How Royal Challengers and UP Warriorz can qualify for the playoffs
Also, do Gujarat Giants still have a realistic chance?
Currently, Royal Challengers have an NRR of -1.044 after seven games and Gujarat Giants have -2.511 after the same number of games, while UP Warriorz have -0.117 after six. Given that Warriorz already have six points, Royal Challengers only have a chance if they win their last game and move to six, and if Warriorz lose their last two, against Giants and Delhi Capitals.
Giants are so far behind on run rate that they might as well start planning for next year. Even if they score 160 and beat Warriorz by 100 runs, they will still need Warriorz to lose to Capitals by 112 runs to move ahead of them on NRR. Apart from these improbable results, they'll also need Royal Challengers to lose their last game to Mumbai.
Warriorz will be through if they win one of their last two games. They might even make it with two defeats, if they lose by narrow margins (as mentioned above).
If Capitals beat Mumbai on Monday, then both teams will be level on 10 points with their last game coming up on Tuesday: Mumbai against Royal Challengers and Capitals against Warriorz. Thus, Capitals have a shot at the top spot, though their NRR is poorer (1.431 compared to 2.670 for Mumbai).
S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats