England v Australia, 5th Test, The Oval, 3rd day

Is there cause for English pessimism?

Andrew Miller at The Oval

August 22, 2009

Comments: 13 | Text size: A | A

Jonathan Trott charges through for his first Test century, England v Australia, 5th Test, The Oval, 3rd day, August 22, 2009
Jonathan Trott: "There are so many variables in the game of cricket, it's never a foregone conclusion at all" © Getty Images
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It's happening again. That nagging, gnawing, pit-of-the-stomach doubt that only the most gripping Test series can serve up. Six sessions remain in which the destination of the Ashes will be decided, and England - with every single historical precedent weighted in their favour, including one from their most recent victory at Lord's - must surely believe, deep down, that the litany of surprises that have been strung out across this summer have finally run their course.

But where there is uncertainty, English pessimism is sure to take root, and having watched their own lower-order tee off to contemptuous effect on a pitch supposedly prepared by Doctor Faustus, the sight of Australia's openers following suit to the tune of 80 runs in 20 overs was all too much for the umbrella-chewing fraternity of English sports-fans.

The 2009 Ashes has lacked the class, the 24-7 tension, and, yes, the unfettered jingoism that made the 2005 summer so unforgettable, but the peaks and troughs on display have, if anything, been all the more marked. Which is all the more reason to wonder if a world-record chase - another 466 required in a minimum of 180 overs - could somehow prove attainable.

They thought it was possible back in July after all, when Australia were set a hefty 522 to extend their 75-year hegemony at Lord's, and thanks to a battling partnership from Michael Clarke and Brad Haddin, reached 313 for 5 at the close of the fourth day before Andrew Flintoff stormed in on the fifth to up-end them 115 runs short. But Flintoff has not been the same force since - his only subsequent wicket in nearly 50 overs was the No. 11, Ben Hilfenhaus, in Australia's first innings on Friday - and 233 runs per day is not a big ask in any version of international cricket.

Jonathan Trott has done an astounding job at dispelling the doubters this week - nobody in their wildest imaginations could have predicted he would exactly maintain his season's average of 80 in his maiden Test performance - but when he was asked if an England victory was in the bag, all of his soothing powers had clearly been expended at the crease.

"Until you've taken the tenth wicket in the second innings it's always a game of the unknown," he said. "There are so many variables in the game of cricket, it's never a foregone conclusion at all. We want to do as well as we can, break it down, and have a good first hour tomorrow to set the game up from there."

To be fair, England as a unit were not especially downcast as they left the field on Saturday evening. Seeing as Steve Harmison had bowled a grand total of four overs in the first innings, the shiny hard new ball was never likely to be their most incisive weapon, especially when Stuart Broad beat, and then found, the edge with a brace of offcutters in his first over. Australia survived all the same, but as Marcus North - the unlikely star of their bowling performance - admitted, they had seen little to suggest that they've got the measure of the conditions.

"History is against us," said North. "It's too early to look that far ahead, because there's a lot of cricket to be played. What you'll see tomorrow is 11 guys who have got a lot of character to show, and they are going to give everything for every contest for every over. Hopefully that can lay the foundation to give us a chance.

"The first objective was to get through tonight unscathed and Simon and Watto did that superbly," he said. "To walk off at 0 for 80, it's the position we needed to be in, if we can start well tomorrow, get to lunch, and reassess things from there. It's a massive target to get, but the best thing we can do is not look too far ahead. We've given ourselves the opportunity to have that target in sight at some stage."

As for Lord's, that performance will doubtless weigh on the minds of England's fans on a packed fourth day at The Oval, but can Australia go one better than that heroic endeavour? "We can take a lot out of all our innings through the series," said North. "We batted well at Lord's with some big partnerships, and laid some foundations to give us some opportunity to chase that target down.

"But this is a different Test, different conditions, and again we'll have to show some character," he said. "Clarke and Haddin did that in that Test, and we'll have to show some of the same courage and determination tomorrow. Everyone has got the same attitude that I've got. The guys are as positive as they can be. It's a huge task ahead. It's small steps at a time."

But if omens are what Australia seek - and frankly, in the circumstances, why on earth wouldn't they - then they can turn for inspiration to two first-class fixtures of contrasting fortunes. In the former, in February 1992, Australia's current chairman of selectors, Andrew Hilditch, hit a century, and their coach, Tim Nielsen, shared in the winning stand, as South Australia chased 506 to beat Queensland in the Sheffield Shield. And then, 12 years later in Gurgaon, England A failed to defend 501 against South Zone in the Duleep Trophy. Kevin Pietersen was a member of that beaten team, as was England's current wicketkeeper, Matt Prior. It's all stacked up, but is it ready to topple?

Andrew Miller is UK editor of Cricinfo

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© ESPN Sports Media Ltd.

