Pakistan in South Africa 2012-13 February 19, 2013

Pakistan's anti-performance and other facts from Newlands

A statistical analysis of what went down in Cape Town

Fact illustrated by the Newlands Test #1: Cricket is a team game

Cricket is not as much of a team game as other team games. But it is a team game nevertheless. The Newlands Test proved this in enough spades to open a half-decent DIY store. Pakistan had individual performances that should have laid the foundations for victory. They also had collective frailties than made defeat almost inevitable. They posted the only two centuries of the match, and had the leading wicket-taker. But they still lost, and quite comfortably ‒ becoming just the at the WACA in 1977-78. No prizes for guessing which two scored the hundreds and which one took the ten wickets. Hobbs, Sutcliffe and Woolley all scored centuries at the SCG in 1924-25, but despite their efforts, and Maurice Tate's heroic 11-wicket bag from 89 eight-ball overs ‒ in today's squad-rotational game, he would have been rested for about 15 months after that kind of workload ‒ England were soundly walloped. Their problem was that they blended those three centuries with 13 single-figure scores (compared to Australia's three - similarly, at Newlands last week, the single-figure dismissal tally was South Africa 2 Pakistan 11).

India lost that high-scoring Perth game in 1977-78 due to a second-innings collapse after their two centurions were out, and because Bedi was left more unsupported than a county championship match on a wet Wednesday afternoon in April in the immediate aftermath of nuclear Armageddon. Chandrasekhar and Venkataraghavan could only manage three wickets between in the match, and those were the final three wickets in the first innings.

Other than these three games, teams boasting two or more centuries and a ten-wicket haul have won 82 Tests and drawn 6. So it took a fairly determined all-round anti-performance for Pakistan to lose in Cape Town, despite three outstanding individual displays in the country that has in recent years been least hospitable to visiting sides. Ajmal became only the fourth spinner to take ten in a Test in South Africa since the Second World War (only Murali had done so since 1957), whilst Younis and Shafiq, coming together at 33 for 4, became the first visiting pair to compile a double-century stand in South Africa since April 2006.

They were also just the third pair to add 200 in South Africa and end up on the losing side. Overall, of the 510 double-century partnerships in Test history, 244 have contributed to a victory, 234 have been in drawn games, and only 32 ‒ just over 6% ‒ have preceded a defeat.

Pakistan's fate in what was a gripping and fluctuating match until their second-innings subsidence was ultimately decided not by the potentially match-winning excellence of Younis and Shafiq's batting and Ajmal's wizardrous tweakery, but by the endemic frailty of their batting ‒ 15 Pakistan batsmen were out for less than 20 in this match. At least this was a step forward on the first Test, when 16 of their 20 dismissals were for 18 or less.

Losing 15 batsmen for less than 20 does not necessarily mean you will lose a Test. But it does certainly give you a headstart in the race to the losing line. Statistically, teams are nine times more likely to lose than win a Test if they do so (47 wins, 430 losses) (thanks be to Statsguru, fount of all knowledge) (or at least, fount of some extremely useless pieces of knowledge).

Fact illustrated by the Newlands Test #2: A Test hundred in South Africa is a good innings

To illustrate how tough batting in South Africa is for visiting teams, particularly this decade, a fact: of the last 11 centuries scored by away batsmen since 2009-10, only two have been scored by players with fewer than 50 caps - New Zealand's Dean Brownlie (in his eighth Test), in the second-innings of a Test that had long been a lost cause, and Asad Shafiq ‒ 18 Tests ‒ last week. Younis was in his 81st Test; previously Cook and Bell posted three figures for England in their 50th and 51st Tests respectively in the 2009-10 series; for India the following season, the undeniably experienced Tendulkar centurionated himself in his 175th and 177th matches; in 2011-12, Australia's only hundred-maker was Clarke (73rd), who was then followed by Sri Lankan veterans Sangakkara (105th) and Samaraweera (70th and 71st).

Fact illustrated by the Newlands Test #3: South African lower-order batsmen aren't quite what they used to be

Robin Peterson's match-turning 84 was the first time a South African batting at 8 or lower has scored 80 in a Test for almost eight years, since Nicky Boje hit 82 against Zimbabwe in March 2005. In the seven years between January 1997, when Lance Klusener slapped a rapid hundred against India batting at 9, and January 2004, when Mark Boucher, batting 8, flayed West Indies with his penultimate Test century, South African lower-order batsmen scored six hundreds, two undefeated 99s, and two more scores in the 80s.

Andy Zaltzman is a stand-up comedian, a regular on the BBC Radio 4, and a writer

Comments have now been closed for this article

  • testli5504537 on February 21, 2013, 4:17 GMT

    Pakistan were a batsman (Taufeeq Umar) and a bowler (Junaid Khan) short in the match while South Africa were at their stongest.

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 6:38 GMT

    To be very honest the next three best fast bowlers to Gul, Junaid and irfan are Cheema, Wahab Riaz and Sami were all ignored to Rahat and Tanvir for always the obvious reason (nepotism and politics). Also we forget that Pakistan defeated the than number one England with spin and one of the heroes were Rehman who the tour selection is happily and idiotically ignoring, knowing that south African hate spinners historically. I know this comment will not publish like all my previous comments but i like to enlighten the writers about Pak cricket.

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 6:34 GMT

    Excellent Article. I knew the game was close as admitted by SA players also. But wasn't aware of the history/stats behind that match or playing against SA in SA.

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 5:10 GMT

    Thats amazing stats with Andy Zaltzman: and satire, whimsy. Pakistan is no doubt a very talented side but lacks confidence on fast pitches. Here one would have been there like Javed Mian dad to coach them the continuous efforts while doing well in 1st innings. To me they went relaxed after good 1st innings score and despite great bowling of Ajmal no one else had real trick to bowl South Africa out earlier. The team effort was 100% required here while Pak relied only three main performances. One experienced cricketer like Javed Miandad or Mohsin Khan should have been with them to get best from the youngsters. Here one thing I must say to the Pakistan cricket board that fast bowlers must be given coaching from Waseem Akram. We should forget all disputes with King of Swing and use his talent to transfer in our bowlers as other teams like India are always taking his support to get tips for their pacers. Why not Pakistan. Mr. Chairman should hire Waseem Akram for better results.

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 4:35 GMT

    oh great starts yes it is good the third test will won byb the pak

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 4:35 GMT

    Nice one Andy!!

    Every team play to its strength....Pak strength currently is spin bowling....with due respect to Tanvir.....if he doesn't bother to run....he can bowl at the same speed by taking few the obvious choice was Rehman....Ajmal and Hafeez for left handers.....and Rehman for right middle handers left to tackle with....problem solved....this combination will also ignite the lethality of Gul and Irfan too....Azhar vs. Shafiq....the choice will be Shafiq because he score more runs given the same time compared to Azhar...put Umar Akmal in....and be persistent with him....he is Warner of Pakistan...two tuk tuk are good enough.....bring back Adnan Akmal too he is acceptable keeper and much better batsman then Sarfaraz.

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 4:28 GMT

    No need to mention any stats when our captain is full of excuses and don't feel shame of saying that my wicket was turning point in front of camera's who else think of doing better in future. Keep making histories on negative sites. Misbah is the biggest shame of Pakistan cricket...............O God please help us to get rid of him as soon as possible.

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 4:09 GMT

    Excellent stats have been quoted. Yes, it is embarrassing to give a game on 4th day which, seemingly was expected to last till the last session of 5th day.

  • testli5504537 on February 20, 2013, 0:23 GMT

    I cant belive you had nothing to say about two batsmen, in the same innings, going out for 111 (Nelson). Has this ever happened before?? I was expecting a big funny story about Nelson and a million stats about the terror batsmen have when on triple one. But alas nothing!

  • testli5504537 on February 19, 2013, 18:34 GMT

    Well Andy, for the first time I noticed that you can work with stats and come up with a decent article. Not bad, you are gainng fans everywhere.

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