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Betting Blog

Can England overcome the odds and stage an India comeback?

Business as usual, it would appear, for India and England in the ongoing five-Test series. A crushing victory, by 246 runs in the second Test, has given India a 1-0 lead with three games to come

Joe Root leans forward to defend, India v England, 2nd Test, Visakhapatnam, 5th day, November 21, 2016

Joe Root may need to score big if England are to battle back in Mohali  •  AFP

Business as usual, it would appear, for India and England in the ongoing five-Test series. A crushing victory, by 246 runs in the second Test, has given India a 1-0 lead with three games to come, and restored their hegemony after a scare in the opening contest in Rajkot.
If you take the odds at face value, the series already seems to be in the bag ahead of the third Test in Mohali. India are an ominous 1/14 to seal the deal, with England a distant 22/1 to stage enough of a comeback to turn the scoreline on its head.
Nevertheless, we've been here before with England - four years ago in Ahmedabad, when India won the first Test of the four-match series by nine wickets, only for England, inspired by their skipper Alastair Cook, to regroup with victories in Mumbai and Kolkata.
It's a much-changed team in 2016 - no Kevin Pietersen for starters, not to mention the spin twins Graeme Swann and Monty Panesar. But aside from a few culpable dismissals in the first innings, England did not play terribly at Vizag, with arguably nine of their 11 players either matching or exceeding expectations.
Could a repeat of 2012 be on the cards? If so, Bet365 expects England to lean on in-form top three of Cook, Haseeb Hameed and Joe Root for the bulk of their runs - they are all priced between 10/3 and 9/2 to be England's top scorer.
Don't discount the claims of Jonny Bairstow and Moeen Ali in England's middle order though. They are both priced at 7/1, and though Bairstow in particular has been coming in low at No.7 in the first two Tests, he is in fine form and could even be due a promotion to No.4 if Ben Duckett, as expected, is given a break from the team. Plenty more opportunities to bed in for a big one.