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Stats Analysis

IPL scenarios: Mumbai Indians need home teams to lose big

A win for Kolkata Knight Riders will mean they finish in the top four, leaving the final league match to decide the fourth team in the playoffs

Shiva Jayaraman
16-May-2016
IPL 2016 points table, May 22

How things stand ahead of Sunday's games  •  ESPNcricinfo Ltd

If the first of the double-headers on Sunday in Kolkata is washed out - heavy rain is forecast - Kolkata Knight Riders will go through to the playoffs and Sunrisers will end the league phase at No. 2. Also, Mumbai Indians will be out of the race, and the match between Delhi Daredevils and Royal Challengers Bangalore will be a knockout match.
With their win against Mumbai Indians, Gujarat Lions have confirmed a spot in the top two. They will finish as the top team should Sunrisers Hyderabad lose to Knight Riders. Sunrisers Hyderabad are also through to the playoffs since now only two other teams can finish on 16 points.

Sunrisers Hyderabad

Sunrisers will finish as the top team if they win against Kolkata Knight Riders. They could finish as the second team on NRR even if they lose, but only if by a margin of 40 or less while Daredevils beat Royal Challengers but not by a big margin (not more than 71 runs).
Team left to play: Kolkata Knight Riders

Kolkata Knight Riders

They will qualify for the last four if they beat Sunrisers in the last game. Even if they lose to Sunrisers, they could go through with 14 points on NRR if Royal Challengers beat Daredevils. Knight Riders could finish in the top two if they beat Sunrisers by a margin of over 40 runs and Daredevils beat Royal Challengers, but not by a big margin.
Team left to play: Sunrisers Hyderabad

Mumbai Indians

Mumbai can make it to the playoffs only if Sunrisers beat Knight Riders by a margin of 43 or more runs or chase down their target in 15 overs or earlier, and Royal Challengers win against Daredevils by 14 or more runs or complete the chase in 18.2 overs or earlier.
For Mumbai Indians to qualify
Result Margin batting first Margin chasing
 SRH beat KKR, target ranges: 140-180  min 43 runs  min 30 balls to spare
 RCB beat DD, target ranges 140-180  min 14 runs  min 10 balls to spare

Delhi Daredevils

Delhi Daredevils will make it to the playoffs if they beat Royal Challengers Bangalore. If Knight Riders lose to Sunrisers, even if Daredevils lose they could qualify on NRR ahead of Knight Riders. For that to happen, though, Daredevils first need to finish ahead of Mumbai on NRR - for this, they should not lose by 14 or more runs or with ten or more balls to spare.
Team left to play: Royal Challengers Bangalore

Royal Challengers Bangalore

A win against Daredevils will confirm a spot in the playoffs for Royal Challengers. They could also go through with 14 points if Knight Riders lose to Sunrisers.
Team left to play: Delhi Daredevils
Click here for the IPL points table.

Shiva Jayaraman is a senior sub-editor (stats) at ESPNcricinfo.com. @shiva_cricinfo.