World Cricket League Division 3, 2013 May 3, 2013

How Nepal or Bermuda could beat USA to the 2014 WC Qualifiers

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With the last round of games left in the World Cricket League Division 3, four teams have a theoretical chance of taking the two places which are up for grabs for the 2014 World Cup Qualifier. Uganda have won all four games and are already through with eight points, but USA (six points), Nepal and Bermuda (four each) will need to wait for the last round of matches. Here's what the teams need to do to qualify:

USA: With three wins and six points, USA have a pretty good chance of making it to the next stage. A win against Bermuda, their last-round opponent, will certainly see them through; even a defeat might not cost them since their net run rate is a healthy +0.690. Their biggest danger is if they lose fairly comprehensively to Bermuda, and if Nepal thrash Italy by a huge margin. For example, if Bermuda score 250 and beat USA by 100 runs, and if Nepal score 275 and win by 76 runs, then USA's NRR (net run rate) will slip to 0.345, and Nepal's will climb up to 0.348.

Nepal: Nepal were the pre-tournament favourites, but they've lost two matches, to USA and Uganda, leaving them with fairly slim chances of qualification. As mentioned earlier, if USA win their last game, then Nepal have no chance of making the next stage. For Nepal to qualify, they'll have to hope that USA lose to Bermuda, and they beat Italy by a comprehensive margin. If the sum of the margins of those wins is around 125 runs (the exact margins will depend on the actual scores), then Nepal could sneak ahead of USA on NRR.

Bermuda: Bermuda have four points too, with wins over Oman and Italy, but their NRR of -0.959 is much worse than Nepal's -0.014, which makes their chances of qualification extremely remote. Also, their last match is against USA, the team which is currently second on the table. They'll have to beat USA by around 160 runs to increase their NRR above USA's. Their best case scenario will probably be a consolation victory to end their campaign on a high. That's a result which could then benefit Nepal, if they beat Italy by a big enough margin.

S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. Follow him on Twitter

Comments have now been closed for this article

  • on May 5, 2013, 2:34 GMT

    Some days,your most unrealistic imaginations miraculously come true. It was one of those days for Nepal. Despite being the pre-tournament favourites , Nepal had almost themselves surrendered their chances and now on the back of their players sheer determination and with some luck on Nepal's side, they make it to the Division 2. They now need a sweet revenge against Uganda in the final match up and be on top of the group. They are capable, deserving and have proven . Brave are those who rise up when battered down and dusted. They deserve congratulations !

  • on May 5, 2013, 19:37 GMT

    Feeling proud once again....we r on the top of the chart,we r the champion...a big thanks to NCT for letting us feel proud again...keep the spirit guys,our lov n support is always wid u.............CHEERS..............

  • Sushrutdhakal on May 5, 2013, 2:50 GMT

    Nepal is showing great improvement in senior level cricket but it is said that ACC, ICC and our neighboring countries like India, Pakistan and Bangladesh have not shown enthusiasm to help in development of Nepali cricket. ACC can organize bilateral series between emerging countries like Nepal, Afghanistan, UAE including other Associates like Kenya, Ireland, Scotland, Netherlands etc. Also India can arrange matches between Nepal and the state teams.

  • on May 5, 2013, 1:59 GMT

    Nepal, were the big favorites!! Thanks to Bermuda, we made a Lucky escape!

  • on May 5, 2013, 1:34 GMT

    congras for steping up to division 2,go ahead

  • on May 5, 2013, 1:10 GMT

    congratulation!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!nepaleas team.............................

  • on May 4, 2013, 23:48 GMT

    Nepal made it yeah!!!:):):)

  • on May 4, 2013, 21:40 GMT

    Congratulations to the Nepalese team. We sure are on the right track to WC. Keep giving your best and the day will soon come when we'll be playing at the highest level.

  • on May 4, 2013, 21:05 GMT

    Finally Nepal proved them self they are the best team among the division 3 group....Its seen they are bit confuse and unlucky in first 2 match but finally they come up with beautiful rainbow color god bless nepali cricket we want to see you playing world cup ......!

  • on May 4, 2013, 21:03 GMT

    This is the answer from Nepal to the cricket playing nations .. Nepalese cricketer can do anything to make their fans happy. Although we have less experience we are able to defeat any teams.. We are Nepali we have no word of loosing because we are Gorkhali... Com on Nepal we sgould win all the matches..

  • on May 5, 2013, 2:34 GMT

    Some days,your most unrealistic imaginations miraculously come true. It was one of those days for Nepal. Despite being the pre-tournament favourites , Nepal had almost themselves surrendered their chances and now on the back of their players sheer determination and with some luck on Nepal's side, they make it to the Division 2. They now need a sweet revenge against Uganda in the final match up and be on top of the group. They are capable, deserving and have proven . Brave are those who rise up when battered down and dusted. They deserve congratulations !

  • on May 5, 2013, 19:37 GMT

    Feeling proud once again....we r on the top of the chart,we r the champion...a big thanks to NCT for letting us feel proud again...keep the spirit guys,our lov n support is always wid u.............CHEERS..............

  • Sushrutdhakal on May 5, 2013, 2:50 GMT

    Nepal is showing great improvement in senior level cricket but it is said that ACC, ICC and our neighboring countries like India, Pakistan and Bangladesh have not shown enthusiasm to help in development of Nepali cricket. ACC can organize bilateral series between emerging countries like Nepal, Afghanistan, UAE including other Associates like Kenya, Ireland, Scotland, Netherlands etc. Also India can arrange matches between Nepal and the state teams.

  • on May 5, 2013, 1:59 GMT

    Nepal, were the big favorites!! Thanks to Bermuda, we made a Lucky escape!

  • on May 5, 2013, 1:34 GMT

    congras for steping up to division 2,go ahead

  • on May 5, 2013, 1:10 GMT

    congratulation!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!nepaleas team.............................

  • on May 4, 2013, 23:48 GMT

    Nepal made it yeah!!!:):):)

  • on May 4, 2013, 21:40 GMT

    Congratulations to the Nepalese team. We sure are on the right track to WC. Keep giving your best and the day will soon come when we'll be playing at the highest level.

  • on May 4, 2013, 21:05 GMT

    Finally Nepal proved them self they are the best team among the division 3 group....Its seen they are bit confuse and unlucky in first 2 match but finally they come up with beautiful rainbow color god bless nepali cricket we want to see you playing world cup ......!

  • on May 4, 2013, 21:03 GMT

    This is the answer from Nepal to the cricket playing nations .. Nepalese cricketer can do anything to make their fans happy. Although we have less experience we are able to defeat any teams.. We are Nepali we have no word of loosing because we are Gorkhali... Com on Nepal we sgould win all the matches..

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:58 GMT

    Miracle happens, if you believe long enough and work hard for it....Nepal Cricket Team did their part, and Bermuda Cricket team helped us achieve what was thought to be impossible before the game. Bermuda cricket team, we will forever, be indebted to your sportsmanship and professionalism. Thank you.

    We are through to the World Cup qualification....let's keep believing !!!

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:48 GMT

    And Nepal is the Champion of Division 3 !!!

  • Anantas11 on May 4, 2013, 20:47 GMT

    Today indeed is a very lucky day for Nepal Cricket, we are now in Division 2....we are definitely deserving but Luck also favored us today...Bad luck USA.....cu at Final Uganda...Its Revenge time!!

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:41 GMT

    Congrate every one wath this Commetry Wish you boy Nepal play well god helped Luck nepal today defiantly USA math

  • prabesh2013 on May 4, 2013, 20:38 GMT

    fortune favours the brave!!!!!!! i'm ecstatic!! thankyou nepalese team!!!! thank you Bermuda Team, thank you S. Rajesh for Nepal related articles!! thank you GOD!!! WE HAVE MADE IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:38 GMT

    yes... Nepal is through... finally what we deserved! Well beated Italy by a hugeee margin.. with 35overs left to play... shows the quality of Nepalese cricket... its gonna be a crazy run to the world cup 2015!

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:36 GMT

    Thanks to Bermuda team and congratulation to Nepali team!!!! Go nepal GO!!!

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:23 GMT

    Nepal more closer rech qu alify DIV-2 math

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:16 GMT

    USA is near to lose match with Bermuda. And Nepal has defeated Italy with big margin. So all d best 4 Nepal in WC qualifier at NZ

  • on May 4, 2013, 20:14 GMT

    NEPALl is one of the best emerging team, they need much more practice matches with local team of test playing nations. CAN should invite some ranji teams of INDIA like Assam, Services, Jharkhand, J&K, Himachal, Kerela etc and play one 3 day test and 3 oneday matches. Also tour INDIA, PAKISTAN, SRILANKA, BANGLADESH. Nepal has to improve their pace attack . And also play more matches with AFGHANISTAN and UAE. NEPAL team has good sponsors so CAN able to organize such tournaments. So go NEPAL go. We INDIANS like to have see ODI match with NEPAL. USA is near to loose match with Bermuda. So all d best 4 Nepal .

  • on May 4, 2013, 19:25 GMT

    bermuda are in good position to win the game against USA...lets hope they dont throw it all away...so that nepal can qualify :)

  • on May 4, 2013, 19:09 GMT

    Nepal surely will go through to the next round as Burmuda is doing us great favour! Go Nepal!!

  • on May 4, 2013, 18:45 GMT

    nepal defeat italy by 8 wicket . its good but hope bermuda the country hich have played world cup 2007 ill make a trash in against usa and help nepal

  • on May 4, 2013, 13:25 GMT

    Yes cricket is unpredictable game so Nepal can still keep hope to next division.

  • on May 4, 2013, 11:00 GMT

    Nepal came under prepared for this tournament. They took the opponents (other than USA) too lightly. Nepal no doubt is a good team but were soundly beaten by two teams who came to the tournament well prepared. This missed chance will definitely hamper the progress of their overall cricket. With a non existent domestic structure and dysfunctional national broad, Nepal's cricket looks going down hill. the players who are around now will have to think of their future and career. It will be a big loss to cricket if a country like Nepal with real passion for the sport and talent to match that passion goes down hill.

  • on May 4, 2013, 9:29 GMT

    I agree there's more possibility for Nepal to stay in division 3 Now.... If Nepal is not qualify this time that doesn't means everything is over .We've Passion ,desire ,class ,potential and support of million of fans .Future of cricket of Nepal is bright . I guaranteeafter some years Nepal will be better than Ireland . Today we've still chance to qualify .Best of luck Nepal.

  • Anishsagar on May 4, 2013, 9:14 GMT

    if nepalese player show own real power they got a big win , but USA must lose with bermuda .

  • on May 4, 2013, 9:09 GMT

    As we all know Nepal was fav ,but bad luck the ground was built to handover easy victory to US,and am sure ICC had to think 100 times about the ground structure which was not built according to what they says International standard before tournament begins..... and rest>.abt Nepal today Nepali cricketers have always fought back against the condition , hope this time also they will prove they are made for cricket with wining huge margin against Italy....and pray USA loose today's match.......NEPAL NEPAL NEPAL

  • on May 4, 2013, 8:12 GMT

    what a damn critical condition came across !!! as we know Nepal were favourite in the tournament and undoubtedly Nepal deserve to be in division 1, but the game against USA Nepal played with over confident which costs big penalty for Nepal, may be thousands of cricket crazy fans (the most craziest fans in the world) have to pay for that,,, against Uganda our players seemed under pressure all the way.. Nevertheless there is still a thin line hope for Nepal, Come on NEPAL just do it for our pride.. plz revive our dreams to get ODI status and ODI WC 2015...

  • on May 4, 2013, 7:42 GMT

    The population of Bermuda(64 K) is multiplied by at least 25 times today with more than two million Nepali cricket fans supporting them...

  • on May 4, 2013, 7:35 GMT

    Well Nepal's batting is not much strong and i don't think that they can defeat Italy by 76 runs at least and its hardly possible that nepal will play a test match against a test playing nation because they are not able to defeat Ireland also.

  • rishikeshneupane on May 4, 2013, 7:03 GMT

    @huttese96: Forget this tournament, on overall record Nepal is far better side than US. In test there is no such small grounds like football grounds..and you will not only face pace attack but spin plays the important role.. Ya its sure there are no pace bowlers hence no habit for batsmen to play pace attack.. but if Nepal get chance to play, it will prove that it can play good cricket..look the record for other test playing nations..when they win the first test match???

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:52 GMT

    come on bermuda show that u palyed world cup in 2007 and win the game yar.. n from our nepali team we are waiting for huge victory over italy

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:51 GMT

    it is unfortunate that nepal did not defeat usa but huttes96 we are not arrogant and rude. we support our team. is there any harm?

  • QingdaoXI on May 4, 2013, 6:35 GMT

    Nepal will qualify today.

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:35 GMT

    Everytime when we think, we can make it. Something goes horribly wrong. We have to always depend on others result to make through. I don't know why, but this is fact.

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:31 GMT

    Nepal will do it.. Question is Can Bermuda thrash USA? which is unlikely. Hope for the best Common Bermuda.

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:27 GMT

    All these countries like USA , Ugnada, Bermuda got fair amount of practice matches and they are able to expose themselves in Westindies leagues and other bigger tournament. but what about Nepal.. nothing... there was one practice match but was washed out becoz of rain.... we are proud of our boys performance... keep it up guys we are always with u all no matter what the outcome will be....

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:13 GMT

    Nepalese batsmen have to step up and score big. All the best Nepal...

  • Tysontidnap on May 4, 2013, 5:46 GMT

    Common Bermuda U r a world cup team. develop the confidence we whole 15M nepalese fans are with u to support u. Defeat USA and increase your head to head difference margin. Jay Nepal Jay Nepali cricket

  • GooglyDragonPhoenix777 on May 4, 2013, 5:04 GMT

    USA FTW!!! It's about time...

  • huttse96 on May 4, 2013, 4:43 GMT

    HOPE USA make it they deserve too! NEPAL were thrashed by USA in the first game and lost easily to uganda, in NZ if nepal make it they will crumble the swinging ball its too much for them to handle. Nepal fans can you please stop talking about being a test nation now! i have no doubt you will become a great team but please don't be arrogant and rude.

  • on May 4, 2013, 4:37 GMT

    Nepal is gonna make it...all the best guys

  • on May 4, 2013, 4:29 GMT

    Come on Nepal !! We want you to see win !! True Nepali Fans !!

  • on May 4, 2013, 4:29 GMT

    Come on Nepal !! We want you to see win !! True Nepali Fans !!

  • on May 4, 2013, 4:37 GMT

    Nepal is gonna make it...all the best guys

  • huttse96 on May 4, 2013, 4:43 GMT

    HOPE USA make it they deserve too! NEPAL were thrashed by USA in the first game and lost easily to uganda, in NZ if nepal make it they will crumble the swinging ball its too much for them to handle. Nepal fans can you please stop talking about being a test nation now! i have no doubt you will become a great team but please don't be arrogant and rude.

  • GooglyDragonPhoenix777 on May 4, 2013, 5:04 GMT

    USA FTW!!! It's about time...

  • Tysontidnap on May 4, 2013, 5:46 GMT

    Common Bermuda U r a world cup team. develop the confidence we whole 15M nepalese fans are with u to support u. Defeat USA and increase your head to head difference margin. Jay Nepal Jay Nepali cricket

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:13 GMT

    Nepalese batsmen have to step up and score big. All the best Nepal...

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:27 GMT

    All these countries like USA , Ugnada, Bermuda got fair amount of practice matches and they are able to expose themselves in Westindies leagues and other bigger tournament. but what about Nepal.. nothing... there was one practice match but was washed out becoz of rain.... we are proud of our boys performance... keep it up guys we are always with u all no matter what the outcome will be....

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:31 GMT

    Nepal will do it.. Question is Can Bermuda thrash USA? which is unlikely. Hope for the best Common Bermuda.

  • on May 4, 2013, 6:35 GMT

    Everytime when we think, we can make it. Something goes horribly wrong. We have to always depend on others result to make through. I don't know why, but this is fact.

  • QingdaoXI on May 4, 2013, 6:35 GMT

    Nepal will qualify today.