Stats Analysis

The Hundred scenarios: Three teams eye men's final, four women's teams fight for two spots

What the teams in contention need to do to stay alive in the men's and women's competitions

Sampath Bandarupalli
25-Aug-2025 • 5 hrs ago
The Northern Superchargers players celebrate the fall of Alice Capsey, Northern Superchargers vs Oval Invincibles, Women's Hundred, Leeds, August 23, 2025

Northern Superchargers' strong net run rate could give them a chance to stay in the women's tournament  •  ECB via Getty Images

The last round of league-stage games of the fifth edition of the Hundred is about to kick off with the London derby 2.0 on Monday. Southern Brave secured their place for Sunday's final in the women's tournament, having won all seven matches so far. Oval Invincibles, Trent Rockets and Northern Superchargers have confirmed their playoff spots in the men's competition, currently tied at 20 points with five wins each. The three teams now fight out to make it to Sunday's final without having to play the Eliminator.
Brave finish as table-toppers for the third season in the women's tournament, having done so previously in 2021 and 2023. Four teams - Northern Superchargers, London Spirit, Manchester Originals and Trent Rockets - will fight for the two Eliminator spots.

Men's tournament


Invincibles, favourites to confirm their place in the final, have a chance at a three-peat due to their superior net run rate. Rockets and Superchargers will now hope Invincibles go down against London Spirit on Monday.
It will, however, be difficult for both to go past Invincibles on net run rate (NRR) as the current table-toppers are ahead of Rockets by about 180 runs and further 20-odd runs against Superchargers. Rockets have an edge of about 20 runs on NRR over Superchargers, and playing on a later date will help them determine their equation if Spirit can take down Invincibles.

Women's tournament

Northern Superchargers - Wins 5, Points 20
Superchargers are clear of every team barring Brave by at least four points, and their net run rate is second only to Brave, at 1.027. But that doesn't guarantee them a place in the Eliminator. If they lose their last match against Manchester Originals, they could go down to fourth, behind Spirit and Originals.
But their strong net run rate could give them a chance to stay in the tournament, as they will have to lose by at least 58 runs to fall behind Originals (assuming Originals bat first and score 140). Superchargers will be safe if Spirit do not win big enough against Invincibles.
If Spirit win by 40 runs after making 140 while batting first, Superchargers can afford to lose by 70 runs (if Originals scored 140) and stay ahead of them on net run rate.
London Spirit and Manchester Originals - Wins 4, Points 16
Spirit and Originals are tied on 16 points and separated by only about three runs on NRR. If both win their respective last matches, the team with the bigger win will end up in Saturday's Eliminator.
Both could end up facing each other on Saturday if they secure heavy wins and topple Superchargers' strong NRR. And if both lose, Rockets, currently fifth in the table, will qualify.
But if Rockets also lose, then the team that loses narrowly between Spirit and Originals will qualify. Spirit have a cushion of three runs on net run rate over Originals now, but Originals have the advantage of playing later and knowing what to do.
Trent Rockets - Wins 3, Points 12
Rockets face Birmingham Phoenix on Wednesday, but to stay in the competition, they will need the results of the two preceding matches to go in their favour: Invincibles defeating Spirit on Monday and Superchargers winning against Originals.
If they beat Phoenix on Wednesday, they will finish third, surpassing both Spirit and Originals on net run rate. Rockets are behind Spirit by only around 12 runs and approximately nine runs behind Originals.
Even if both Spirit and Originals lose narrowly in their respective matches, their net run rate will fall, that Rockets won't need to stress about their winning margin.

Sampath Bandarupalli is a statistician at ESPNcricinfo

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