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Numbers Game

Why Nathan Lyon is special

Fingerspinners have generally struggled in Australia, but Nathan Lyon has been a glorious exception

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
01-Dec-2017
Nathan Lyon's numbers are much better compared to those of other fingerspinners in Australia over the last 15 years  •  ESPNcricinfo Ltd

Nathan Lyon's numbers are much better compared to those of other fingerspinners in Australia over the last 15 years  •  ESPNcricinfo Ltd

In his post-match review of the Brisbane Test, Graeme Swann was somewhat dismissive of Nathan Lyon's efforts in the match. "Lyon's got a lot of plaudits for how well he bowled in this game, but England actually didn't capitulate to Lyon. He got 5 for 150 [145] in the game. That's a fairly average return on a wicket that was turning square and bouncing."
Swann was probably batting a bit for his country and his former team-mates, but for most of the pundits who watched the game, Lyon was outstanding at the Gabba, especially in England's first innings. He only managed figures of 2 for 78, but he went past the bat on numerous occasions and created plenty of chances, and his 36 overs allowed the fast bowlers a fair amount of rest in an innings that lasted 117 overs. While his overall figures of 5 for 145 do scant justice to the way he bowled, the stat that illustrates his bowling better is the control factor, which is the number of times he drew a false shot from a batsman (when the batsman was beaten, or he edged or mistimed his shot). Lyon forced 67 such mistakes from the batsmen in the match, the highest among bowlers from either team. In percentage terms, only Pat Cummins drew a higher percentage of errors (19.9) than Lyon's 18.6%.
Control stats for the bowlers in the Brisbane Test
Bowler Balls Not-in-control NIC%
 Pat Cummins  256  51  19.92
 Nathan Lyon  360  67  18.61
 Mitchell Starc  264  42  15.91
 James Anderson  239  37  15.48
 Jake Ball  156  23  14.74
 Stuart Broad  210  27  12.86
 Josh Hazlewood  232  29  12.50
 Moeen Ali  204  20  9.80
 Chris Woakes  210  17  8.10
Bowling fingerspin in Australia has always been considered one of the challenging tasks in Test cricket. The pitches are hard, unforgiving, and don't usually offer a lot of turn, and the bounce usually available is easier to exploit for a wristspinner. It is not surprising that the two spinners who have taken more Test wickets in Australia than Lyon in the last 25 years are both wristspinners: Shane Warne (318) and Stuart MacGill (135).
Lyon averages 34.32 in Australia (against a career average of 31.78), but when compared with how other fingerspinners have fared here over the last 15 years, those numbers are highly impressive. In the last 15 years (since December 1, 2002), all fingerspinners (including Lyon) have averaged 46.59 runs per wicket in Tests in Australia, the worst among the countries that have hosted more than 30 or more Tests during this period. (Excluding Lyon, that average goes up to 52.) South Africa comes a close second at 43.51, while the average in all other countries is less than 40.
Averages for fingerspinners and offspinners by host country, from Dec 2002
Host Fingerspin - Wkts Ave Offspin - Wkts Ave
 Australia  420  46.59  277  46.83
 South Africa  316  43.51  141  47.78
 New Zealand  344  39.09  150  36.99
 England  606  35.84  368  34.16
 West Indies  520  35.78  361  33.73
 UAE  333  35.05  168  37.36
 Bangladesh  684  34.52  284  34.88
 India  1018  32.14  638  32.57
 Sri Lanka  1086  31.08  658  30.47
Lyon's ability to extract bounce from the Australian pitches has served him well against all batsmen, but especially against right-handers, as it gives him an extra wicket-taking option of defeating batsmen with the bounce and having them caught by the close-in leg-side fielders. In other countries, Lyon averages almost 34 against right-handers and 23 against left-handers; in Australia, the average against right-handers goes up only marginally, to 36, while against left-handers it increases to 29, a rise of about 28%.
Lyon v right and left-hand batsmen
Home/away RHB-Wkts Ave LHB-wkts Ave
 Home  89  36.22  34  29.26
 Away  96  33.65  55  22.83
 Overall  185  34.89  89  25.29
A comparison of the stats for other offspinners in Australia over the last 15 years shows just how good Lyon has been in tough bowling conditions over a fairly long period of time. Nathan Hauritz averages less than 30, but he played only nine Tests in Australia. The other big guns have all struggled here: Swann and R Ashwin average in the 50s, while Harbhajan Singh and Muttiah Muralitharan go beyond 60. Also, apart from Hauritz, all of them have much poorer numbers against right-handers. Ashwin, for example, averages 30.41 against left-handers, and 87 against the righties.
Stats for a few other offspinners in Tests in Aus
Bowler Overall-wkts Ave v RHB-wkts Ave
 Nathan Hauritz  38  29.65  26  26.23
 Graeme Swann  22  52.59  11  57.55
 R Ashwin  21  54.71  9  87.11
 Mark Craig  8  64.12  5  49.20
 Muttiah Muralitharan  9  61.88  4  65.75
 Harbhajan Singh  9  73.22  4  74.00
However, Lyon's home-away split has undergone a fairly significant shift over the last couple of years. Till 2014, his stats were excellent at home - 74 wickets in 19 Tests at 31.56 - but quite poor overseas, where he averaged 39.15 in 19 Tests. Since then, those numbers have reversed: his away average since the start of 2015 is an excellent 23.49, but his home average has increased to 38.48. In the 2016-17 home season, he conceded nearly 50 runs per wicket.
Going by the way he bowled at the Gabba, though, it shouldn't take long for him to rectify those home numbers too.
With inputs from Shiva Jayaraman.

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats.