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First-timers have had a golden run in Test cricket in 2011. Here's an in-depth stats analysis of this phenomenon
November 25, 2011
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If you're a bowler looking to play your first Test match, this might be the best time to take the plunge. Over the last six months, debutants have had a remarkable run with the ball in their first games. Sample this: in the last three months alone, six bowlers have picked up five-wicket hauls on debut. It started with Nathan Lyon's 5 for 34 in Galle against Sri Lanka, and then continued with Elias Sunny of Bangladesh, followed by November's four golden debutants - Doug Bracewell, R Ashwin, Vernon Philander and Pat Cummins. The tally of four in a month equalled the number of such debut performances over 24 months through 2009 and 2010.
There have also been other success stories among debutant bowlers, apart from those who've taken five-fors. Pakistan's Aizaz Cheema took four in each innings against Zimbabwe in Bulawayo to finish with match figures of 8 for 103; a couple of Zimbabweans - Kyle Jarvis and Brian Vitori - took five each in the match against Bangladesh in Harare; Sri Lanka's Shaminda Eranga showed plenty of promise too in his opener against Australia, taking four in the first innings and finishing with match figures of 5 for 127. A little before that, in June 2011, Praveen Kumar grabbed his first Test opportunity too, taking three wickets in each innings, and 6 for 80 in the match against West Indies. And then there were a couple of spinners with four-wicket hauls in their opening Tests - Bangladesh's Suhrawadi Shuvo and Devendra Bishoo of West indies.
Add up all these numbers and you get a terrific year for the freshmen. In all, debutant bowlers have taken 94 Test wickets so far in 2011 (and the year isn't over yet), at an average of 28.15. That's the most wickets ever taken by bowlers in their first Test in a year, going past the previous best of 83, which was achieved twice - in 1948 and in 1992.
There were a couple of highlights in 1948: Hines Johnson, a right-arm fast bowler from West Indies, took 10 wickets on debut, one of only 15 players to achieve this feat in Test cricket so far. And then there was Jim Laker, who announced his talent in no uncertain terms by taking nine wickets in his first game, against West Indies in Barbados.
In 1992, the two bowlers who stood out on debut were England's Neil Mallender - 8 for 122 against Pakistan at Headingley - and Richard Snell for his 8 for 157 in South Africa's comeback game against West Indies. Allan Donald took six in that game too, which was his Test debut as well.
Two other bowlers also made their debuts in 1992 - less memorably - but then went on to achieve great things thereafter: Muttiah Muralitharan had figures of 3 for 141, and Shane Warne 1 for 150, on their Test debuts. If nothing else, that should make the likes of Michael Beer (1 for 112 on debut) and Nuwan Pradeep (0 for 110) feel a little better about their Test futures.
| Year | Wickets | Average | Strike rate | 5WI/ 10WM |
| 2011 | 94 | 28.15 | 55.3 | 6/ 0 |
| 1948 | 83 | 28.02 | 68.0 | 4/ 1 |
| 1992 | 83 | 33.56 | 74.1 | 1/ 0 |
| 2003 | 81 | 37.97 | 67.8 | 5/ 0 |
| 2001 | 79 | 33.50 | 67.8 | 3/ 0 |
| 1965 | 77 | 24.46 | 63.2 | 1/ 0 |
| 1996 | 73 | 28.16 | 51.2 | 3/ 1 |
A comparison with debut bowling performances over the previous seven years further demonstrates how good 2011 has been to the debutant bowler. In the two previous years, they averaged more than 40 runs per wicket, while in 2004 and 2005, the average topped 50.
| Year | Wickets | Average | Strike rate | 5WI/ 10WM |
| 2011 | 94 | 28.15 | 55.3 | 6/ 0 |
| 2010 | 60 | 44.88 | 76.5 | 2/ 0 |
| 2009 | 66 | 40.42 | 68.9 | 2/ 0 |
| 2008 | 61 | 36.60 | 60.0 | 3/ 1 |
| 2007 | 55 | 27.92 | 53.5 | 3/ 0 |
| 2006 | 54 | 33.77 | 62.6 | 1/ 0 |
| 2005 | 30 | 51.03 | 83.2 | 1/ 0 |
| 2004 | 37 | 50.21 | 79.9 | 0/ 0 |
Plenty of bowlers have taken five-fors on debut in 2011, but does that signify much for the rest of their careers? Here's a look back at recent history: the table below lists the career stats of bowlers who took a five-for on debut between 2000 and 2006. (It's recent enough, and it's also at least five years since that performance, thus having allowed for their careers to take shape.)
Among the names below, only two are still actively involved in Test cricket. James Anderson has been outstanding as a strike bowler in the last couple of years, especially, while Fidel Edwards remains West Indies' best bet. They've both also added 10 five-fors to their debut performance. Among the other names, the one that stands out is that of Stuart Clark, who did a fine job of taking Glenn McGrath's place in the Australian bowling line-up for a brief period. He took only one more five-for after his debut display, but career stats of 94 wickets at less than 24 apiece are a fair reflection of his class.
For the rest, though, the numbers aren't flattering. Four out of the 11 didn't add to their five-for in their first game, while four others managed just one more. A couple of them - Richard Johnson and Shabbir Ahmed - didn't play too many Tests despite pretty good numbers in the matches they played, while Mohammad Sami turned out to be one of the biggest disappointments of the decade for Pakistan. (Click here for the corresponding list in the 1990s: among the 13 names is an Australian called Simon Cook. Full marks to anyone who recalls the name.)
| Bowler | Debut match figures | Career Tests | Wickets | Average | 5WI/ 10WM |
| Naimur Rahman | 6 for 154 v Ind | 8 | 12 | 59.83 | 1/ 0 |
| Mohammad Sami | 8 for 106 v NZ | 35 | 84 | 52.27 | 2/ 0 |
| Andy Blignaut | 8 for 110 v B'desh | 19 | 53 | 37.05 | 3/ 0 |
| Manjural Islam | 6 for 81 v Zim | 17 | 28 | 57.32 | 1/ 0 |
| James Anderson | 5 for 138 v Zim | 63 | 240 | 30.57 | 11/ 1 |
| Richard Johnson | 6 for 100 v Zim | 3 | 16 | 17.18 | 2/ 0 |
| Fidel Edwards | 6 for 90 v SL | 50 | 152 | 37.00 | 11/ 0 |
| James Kirtley | 8 for 114 v SA | 4 | 19 | 29.52 | 1/ 0 |
| Shabbir Ahmed | 8 for 109 v B'desh | 10 | 51 | 23.03 | 2/ 0 |
| Charl Langeveldt | 5 for 96 v Eng | 6 | 16 | 37.06 | 1/ 0 |
| Stuart Clark | 9 for 89 v SA | 24 | 94 | 23.86 | 2/ 0 |
The numbers above suggest bowlers who start with a bang don't necessarily go on to great things in their careers. However, in 2011 at least, it looks like debutants have far outperformed the rest.
| Wickets | Average | Strike rate | |
| Debutants | 94 | 28.15 | 55.3 |
| Overall | 977 | 33.68 | 66.8 |
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Stats editor Every week the Numbers Game takes a look at the story behind the stats, with an original slant on facts and figures. The column is edited by S Rajesh, ESPNcricinfo's stats editor in Bangalore. He did an MBA in marketing, and then worked for a year in advertising, before deciding to chuck it in favour of a job which would combine the pleasures of watching cricket and writing about it. The intense office cricket matches were an added bonus.
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Imran, The stats are from 2000 and the match in which Zahid made his debut was played in 1996/97.
Posted bygiving more nd more chances 2 youngerster, dey r proving their talent............i think ashwin is a grt bowler, he has ability 2 be higest wk taker bowler 4 ind....... if he completes successfull career
Posted by Gizza on (November 26, 2011, 12:38 GMT)The last 4-5 years have seen many legends retire from the game. It is wonderful to see the new generation of cricketers rising up and making their names part of cricket's next great chapter.
Posted by abhijeet1in on (November 26, 2011, 0:10 GMT)Taking nothing away from the debutants this year i think some of the 'credit' should also go to the T20 mindset of batsmen who look to overattack newcomers and end up throwing their wicket away.
Posted by naeem_anjum on (November 25, 2011, 15:31 GMT)Very interesting informations, Shabbir Ahmed was too impressive
Shabbir Ahmed 8 for 109 v B'desh 10 51 23.03 2/ 0, Although Stuart Clark 9 for 89 v SA 24 94 23.86 2/ 0 James Anderson 5 for 138 v Zim 63 240 30.57 11/ 1 are too good, Richard Johnson 6 for 100 v Zim 3 16 17.18 2/ 0 was also very impressive with his career record.
Posted bythese youngsters have brought in a refreshing change in the world of cricket and it augurs well for the game in the long run.consistency is the main key and the way in which crecket academies are spruced all over, i am sure that the aspiring and new budiing cricketers will play a vital role in the future. it is time that icc encourages this aspect in countries all over and at the same time where the funds and the infrastructure lacks, they have to allocate more funds. overall, the future holds a lot of promise
Posted byWell all the good debuts this year are cause for celebration. But it does look from that table "Bowlers who took five-fors on debut in Tests between 2000 and 2006" that a five fer on debut tells us surprisingly little about how a player will do in their later career. For me Ashwin, Philander and Cummings look best from this group but I'm not sure about the long term prospects for Lyon (averaging 51 with the ball since his debut on a rank turner).
Posted byMuhammad Zahid of pakistan look at this match where is he in this table http://www.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/match/63728.html