World Cricket League Division 3, 2013 May 3, 2013

How Nepal or Bermuda could beat USA to the 2014 WC Qualifiers


With the last round of games left in the World Cricket League Division 3, four teams have a theoretical chance of taking the two places which are up for grabs for the 2014 World Cup Qualifier. Uganda have won all four games and are already through with eight points, but USA (six points), Nepal and Bermuda (four each) will need to wait for the last round of matches. Here's what the teams need to do to qualify:

USA: With three wins and six points, USA have a pretty good chance of making it to the next stage. A win against Bermuda, their last-round opponent, will certainly see them through; even a defeat might not cost them since their net run rate is a healthy +0.690. Their biggest danger is if they lose fairly comprehensively to Bermuda, and if Nepal thrash Italy by a huge margin. For example, if Bermuda score 250 and beat USA by 100 runs, and if Nepal score 275 and win by 76 runs, then USA's NRR (net run rate) will slip to 0.345, and Nepal's will climb up to 0.348.

Nepal: Nepal were the pre-tournament favourites, but they've lost two matches, to USA and Uganda, leaving them with fairly slim chances of qualification. As mentioned earlier, if USA win their last game, then Nepal have no chance of making the next stage. For Nepal to qualify, they'll have to hope that USA lose to Bermuda, and they beat Italy by a comprehensive margin. If the sum of the margins of those wins is around 125 runs (the exact margins will depend on the actual scores), then Nepal could sneak ahead of USA on NRR.

Bermuda: Bermuda have four points too, with wins over Oman and Italy, but their NRR of -0.959 is much worse than Nepal's -0.014, which makes their chances of qualification extremely remote. Also, their last match is against USA, the team which is currently second on the table. They'll have to beat USA by around 160 runs to increase their NRR above USA's. Their best case scenario will probably be a consolation victory to end their campaign on a high. That's a result which could then benefit Nepal, if they beat Italy by a big enough margin.

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. Follow him on Twitter

Comments have now been closed for this article

  • Dummy4 on May 5, 2013, 19:37 GMT

    Feeling proud once again....we r on the top of the chart,we r the champion...a big thanks to NCT for letting us feel proud again...keep the spirit guys,our lov n support is always wid u.............CHEERS..............

  • Sushrut on May 5, 2013, 2:50 GMT

    Nepal is showing great improvement in senior level cricket but it is said that ACC, ICC and our neighboring countries like India, Pakistan and Bangladesh have not shown enthusiasm to help in development of Nepali cricket. ACC can organize bilateral series between emerging countries like Nepal, Afghanistan, UAE including other Associates like Kenya, Ireland, Scotland, Netherlands etc. Also India can arrange matches between Nepal and the state teams.

  • Dummy4 on May 5, 2013, 1:59 GMT

    Nepal, were the big favorites!! Thanks to Bermuda, we made a Lucky escape!

  • Dummy4 on May 5, 2013, 1:34 GMT

    congras for steping up to division 2,go ahead

  • Dummy4 on May 5, 2013, 1:10 GMT

    congratulation!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!nepaleas team.............................

  • Dummy4 on May 4, 2013, 23:48 GMT

    Nepal made it yeah!!!:):):)

  • Dummy4 on May 4, 2013, 21:40 GMT

    Congratulations to the Nepalese team. We sure are on the right track to WC. Keep giving your best and the day will soon come when we'll be playing at the highest level.

  • Dummy4 on May 4, 2013, 21:05 GMT

    Finally Nepal proved them self they are the best team among the division 3 group....Its seen they are bit confuse and unlucky in first 2 match but finally they come up with beautiful rainbow color god bless nepali cricket we want to see you playing world cup ......!

  • Dummy4 on May 4, 2013, 21:03 GMT

    This is the answer from Nepal to the cricket playing nations .. Nepalese cricketer can do anything to make their fans happy. Although we have less experience we are able to defeat any teams.. We are Nepali we have no word of loosing because we are Gorkhali... Com on Nepal we sgould win all the matches..