THE CORDON HOME

BLOGS ARCHIVES
SELECT BLOG
January 28, 2010

Awards

The player(s) of the decade - in numbers

Anantha Narayanan

4
Jacques Kallis is on top of this list, pipping Ricky Ponting to second place © Getty Images
Recently Cricinfo came out with their Player of the Decade article. It was the compilation of 1-2-3 positions posted by over 38 reputed players/journalists. The final results were quite impressive and very fair. However it is true that the jury, while using the decade numbers available, still finally made their informed subjective selections. They would obviously have considered factors beyond numbers since for some players such as Tendulkar, Gilchrist, Ponting, Muralitharan etc, numbers tell only part of the story.

I have decided to do a pure numbers-based analysis of the decade from all relevant angles and come with my own list of the top players. This is not to find any holes in the Cricinfo list but to study along with it. Let me say that I have not been asked by Cricinfo to do this and this is on my own initiative.

A typical paragraph in the said article might have run.

"He scored ****** Test runs at a high average of **.**. More than half these runs were scored away. In ODIs his compilation was ****** runs at a middling average of **.** and an outstanding strike rate of ***.*. In addition he picked up a total of *** international wickets at averages way below the average for the decade. His fielding was brilliant and he took *** catches. His team had a better than **% winning record in both Tests and ODIs. He led his team through player change phases very effectively".

Or parts of this paragraph for different players. I have made all efforts to translate each of these "*****"s to measurable and rateable numbers.

Some guidelines.

1. Tests and ODIs will get equal weight (50%/50%). I do not think many would have complaints with this. T20 will not be considered since only around 100 matches have been played.

2. Batting and Bowling will get equal weight (35%/35%). This also should not bother anyone other than those who would oppose this in order to push up their favourite players. However I have always felt that the Bowlers get a raw deal and I will not be a party to that.

3. For key factors such as Runs scored and Wickets captured I will use the unadjusted figures since we are only considering the past 10 years and there have not been many variations during this period.

4. For batting and bowling performance measurements, I will only use the standard accepted measures such as Average, Strike rate, RpO et al. I will not use any derived measures. This makes sense.

5. Fielding, in the form of catches and stumpings, will carry some weight (5%/5%). Oh I know this will benefit the wicket-keepers. I am quite comfortable with that especially as that is the most difficult task on the field.

6. Wins will carry some weight (4%/3%). I know this will elicit complaints from supporters of players whose teams have not performed well. However winning is the most important part of any sport and we have to recognize that.

7. Some weight will be given to captaincy (3%/3%), only in the form of number of matches captained since the previous point would have taken into account the results. The captain clearly shoulders a major additional responsibility in addition to the batting, bowling and wicket-keeping tasks and this factor has to be recognized.

8. For ODIs some weight will be given to success in the major events such as World Cups and ICC Cups (3%). 2 World Cups and 5 ICC Cups were held during this period. After all these are Blue Ribbon events and merit special recognition.

9. Since I will not be taking in the match level performances, I will give some weight (3%/2%) for the number of Man of the Match awards secured. This may not be perfect but is a clear indicator to the contributions by the players towards achieving wins.

10. The period 2000-2009 will be implemented strictly irrespective of mid-series positions.

11. Other than the common-sense based points weight, this will be a completely objective analysis based on known irrefutable facts and no assumptions or derivations.

12. This is an analysis of what was achieved during the decade. Injuries, non-selections, boycotts, home country problems, opt-outs, ICC bans (ICL???), backstage manipulations et al have no relevance here. If I have to make allowance for Tendulkar's injury during early 2000s, I also have to make allowance for the enforced absence of the talented Pakistani players over the past few years. No, those doors are closed. It is what was achieved on the field during the decade which will count.

13. For the purposes of this analysis I have fixed the minimum criteria as either 5000 international (Test+ODI) runs or 200 international wickets. 82 players quailfy. Anyone who misses these numbers is unlikely to be even in the peripheral vision of any jury.

At no stage should the readers forget that the purpose is to find out the Player of the decade, based on all relevant factors, including batting, bowling, fielding, captaincy responsibilities, team performances, successes et al. These are Batting or Bowling analyses.

Let us view the table now. The Players of the decade table is presented bwloe.

