Australia vs Pakistan, 2nd semi final, St Lucia

Australia clear favourites

Stats preview to the second semi-final of the World Twenty20 between Australia and Pakistan

Madhusudhan Ramakrishnan

May 13, 2010

Comments: 37 | Text size: A | A

Australia enter the semi-final against Pakistan as overwhelming favourites not just because of their superb performances in the tournament so far, but their astounding run in major tournaments over the last few years. They have triumphed in both the 50-over World Cups in the past decade and also in the last two editions of the ICC Champions Trophy. Their only blemish has been not winning the World Twenty20, but their run this year suggests they might just break that jinx.

Pakistan have every reason to be overawed by their opponents. They have lost all the matches played across all three formats in the last year against them, including a convincing defeat in the group stages in this year's tournament.

The table below shows the overall batting and bowling performance of both the teams so far in this tournament. Shane Watson and David Warner have provided aggressive starts, while superb late-order hitting from Michael Hussey and Cameron White has boosted the Australian run rate. On the bowling front, their pace attack led by Dirk Nannes, Shaun Tait and Mitchell Johnson has wrecked the top order of all opponents in every game played so far. Pakistan, on the other hand, have performed well below the level they managed in the previous edition of World Twenty20. The absence of Mohammad Asif and Umar Gul has seriously affected their wicket-taking ability in the first few overs and inconsistent batting has also not helped their cause so far.

Overall run rate and economy rate
Team Matches played Run-rate Economy rate Run-rate difference
Australia 5 8.23 6.18 2.05
Pakistan 5 7.56 7.43 0.16

Watson and Warner have had a fairly successful time at the top of the order in the tournament. Despite a couple of failures against Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, they posted a century stand in quick time setting up the victory against India. Although the Powerplay batting stats for Australia are not the best, the match-winning capabilities of the openers is a constant threat to opponents. Pakistan' batsmen have struggled in the Powerplay overs. Salman Butt has looked good on most occasions but has not received much support.

Batting performance in the Powerplay overs
Team Runs scored Balls faced Run rate Wickets lost Average
Australia 213 180 7.10 9 23.66
Pakistan 194 180 6.46 10 19.40

Michael Hussey and Cameron White have provided the fireworks in the final overs consistently. Hussey, especially, has been in terrific form throughout. He helped his team wriggle out of a hole against Bangladesh, and in the course of the century stand with White against Sri Lanka, the pair added nearly 70 runs off the last five overs to propel Australia to a match-winning score after a terrible start. Pakistan, meanwhile, have been inconsistent, with a good showing against South Africa being the only positive.

Batting performance in the last six overs
Team Runs scored Balls faced Run rate Wickets lost Average
Australia 278 158 10.55 13 21.38
Pakistan 236 180 7.86 18 13.11

Australia's fast bowlers have been exceptional in the beginning of the innings. Nannes is the leading wicket-taker in the tournament so far and Johnson and Tait are not far behind. The early wickets have allowed Australia to establish a stranglehold in all the games played. Pakistan haven't taken as many wickets in the Powerplays, though they've done pretty well to keep the runs in check.

Bowling performance in the Powerplay overs
Team Runs conceded Balls bowled Economy rate Wickets taken Average
Australia 185 195 5.69 16 11.56
Pakistan 209 188 6.67 7 29.85

Australia have been so convincing that they have not had much bowling to do in the final overs of the innings. Their performance is still exceptional in the last overs with their pace attack doing most of the damage while the legspinner Steven Smith has also chipped in with a few wickets. Pakistan's spinners have been ordinary in this tournament except in one game when they managed to curtail the scoring rate of a strangely subdued South Africa. Saeed Ajmal, though, has picked up ten wickets in the tournament so far and is the biggest threat.

Bowling performance in the last six overs
Team Runs conceded Balls bowled Economy rate Wickets taken Average
Australia 143 133 6.45 16 8.93
Pakistan 249 182 8.20 21 11.85

The Australian fast bowlers have bowled the majority of the overs for the team and have been remarkably successful, going at just over six runs per over and picking up 32 wickets. Smith has led the way for the spin attack grabbing nine wickets and conceding less than seven runs per over. The combination seems to be working perfectly with the initial damage being done by the pace attack and the spinners further denting the opposition in the middle overs. Pakistan's spinners have not been as impressive as they were in the previous edition of the tournament. Shahid Afridi has not been among the wickets this time. Even so, they have performed better than the fast bowlers who have hardly looked threatening.

Performance of pace and spin bowlers for Australia
Type of bowler Runs conceded Balls bowled Economy rate Wickets taken Average
Pace 404 382 6.34 32 12.62
Spin 182 168 6.50 15 12.13

Performance of pace and spin bowlers for Pakistan
Type of bowler Runs conceded Balls bowled Economy rate Wickets taken Average
Pace 329 252 7.83 13 25.30
Spin 428 345 7.44 19 22.52

Australia have played twice in St Lucia and won on both occasions, including the game against Pakistan. Pakistan have played three times at this venue and won two including a very good win against South Africa. Australia have batted first in four of the five games they have played and all four have been comfortable wins, the lowest margin being 27 runs. Pakistan did lose to England after batting first, but it seems to be their best bet as their inconsistent and brittle line-up might not match up in a tough chase against the best bowling side of the tournament.

© ESPN Sports Media Ltd.

Posted by zn264 on (May 14, 2010, 15:20 GMT)

Hahaha hate to say it but Pakistain will get smashed this afternoon!!! Should be the Kiwis playing in this semi agrhhhh.

Posted by Mazhar-Hasan on (May 14, 2010, 15:11 GMT)

The writer is logical & politically correct. We all know that Pakistan team is in shambles & they have worries other than cricket. Wishful thinking is no help! I dont think Lady Luck is gonna smile again! Play well & prove yourself. Do it the right way if you have to do it!!!

Posted by Robofk on (May 14, 2010, 14:47 GMT)

This all in history today. PAK will write new statistics .....

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 14:39 GMT)

In order to win any major tournament, you have to beat the best sides. South Africa and Sri Lanka were the best sides leading up to the finals last year, Australia and England have that honour in this tournament. It's never easy, but if any team can produce against the odds, it's Pakistan. So maybe, just maybe...

Posted by cowboe on (May 14, 2010, 14:15 GMT)

totally agree with dannydan india cant see pakistan wining the cup! although ausies r the favourts, but pakistan need a momentum then see \who can beat them! my rates 65% aus

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 13:05 GMT)

Pakistan Team is the only team which can thrash Australia. We hope that our team will once again prove it! Ameen.

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 13:00 GMT)

The aussies are a better side on paper and looking at their performance so far they ought to win! Go Aussies! Go!

Posted by AP-XI on (May 14, 2010, 12:39 GMT)

Madhusudhan Ramakrishnan, my tongue hurts when i pronounce it, has done a wonderful job providing us with the stats. Good job buddy. But you should have realized that you are writing about Pakistan team *The Unpredictables*. No wonder Aussie nerves would be tense in the ground. Its not about winning or losing when you reach the Semi-final stage, because every team is equally good. Its more about the passion and fight teams put up.

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 12:39 GMT)

dannydan i think u'll find Madhusudhan Ramakrishnan's prediction has sound reasoning & is based on both an extremely strong set of recent results between the two sides & also the edge in all stats this tournament that Aus has over Pakistan.

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 12:36 GMT)

Best of luck pakistan. May Allah help you all.

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 12:33 GMT)

australia would win easily and i think it will be one sided match like england and srilanka but maybe 5% pakistan will fight

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 11:37 GMT)

MOST IMPORTANT THING I am sick of this Indian domination of everything in cricket. We have to bear 4 Indian commentators while other countries have one or two commentators. Why this bias.?The ICC(Indian Cricket Board) should look into this matter. Here is the list of commentators in the ICC T20 World Cup.

India 4 Pakistan 1 Australia 1 England 2 West Indies 2 South Africa 0 Sri Lanka 0 New Zealand 1 Bangladesh 0 Ireland 0

There are no Sri Lankan and South African commentators. There should be equality. The ICC should abandon its India centric approach.

Posted by Rifnas on (May 14, 2010, 10:37 GMT)

I never recommend this compression last performance for Pakistan, because they always different from other team, can expect anything from Pakistan in any time (grade example that last year T20)......when they can perform or when they could not perform depend on that day,,,,

anyway lets see what will happen.....

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 10:04 GMT)

well.............guys take it easy pakistan has come here to play and afterall aussies are not unconquuerable. on reading all the articles regarding this match i think there is no need for pakistan side to take he fied(as every1 thinks they cant win).Indians take it easy is only a game.

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 9:52 GMT)

first of all today is friday n pak match so I nsHALLAH we will win as its our Allah s fav day n country...n 2ndly we r record watch out haters n predictors we r baq

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 8:10 GMT)

Australia have always been sublime compared to Pakistan. I don't remember if Pakistan ever started against them as favorites. Still they have prevailed a few time, in crucial ties.

Posted by dannydan on (May 14, 2010, 7:52 GMT)

i think that Madhusudhan Ramakrishnan prediction is flop.....the elimination of india from the tournament has forced him to write this account cause he cant see pakistan winning the title again.......infact the whole India cant see pakistan winning it of luck for pakistan

Posted by 5860733 on (May 14, 2010, 7:40 GMT)

I hoPe We Win thiis World CUp n retain Our TiTLe

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 7:40 GMT)

All i can say is that pakistan need to field well and get the Australian openers out as soon as possible..We're with you Pakistan team...InshAllah you will win....Ameen :)

Posted by owaisvirani on (May 14, 2010, 7:36 GMT)

It is a very good fight between the heart and the brain. Lets hope that heart wins. In case brain wins then even heart will have to realize that they were better then them. One more thing, that all the stats rest aside when one moment of genius ways on the rest of the game and I think Pakistan has many geniuses to click tomorrow. Lets hope that todays is the day for Pakistan.

Posted by muhmmad7676 on (May 14, 2010, 7:35 GMT)

i completely agree with MANI2001that aus will bring their brain and strategy and pak will bring their heart into this game and INSHAA-ALLAH heart shall win.

Posted by Rusty_1 on (May 14, 2010, 7:21 GMT)

Its hard to see Australia being beaten. Bat down to Johnson at number 8 & have all 4 main bowlers in the top 10 wicket takers including the best 3 fast bowlers in the tournament to date. Handy spin options in Smith, Clarke & Hussey & Watson as a backup seamer. Good all round side. That being said, I would not be at all suprised to see Pakistan turn up and put in one of those performances that only Pakistan can & thrash Australia. Hard to see however, but possible.

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 7:19 GMT)

The article should be renamed to "6 stats ensuring a sure shot win for australia " lol

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 7:18 GMT)

well there is no doubt that today Pakistan is playing with the toughest side in the tournament and no one can deny that Pakistan the most unpredictable team in the world of cricket……any thing can happen if they play with there full strength and ability……thought they have no choice today rather DO or Die……they have come out of their skins to beat Aussies in the Semi final……but as a Pakistan my and all the nation prays are with the team Pakistan……Go Pakistan Go……do the hard work and let the rest of the things on God……God helps those who help themselves………

Posted by   on (May 14, 2010, 6:26 GMT)

watch live 2nd semi final pakistan vs australia ICC T20 WC 2010 free online high quality streamign

Posted by Navin84 on (May 14, 2010, 6:08 GMT)

The Stats speak for itself. But in a T20 game on any day and can be anybody's game despite their previous form. It takes a few good overs from either side and thats that match.......

Posted by Hossie123 on (May 14, 2010, 4:13 GMT)

Steven Smith has more wickets than Johnson and Tait. Probably more than just a chip in.

