.00
Bryce McGain 1 2 1.00 - -
Moises Henriques 1 1 1.00 - -
Possible list of contracted players for 2009-10 season
Michael Clarke, Ricky Ponting, Michael Hussey, Brad Haddin, Mitchell Johnson, Andrew Symonds, Brett Lee, Shane Watson, Stuart Clark, Simon Katich, Phil Hughes, Peter Siddle, Marcus North, David Hussey, Shaun Marsh, Callum Ferguson, Nathan Bracken, James Hopes, Nathan Hauritz, Cameron White, Ben Hilfenhaus, Doug Bollinger, Shaun Tait, Phil Jaques, David Warner/ Chris Rogers.

S Rajesh is stats editor of Cricinfo