No RtgPts  Player                Test     ODI  Cricinfo
Position
1. 57.22  Kallis J.H           31.42   25.80     2
2. 52.18  Ponting R.T          27.21   24.97     1
3. 48.45  Pollock S.M          22.24   26.21
4. 47.62  Muralitharan M       24.84   22.78     4
5. 46.25  Jayasuriya S.T       19.16   27.09
6. 44.69  Tendulkar S.R        19.93   24.75     6
7. 44.27  Gilchrist A.C        21.07   23.20     3
8. 42.83  Gayle C.H            18.23   24.60
9. 41.00  Flintoff A           19.54   21.46
10. 40.31  Lee B                17.53   22.78
11. 40.02  Sehwag V             18.91   21.11
12. 39.97  Vettori D.L          19.87   20.10
13. 39.94  Sangakkara K.C       20.91   19.03
14. 39.78  Jayawardene D.P.M.D  21.80   17.98
15. 39.18  Dravid R             21.73   17.44     9
16. 38.96  McGrath G.D          18.65   20.31     5
17. 37.72  Ganguly S.C          15.33   22.39
18. 37.70  Hayden M.L           21.83   15.87
19. 37.69  Vaas WPUJC           18.03   19.67
20. 37.15  Smith G.C            20.66   16.49
21. 36.58  Warne S.K            22.93   13.65     7
22. 34.72  Harbhajan Singh      16.86   17.87
23. 34.52  Ntini M              17.35   17.16
24. 33.59  Mohammad Yousuf      17.54   16.05
25. 33.45  Clarke M.J           13.42   20.03

Note: Lara and Chanderpaul are outside the top-25.

Jaques Kallis had huge numbers supporting him and there is no doubt he deserved his top position on this basis. It is also certain that his team's lack of success has not helped him a lot.

- 16490 runs / 399 wickets / 201 ct-st / 209 wins / 34 MOMs / 13 captaincies.

Ricky Ponting has his team successes supporting him and he deserves his second place. Not to forget his own personal contributions towards achieving these wins. He could very well have been on top.

- 18561 runs / 3 wickets / 239 ct-st / 301 wins / 2 WC + 2 ICC wins / 36 MOMs / 318 captaincies.

There is a surprise at the third position. Shaun Pollock shows that he is one of the under-rated all-rounders. The averages and rpo figures are amongst the best of this decade.

- 4731 runs / 535 wickets / 135 ct-st / 181 wins / 23 MOMs / 142 captaincies.

Muralitharan with his tally of 898 wickets is in fourth position. Jayasuriya is in a deserved fifth position with 12527 runs and 205 wickets. Gilchrist with 12373 runs and 759 ct/st dismissals follows. The summary of formulae used. Given below are numbers to get maximum wt values for Tests/ODIs.

Runs:     10000/10000
Wkts:     600/400
BatAvge:  60/60
BowAvge:  20/20
Ct/St:    400/400
Wins:     150/200
Capts:    150/200
MOMs:     16/30
ODI S/R:  1.25 for max
ODI Rpo:  3.0 for max.
To download the complete set of tables, please right-click here and save the file.

I am sure when the esteemed jury voted they took into consideration the non-numerical factors. That would have been the correct thing to do. As such, Ponting, with the type of team building he has done on the field could be comfortably placed at the top. The impact Muralitharan has on Sri Lankan cricket would have propelled him into the third position and the same with Gilchrist, even after retirement. Nothing needs to be said about the colossus, Tendulkar. His mid-table position is certainly justified.

Now it becomes a bit murky. The ignorance of Jayasuriya and Shaun Pollock by the jury is baffling. Until 6 months back Jayasuriya has been magical on the field. Shaun Pollock is as good an all-rounder as Kallis. Kallis might be ahead by a mile in batting but Pollock is in front by three-fourths of a mile in bowling. His accuracy in ODI cricket is legendary. Gayle's continued poor performances under Lara's captaincy might have counted against him. Also he did not have a great test decade. Flintoff was injured too often to be under serious consideration. Brett Lee was also a better ODI bowler than in Tests.

As far as Lara is concerned, he was forced into a hurried retirement by the non-Trinadian-clique at the end of the World Cup, when he had couple of years of top-level Test cricket ahead of him. He still had a pretty good Test decade but his ODI performances during the decade were quite indifferent and I am surprised that one juror even voted him at the top.

Overall I would say the jury did an excellent job. The numbers analysis supports them quite strongly. For once a committee approach has worked very well.