Posted by Testcricketrules on (May 14, 2010, 2:19 GMT)

Two other things to consider are that Australia are the only unbeaten team in this tournament and they have bowled out every side that they have faced, they are taking a wicket on average 11 deliveries - it is very hard to build a substantial total unless you can build partnerships.

Posted by naeem-butt on (May 14, 2010, 0:16 GMT)

against australia pak players need to be on their best with bat.they need to time the ball rather then slogging becaz it is very hard to slog on that pace .they need to play proper cricket storkes rather then hitting.they have to focus on all three departments batting,bowling and fielding.butt need to alter his technice against short picth deleiveries like sachin of luck team pakistan.

Posted by   on (May 13, 2010, 20:27 GMT)

But i am sure that Pakistan has ability to make Some big upsets..............!!!

Good Luck Pakistan.........

May Allah Help You......... Ameen....

Posted by mani2001 on (May 13, 2010, 20:17 GMT)

All of these stats and figures will come to test tomorrow for both these teams.I dont think Pakistan has any thing to loose against Australia in view of their last year's encounters. But again I believe Australia has nothing to loose either considering their past reputation in twenty20 and specially when its against such a great twenty20 team like Pakistan against them.People also have to realise that prior to this tournament all the practice that Pakistan had was playing with eachother in Lahore and to come out here in world cup and being able to do what they ve so far is pretty admirable. I believe that come tomorrow Australia will bring their brain and stratigies and Pakistan will bring his heart to this game. And hopefully the heart will win.

Posted by Farhan-Sg on (May 13, 2010, 19:38 GMT)

Those numbers will not save you from Afridi's round-hose follow-through. The only statistics Afridi understands are 6 and 4 - the rest is all fluff.

Posted by   on (May 13, 2010, 19:25 GMT)

Australia a all the way....Pak are a week side & will not match up to Aus, But final " Mini Ashes" will be a good one and i hope & pray that england will come out on TOP!!

Posted by thelegend92 on (May 13, 2010, 19:14 GMT)

Are you for real Mr Ramakrishnan? You seriously think Australia are favourites? based on form so far yes, based on past history....erm no.

How many t20 finals have Australia featured in? Who has the best win ratio for international t20s? When you are referring to the hammering Pakistan have recieved at the hands of Australia you are including tests and one days, what relevance does that have in this format?

Have you forgotten that Pakistan have been involved in two out of the two world cup t20 finals? If past history is anything to go by then Pakistan are the favourites. I guess you are just a disgruntled India fan who can not wait to see Pakistan get knocked out.

It is time Pakistan got some credit, they are not the underdogs but the World champions.

Posted by atif1977 on (May 13, 2010, 19:07 GMT)

Oay Madhu Jee. Throw all the statistics you want, the Pakistan cricket team is a magical bunch. We don't care who we're playing; when we reach this stage of any tournament we'll obliterate anyone standing in our way. India is lucky not to be facing us right now!

Posted by Adolfhitler89 on (May 13, 2010, 19:01 GMT)

Pakistani team is unpredictable. Although the records favour Australia but one can't write Pakistan off as they are totally capable of winning tomorrow

Posted by shaanidesi on (May 13, 2010, 18:58 GMT)

Now since rehman is in, who has taken more than 2 wickets a game it might be a different story. Hopefully, pakistan will win the toss and plan on batting first because in carribea, it does make much difference since the weather is very warm. Hope to see a good match up against pak and australia. It will be a tough fight from Pakistan, even if they don't do too well.

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Australia v England at Bridgetown - May 16, 2010
England won by 7 wickets (with 18 balls remaining)
Australia v Pakistan at Gros Islet - May 14, 2010
Australia won by 3 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)
England v Sri Lanka at Gros Islet - May 13, 2010
England won by 7 wickets (with 24 balls remaining)
West Indies v Australia at Gros Islet - May 11, 2010
Australia won by 6 wickets (with 22 balls remaining)
India v Sri Lanka at Gros Islet - May 11, 2010
Sri Lanka won by 5 wickets (with 0 balls remaining)
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