Overnight odds back India to record historic victory
In the next 24 hours, India could record a historic victory at Adelaide
Andrew Hall
15-Dec-2003
In the next 24 hours, India could record a historic victory at Adelaide. At one point, India's in-running odds were 25/1, and very few could have foreseen the way this match has swung around. India are now just 1/5 to win. The draw is 28/1 and Australia are in the unaccustomed position of being 3/1 outsiders.
Recent form
Potential punters might be interested to examine the last innings in recent matches played by the visiting team at Adelaide, which imply that it's not a foregone conclusion for India.
2002-03: England 159 all out (3rd and final innings)
2001-02: South Africa 128 all out (4th innings chasing 3752000-01: West Indies 141 all out (3rd innings)
1999-2000: India 110 all out (4th innings chasing 396)
1998-99: England 237 all out (4th innings chasing 443)
Similar targets
There are very few recent examples of India chasing a similar fourth-innings target. The closest came against Sri Lanka at Kandy in 2001-02 where India chased 264 to win, and won by seven wickets in 78.4 overs. Against Australia in 2000-01, India chased 155 - but for the loss of eight wickets. This time India have more time to achieve the victory - the Chennai result was achieved in only 41.1 overs.
Odds are subject to change