My 1-2-3 ??? Kallis, Ponting, Tendulkar/Muralitharan. Did I hear someone say, only 3. Tough luck, it is my selection. And if you add Gilchrist & McGrath, two of my favourite cricketers, we have the Cricinfo top-6.

Anantha Narayanan has written for ESPNcricinfo and CastrolCricket and worked with a number of companies on their cricket performance ratings-related systems

RSS Feeds: Anantha Narayanan

Keywords: Awards

© ESPN Sports Media Ltd.

Posted by jwt on (February 7, 2010, 6:40 GMT)

Abhi,

I based my entire comment on the basis that Ananth tried to identify the best individual cricketer of the past decade. If his analysis tried to identify the best cricketer (within a team context) then I would 100% support your argument that a specific XI would beat another specific XI. All I'm saying (as an example) is this: Ponting and Kallis are VERY comparable in terms of their batting achievements over the past decade. However, with Kallis' added superb achievements with the ball....that, for me, makes Kallis a better cricketer over the last decade than Ponting & therefore I agree more with Ananth's analysis than the very subjective list produced earlier.

However, based on good statistical measures.....trying to identify the best test-XI of all time would be extremely intriguing.

jwt [[ JWT But still a very worthwhile exercise. Goes on to my third plate. I have an excellent Team Strength Index valuation which can be used for this. One day in summer... Ananth: ]]

Posted by Cyrus on (February 7, 2010, 3:21 GMT)

Everyone's talking about Tendulkar and Ponting. What about Kallis?! He seems to be the dark horse and is quietly coming up the "inside rail" as it were.He keeps quietly grinding out runs ala Dravid in his own machinelike way- and is very fit, with very few time outs for injuries. Another 4/5 good years and you never know!

Posted by Zubair Butt on (February 6, 2010, 12:03 GMT)

Shahid Afridi ahead of Lara??? what kind of list is that?? now matter what went against Lara, captaincy or not, politics or not.. but he would be amonst the top 10 in any list across the history of world cricket.. him being outside 25 with someone like Afridi averaging 22 and 10 and respective cricket forms.. its laughable to say the least..

Posted by Vinish on (February 4, 2010, 18:49 GMT)

Excellent analysis and equally brilliant thoughts by readers. I felt privileged to read some of the comments.

Regarding fantasy match, I developed a scorecard of two different 'kinds' of teams. Traditional XI (Dravids, Kirsten, Atherton and Kallis) v Moderns (Sehwag, Lara, Ponting, Gilly). The detailed and mouthwatering experience is available at: http://vinishgrg.wordpress.com/2009/12/22/cricket-traditionalists-vc-moderns/.

Looking forward to your thoughts!

Vinish

Posted by Abhi on (February 4, 2010, 6:32 GMT)

Ananth Thanks.It is only to be wished we had much more data like this.It would be infinitely more revealing than what we currently use.

Posted by Abhi on (February 4, 2010, 5:45 GMT)

Ananth Then perhaps it is inaccurate to say the stats lie. More appropriate would be that the statistical parameters used aren’t wide enough. So ,when judging bowler quality we simply assume that things cancel or average out. In actual fact I don’t think they do. For eg an incorrect line call (pre hawkeye)at 3-3,15-15 in the first set is not the same as one on match point. Though theoretically both cancel out. The time in the context of a match is more critical.

So, close LBWs, dropped catches,”beatens” etc.- if somehow incorporated would improve our perception of player quality. Which is exactly what we are trying to figure out with the stats currently available. Luckily we have seen Flintoff in the flesh-so we can judge his bowling quality even without looking at the stats. In my opinion he was a superb bowler ,and at his best as good as any modern day fast bowler. If he were born in an earlier era then on just pure stats he would have been given short thrift.

P.S: as an aside: superb article out by Chris Cairns : “Afridi king of the sinners; Wasim king of swingers”- Fascinating insider peek into what goes on at the highest levels of the game, and shows how much we are normally blissfully ignorant about. [[ Abhi In continuation. I delved into my notes further. I have given below two first innings performances by two spinners in Test # 1574 (Ind-Eng 2001).

