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September 21, 2007
This is a clash of Pakistan flair versus Kiwi functionality. Although New Zealand have again more than held their own, they owe their passage to the semi-finals to India, whose 37-run win against South Africa dumped the home side out on net run-rate and allowed Daniel Vettori's side to sneak in.
"I didn't actually watch any of it," said Vettori. "I was trying to avoid it as much as possible because we knew what it was going to be like."
Pakistan have reached the last four despite a stuttering display against Bangladesh, playing their typically aggressive cricket under the new coach, Geoff Lawson. Now Saturday's matches offer various mouth-watering permutations for the final: a Trans-Tasman clash, a replay of the 1999 World Cup final or, the ultimate match-up, an India-Pakistan showdown.
Bat play: Pakistan's top order has failed to fire throughout the tournament; their first four matches brought scores of 50 for 3, 47 for 4, 33 for 3 and 46 for 4 before the middle order staged recoveries. Their best start came against Bangladesh when Shahid Afridi was finally promoted to opener but Shoaib Malik was keeping his cards close to his chest over Pakistan's plans for Saturday. Salman Butt has laboured in every innings and his strike-rate is down to a paltry 70.
New Zealand haven't been blessed with a mountain of runs from the top four and their best start - 68 without loss - ended in defeat against South Africa. Craig McMillan has been their saviour with 44 off 23 against India and 57 off 31 against England. Scott Styris (52 runs) and Lou Vincent (89 runs) have both struggled and their scoring rates have barely crept above a run-a-ball.
Wrecking ball: The leading wicket-takers for both teams are the spinners, Vettori and Afridi. Vettori is pushing to be bowler of the tournament after conceding a miserly 5.30 and should be a handful on a worn Newlands surface. However, he wasn't making any early decisions on his team. "We saw Australia run through Sri Lanka with pace [at Newlands]." Jacob Oram hasn't enjoyed Twenty20 with the ball, taking one wicket and going at nearly 11 an over.
Keep your eye on: The brewery. If Afridi, Misbah-ul-Haq (hitter of the longest six in the tournament) or Oram get hold of a ball deep midwicket will need to be standing on the other side of the railway line.
Shop talk: Although chasing has been the preferred route, Malik doesn't think it's the only way to go. "If you have a strong bowling line-up you can bat first and put pressure on the other side," he said.
Vettori believes it would have been harsh for New Zealand to miss out on the semi-finals. "Sometimes we have scraped through but this time I think we deserved it; luckily enough for us it worked out well. We make a lot of them [semi-finals], now it's about kicking on."
Pitching it right: "It looks good," Malik said after inspecting the surface. "But the outfield is heavy so 165-170 should be a good total." The sunshine of recent days is also expected to be replaced by a greater cloud cover, offering more assistance for the bowlers.
New Zealand (probable) Lou Vincent, Brendon McCullum (wk), Peter Fulton, Ross Taylor, Scott Styris, Craig McMillan, Jacob Oram, Daniel Vettori (capt), Shane Bond, Mark Gillespie, Jeetan Patel
Pakistan (probable) Imran Nazir, Shahid Afridi, Mohammad Hafeez, Salman Butt, Younis Khan, Shoaib Malik (capt), Misbah-ul-Haq, Kamran Akmal (wk), Mohammad Asif, Umar Gul, Sohail Tanvir
Plays of the day from the CLT20 match between Dolphins and Lahore Lions in Bangalore
The Plays of the day from the CLT20 match between Kings XI Punjab and Northern Knights, in Mohali