Can Ireland clinch victory in Paris?
Week two of the Six Nations Championship and Sporting Index have a host of markets on the weekend's games. For now, though, let's focus on Saturday's big game in Paris
Dave Harris
09-Feb-2006
Week two of the Six Nations Championship and Sporting Index have a host of markets on the weekend's games. For now, though, let's focus on Saturday's big game in Paris:
France v Ireland
France have hit the panic button, after the humbling defeat to Scotland last week. Wholesale changes have been made to their side, with a large number of the old guard returning. Looking at the backs, Michalak did not look fit against Scotland, Marty has played very little recently and Rougerie is simply not international standard. All in all it's a bizarre selection.
France have hit the panic button, after the humbling defeat to Scotland last week. Wholesale changes have been made to their side, with a large number of the old guard returning. Looking at the backs, Michalak did not look fit against Scotland, Marty has played very little recently and Rougerie is simply not international standard. All in all it's a bizarre selection.
Nevertheless, Sporting Index is going for a French win, predicting a 13 to 16 point victory for the home side.
The visitors did not impress during last weekend's victory against Italy, but that performance should have given them a kick up the backside. Ireland look to have the edge in terms of the back line. In particular, D'Arcy and O'Driscoll could run riot against this makeshift French side.
The key to winning this game lies with the forwards, and both sides look pretty evenly matched. However, the availability of Leamy is a boost for Ireland. He could stamp his authority on this game and send France to another shock defeat.
Latest Supremacies
France/Ireland 13-16
England/Italy (H) 25-28
Wales v Scotland 5-8
France/Ireland 13-16
England/Italy (H) 25-28
Wales v Scotland 5-8
How does it work?
'Supremacy' is a market predicting a team's dominance over their opposition. Sporting Index predict the margin (in points) by which a given team will beat their opponents, and you decide whether their prediction is either too high or too low.
'Supremacy' is a market predicting a team's dominance over their opposition. Sporting Index predict the margin (in points) by which a given team will beat their opponents, and you decide whether their prediction is either too high or too low.
For the France v Ireland game, Sporting Index is predicting a victory for France by a margin of 13 to 16 points, so you have a choice to make:
a) Will France win by MORE than 16 points?
or
b) Will France win by FEWER than 13 points, or tie, or Ireland will win?
Let's say that you think France will beat Ireland by more than 16 points and stake £5 per point on the outcome...
If France beat Ireland 35-10, then France's margin of victory or `supremacy' will be 35 minus 10 = 25 points. You were betting on France to beat Ireland by at least 16 points for £5 per point. So you would have just won (25 - 16) x £5 = 9 x £5 = £45. Not bad!
However it could go the other way. Let's say France end up beating Ireland 34-24, a winning margin of 10 points. Because you bet `high' at 16 points, there is a shortfall of 6 points (16 minus 10). At a stake of £5 per point, this would result in a loss of (16 - 10) x £5 = 6 x £5 = £30.
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