Posted by jimbond on (August 23, 2009, 14:43 GMT)

Johnson has performed beyond his capabilities to allow Australia some respectable performances in the past couple of series, but otherwise Australian bowling is among the weakest in the world. And on a dusty pitch liike the Oval, they were lucky again to get the English out for less than 400. English bowling is also pretty average at the moment, but Aussies without Hayden, Langer, Gilchrist, Symmonds, Martin, doesnt give too much resistence. Its more of who capitulates more, and if we look at any two average teams battling it out, its very difficult to think of any such inconsistent team scoring 500+ runs to win.

Posted by Takkar on (August 23, 2009, 9:27 GMT)

How it can be described as pessimism if someone expects the score can be chased. England scored 315/6 on the third day, out of those 6 wickets 3 were just thrown away, & Trott was out, trying to gather some quick runs. It clearly indicates that the bowlers failed once again & that too against a WEAK England lineup. So it is not unfair to expect runs from a STRONG Aussie lineup. TIME is absolutely no problem in this TEST & if the Aussies do not get bowled out, they reach the target. The only team which can be realistically expected to chase this score is AUSTRALIA. Why to give the opposition enough time to get the runs, i.e. (200) overs, 150 overs are sufficient to bowl any team out, provided you have the required FIREPOWER. Eagerly waiting for the moment when Strauss regrets his declaration & Flintoff, Broad & Prior regrets for throwing their wickets away..........

Posted by capetown-pom on (August 23, 2009, 6:51 GMT)

The joys of supporting england...for any other cricketing nation they'd be cracking the champagne/tea/red stripe open and inviting all their mates round for a celebratory barbie/curry/fried chicken. Us Brits, we'll have to spend the next 2 days hiding behind the sofa biting our nails...the agony is the ecstasy that is english cricket at its unpredictable best.... Pray for 3 quick wickets in the morning session boys...

Posted by VouxPopuli on (August 23, 2009, 6:30 GMT)

England will win with at least a hundred + margin... down with all those pessimists...

Posted by Sreeni_Chennai on (August 23, 2009, 5:38 GMT)

The Australian team needs someone who much like the Mynah's in Huxley's island can constantly remind them to be "here and now" as they mount their assault on England's pile of runs.

Posted by henchart on (August 23, 2009, 5:15 GMT)

Aussies will go down but fighting.

Posted by springonion on (August 23, 2009, 3:02 GMT)

On Sky's commentary Athers noted Australia were still 4/1, such is the remarkable lack of belief in this England team. There is simply no way Australia will get the runs, though they will definitely dig in and manage a few partnerships. Australia may be able to bat out day four, but they will forever live to regret how quickly they collapsed in the first innings, not even time can save them now.

Posted by RaghuramanR on (August 23, 2009, 1:58 GMT)

I am quite surprised by English pessimism - whether it is Boycott or other 'experienced' commentators. Even before the Ashes begin, I couldnt see why English should lose. They had a good batsman and more importantly a sensible captain in Strauss, genuine swing and quick bowler in Anderson apart from determined middle order batsman like Collingwood. There is too much hype on Pieterson, Flintoff and Ponting and their performance in the Ashes till now has not been 'game-changing'. Ponting may have some ideas on the last innings of the last test. Australia may be 'sure favorites' if we dwell too much on past record or history, but their bowling attack is hardly much to write/worry about.

Posted by SpottedHyena on (August 23, 2009, 0:46 GMT)

The only "certainty" is that this won't be a draw (unless weather intervenes). I've seen some amazing things this decade - 400 chased in and ODI, 400 chased in a test - both by the "choking" South Africans - so imagine what a side that has actually won some trophies can do - If any team can pull this off it is Australia, 2005 hurt them, losing the No. 1. Test ranking (which they keep saying don't matter), will hurt them - England will have to be on their top game tomorrow - a wounded animal is a dangerous one...Australia has been fighting since January to hold on to that number one spot and has done it against all odds...this is only over when the last wicket falls...I'm so grateful I'm a neutral and can just sit back and enjoy the ride.

Posted by quarterjack on (August 23, 2009, 0:23 GMT)

England HAD to force the follow on. The Ashes were gone the moment they failed to do so. You read it here first.

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Andrew Miller Andrew Miller was saved from a life of drudgery in the City when his car caught fire on the way to an interview. He took this as a sign and fled to Pakistan where he witnessed England's historic victory in the twilight at Karachi (or thought he did, at any rate - it was too dark to tell). He then joined Wisden Online in 2001, and soon graduated from put-upon photocopier to a writer with a penchant for comment and cricket on the subcontinent. In addition to Pakistan, he has covered England tours in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, South Africa, Australia and New Zealand, as well as the World Cup in the Caribbean in 2007
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