Bowler     Balls  WktDel           
Harbhajan  117    29         24%
Dawson     258    26         10%.
Charu Sharma, Tim Robinson and L Siva appreciated the above a lot since it translated into 5 for 51 and 4 for 134 analysis by the two bowlers. One thing is sure. That Harbhajan is not today's Harbhajan. Today he would struggle to reach 10%. Incidentally the lowest WTD % reached was Giles' 6% in the third test when he consistently bowled the outside legstump line to Tendulkar (you cannot blame them for that). It also worked since Tendulkar was out stumped at 90 (the first in his career). Ananth: ]]

Posted by love goel on (February 3, 2010, 14:19 GMT)

The allrounders list is a great piece of work. When I look at these allrounders and think about how much they contibuted to their teams,and make my own list(which is purely subjective), the list is almost a perfect match!

I thought Jayasuriya, P Reiffel and Ik Pathan were ranked much higher.May be, I need to go back and check Jayasuriya and Reiffel stats. But Irfan pathan better than Wasim Akram is a real travesty. May be it is because, Pathan had a period of great matches and then faded out very quickly leading to better than average stats but vastly less number of matches.

Ananth, couple of points. I think you should let matches play out till the end; remove the draw from the equation. I dont think it is possible to include the effect of 'Innings declaration' in such a calculation. And hence many matches which can be won/lost will be drawn.

Also there is no need for win to have 3 points instead of 2;In cricket we don't have Test tournaments but only bilateral series

Posted by Abhi on (February 3, 2010, 13:03 GMT)

xolile Thanks again.all very fascinating.You mention the neutralisation effect for kallis,flintoff etc on the flat 2000s pitches. Apparently then Sober's too played on flat pitches! OR he simply wasn't that incisive a bowler. Which one do you think it was? So, for Kallis,Flintoff and co. wouldn't it be more realistic if we could apply some sort of "factor" to compensate for flat pitches? Some sort of “peer ratio” equaliser? Don’t know ,just musing. Just a thought about Flintoff- I feel he is one of those cases where the stats simply lie. I cannot ever recall such an unlucky bowler. Has any bowler ever beaten a batsman so often and not gotten a proportional share of wickets? I wonder. Perhaps in future they should make a column in the score card for “played and missed”,”beaten”,”rapped on pads-narrow LBW turned down “ etc etc. We may start to get a more sharper pixelated picture of actual goings on. [[ Abhi When I did some television analysis work with Wisden/Doordarshan during early-2000s, I introduced a measure called "Wicket taking deliveries" which are exactly you are referring to, and some more. We would discuss this aspect in detail in the post-play show. By session, to individual batsman, bowler comparisons et al. It was a fantastic measure to gauge how the bowlers bowled. The average % was about 15. 10% was low and 20+ was very good. I referred back to my notes. Flintoff, during the 2001 tour which was one of the three we covered, was consistently around the 20% mark. Ananth: ]]

Posted by Jeff on (February 3, 2010, 9:45 GMT)

@ Xolile

Fascinating stuff - thanks !

One question - why did you use batting & bowling averages rather than balls per dismissal for batting (the batting equivalent of bowling SR) and runs per ball for bowling (the bowling equivalent of batting SR)?

I'm not sure what, if any, difference it would make to the results, but to me it would be a "purer" way of running this.

That said, I enjoyed seeing the list and the results do make a lot of sense. It was good to see Tony Greig so high up the list - I always thought he was under-rated as an allrounder (probably his persona and some of his more controversial comments have taken away a bit of the focus from his actual numbers, which are really very good.)

Posted by Abhi on (February 3, 2010, 9:00 GMT)

Ananth don't know if i made myself clear. in a previous blog i had mentioned it would be nice to do an analysis to figure out the strength of a team a player was in over a period of time. It is in regard to this future analysis that i brought up this topic. not your previous analyses. [[ Abhi Will do so. I am also taking this opportunity to close all further mails on past, present and future batting of Tendulkar/Ponting/Lara. That is not the subject on hand and is going out of hand. I thought we had got out of that but it does not seem to have happened. Ananth: ]]

Comments have now been closed for this article

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Anantha Narayanan
Anantha spent the first half of his four-decade working career with corporates like IBM, Shaw Wallace, NCR, Sime Darby and the Spinneys group in IT-related positions. In the second half, he has worked on cricket simulation, ratings, data mining, analysis and writing, amongst other things. He was the creator of the Wisden 100 lists, released in 2001. He has written for ESPNcricinfo and CastrolCricket, and worked extensively with Maruti Motors, Idea Cellular and Castrol on their performance ratings-related systems. He is an armchair connoisseur of most sports. His other passion is tennis, and he thinks Roger Federer is the greatest sportsman to have walked on earth.

All articles by this writer