Ashwin and Kings XI's chance to change the narrative
They face former KKR in their (E)den and a good performance could secure a spotlight that is much kinder than the one that is currently on them
Big picture
Likely XIs
Strategy punt
- It seems a risky idea but T20 statistics do hint at a way to keep Andre Russell quiet. Bowl spin at him. In all T20s since 2015, he takes, on average, 5.2 balls to hit a boundary against them. He sends fast bowlers to the fence every 3.5 balls.
- A similar tactic should work for Chris Gayle too. In fact, KKR have the perfect weapon: Narine. Under condition of at least 30 deliveries faced in a head-to-head battle, only two bowlers - Ashwin (4.8) and Lasith Malinga (4.4) - have a better economy rate against Gayle that Narine's 5.1 in the IPL.
Stats that matter
- Eden Gardens is a chasing ground, especially at night. It has hosted 29 such T20Is and IPL matches since 2015 and the captain winning the toss decided to bowl a whopping 21 times (72%). Also, the team chasing has won 19 of those 29 matches (66%).
- Narine will play his 100th IPL game on Wednesday and it will be against his favourite opponents. His best IPL figures - 5 for 16- came against them and so did his best IPL score - 75.
- As clear proof that the universe totally balances everything out, KL Rahul loves playing against KKR too. He has 192 runs in 66 balls against them. Also, he loves playing against Narine: 70 runs in 32 balls and two dismissals.
- Russell needs 61 runs in 82 balls to become the fastest to the 1000-run mark in the IPL. The man in the opposition camp holds that same record when it's presented in terms of innings - Chris Gayle (27)
- The average first-innings score at this venue - for all T20Is and IPL matches since 2015 - is 165 and one that results in a win is 176.
Alagappan Muthu is a sub-editor at ESPNcricinfo